Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(4/2/1)-(9/10/8) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(9/10/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (9/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/8)-(9/10/8/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/10/8)-(9/10/8/4/6)-(9/10/8/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (9/10/8)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/5/1/3)-(10/3/6/2) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3)-(10/3/6/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (10/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/6/2)-(10/3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/3/6/2)-(10/3/6/2)-(10/3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA BRODY Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 Jun16 Dec03 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 120 15.00    
AMERICAN BOUND Jul29 Jun22 May27 May10 Apr22 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
ADULTING Jul28 Nov28 Nov09 Oct11 Sep11 (carrillo rams)TOLEDO S 120 10.00    
BIG BANG BLUE Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Jun09 May27 (bernardini)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 8.00 16% 5.40    
SILVER STICK STAIR Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May20 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 6.00 6% 14.70    
ICE FLOE Jul21 Jun16 May21 May07 Apr23 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 2.00    
SCR  WARRIOR EMPRESS Jul21 Jul02 May14 Dec06 Nov08 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 6.00    
 
MNR-2   08/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY IN THE BATTLE Jul01 Jun26 Jun16 Jun04 Jan28 (silva juan)CASTELLANO JESUS 120 1.20 36% 1.80    
LADY JEAN Jul29 Jul03 May26 Apr23 Feb29 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
CURIOSITY KILLS Jul29 Jul17 Jun30 Jun09 Apr10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00    
LOST ANCHOR Jul21 Jun18 Apr30 Mar28 Jan25 (ewell s)BRACHO A 120 10.00    
SCR  GIN N SIN Jun28 Jun04 May25 May10 Apr26 (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 120 10.00    
WHATCHAMACALL Aug05 Jul14 Jul02 Jun09 May22 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 5.00    
CLAIRE'S DARLING Jul29 Jul03 Jun16 May20 Apr30 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-3   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFTER SUNRISE Jul01 Jun12 May29 Nov15 Oct11 (langley s)YARANGA Y 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
CITADINO Aug14 Jul21 Jul04 Jun13 May17 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 116 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CALAIS by A.P. INDY)
SCR  TAP YOUR HEART Jul25 Jul13 Feb06 Dec03 Oct28 (chapman james)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of STEIDLE by PETIONVILLE)
CHARLICITO Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 Jun11 May14 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 116 1.00 49% 1.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SHIRLEY'S RAINBOW by KANTHAROS)
HAVEGUNSWILLTRAVEL May30 May04       (dalton miche)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 15.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of RED CITY ZIP by CITY ZIP)
SOOEY STRONG Aug06         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 116 8.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of SOOEY SUNRISE by CHIEF SEATTLE)
 
MNR-4   08/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LASTSHOTATLIGHTNIN Jun30 Jun18       (baird micha)BARBARAN ERIK 116 12.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of ARBITRAGEUR by BERNARDINI)
SEXY EMPIRE Jul22         (jensen justin )GILBERT KYLE 116 8.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of SHE'S WIRED by OLD FORESTER)
WAY OF APPEAL Jul16 Jun23 May28 May07 Jan31 (cady khalil)WHITACRE B 116 5.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
TAPTAP Jul22 Jun03 Apr21 Jan12 Dec14 (pyke joseph)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
GENEROUS WOMAN Jul22 Jun14 May30     (ewell sr)VEGA L 116 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD by CHANGEINTHEWEATHER)
D'FUNNY GIRL Aug05 Sep03 Aug20     (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of CANADIAN QUEEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
BIT OF BLESSINGS Jul26 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May02 (collins tim)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BIT BUSTIN by BUSTIN STONES)
FIERY SIDE Aug05 Jun18 Jun03 May19 Dec12 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of DELIGHTFUL MAGIC by MINESHAFT)
SHE'S ALL ABOUT IT Aug05         (hayes leland)BRACHO A 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of RETURN ENGAGEMENT by PUT IT BACK)
10  XPENSIVE PRINCESS Aug05 Jun30 Jun18 Jun03 May19 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of PRINCESS JANELLE by CAME HOME)
SCR  FULL OF CHARM Jun29 Jun07 May17 Jul20 Jul06 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 1.80    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of FULL OF INTENT by MASTER COMMAND)
 
MNR-5   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Aug11 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun25 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FOR SURE FOR SURE by OLD TOPPER)
NORTH SHIP         (hetrick krist)BRACHO A 116 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
FINNERS GOLDNSENSE Jul05 Jun07 May12 Apr20   (silva juan)CASTELLANO JESUS 116 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CAPSTONE LADY by PAYNTER)
GALT'S PROMISE Jul19 Jun29 Jun19     (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MIZ K by TAPIT)
PAYNTER CITY         (godsey m)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by PAYNTER out of JAZZ IN THE CITY by TEMPLE CITY)
SCR  MIT MONKEY Jul30 Jun16       (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 111 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
AMBULANTE Aug11 Jul22 Jun17 Jun04   (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 116 12.00    
  (by BIG DRAMA out of BEAUTIFUL MARIA by OLD FASHIONED)
 
MNR-6   08/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEA ON A MISSION Jul31 Jul15 Jun17 Jun04 May21 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MYRA FLEENER Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 Jul02 Feb28 (lopez e)VEGA L 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  FLORINDIA Aug05 Jul18 Apr28 Apr17 Mar15 (rodriguez m)DIAZ R 116 3.00    
HIGH FASHION LADY Jul16 Apr22 Apr10 Mar20 Feb28 (silva juan)CASTELLANO JESUS 120 1.60    
BIG SIS NIC Aug06 Jun18 May30 May22 May03 (murtough )HERNANDEZ H 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
STATE OF GRACE Jul17 Jul02 Jun13 May22 Mar27 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
 
MNR-7   08/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD IDEA Aug02 Jul14 Jun17 Nov26 Nov06 (fletcher k)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 3.00 6% 16.30    
FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Aug07 Jun12 May30 May17 May04 (murtough ste)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
MACHO SMOKE Aug07 Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 Jun09 (montano wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
VALEROSO Aug07 Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Dec04 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
YOUVESAIDITALL Aug07 Jul14 Jul03 Jun17 Jun02 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
DYRDEK Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Dec10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
ASTRAL WEEKS Aug14 Jul21 Jul08 Jun03 May06 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  BRODYTHEOXMAN Jul25 Jul13 Jan23 Jan08 Dec11 (lopez e)BRACHO A 120 4.00    
 
MNR-8   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM FORCE Jul15 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 May12 (barker r)NEGRON LUIS 116 12.00    
JACK'S DREAM Jul30 Dec14 Nov30 Nov06 Oct24 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
ALTMEISTER Jul29 Jul03 Nov01 Sep27 Sep06 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
RATE CONFIRMATION Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 May30 May08 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00    
RED GUN Aug13 Jul24 Jul01 Jun18 May27 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00    
TIMBERRY TIDDLER Jul24 Jul03 Jun03 May13 Dec11 (baird micha)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 14% 6.10    
CRUZIN FOR CHAOS Aug07 Jul14 Jul01 Jun02 Jan24 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 119 8.00    
SCR  TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Jul31 Jul15 Jun29 Jun12 May10 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 5.00    
SCR  HENDRIX Jul01 Nov08 Oct30 Oct15 Oct03 (fiesman robert )VEGA L 120 5.00    
10  TEXCOCO Jul24 Jul03 Jun03 May14 Apr28 (godsey mars)BRACHO A 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.