Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(5/6/2)-(1/9/3/7/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-2   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(1/9/3/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(1/9/3/7/5)-(10/6/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-3   WIN (1/9/3/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/7/5)-(1/9/3/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/7/5)-(1/9/3/7/5)-(1/9/3/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/3/7/5)-(10/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/7/5)-(10/6/5/2)-(2/1/3/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-4   WIN (10/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/2)-(10/6/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/2)-(10/6/5/7/2)-(10/6/5/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/5/2)-(2/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5/2)-(2/1/3/8)-(6/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/9/8)-(2/1/3/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/8)-(6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/8)-(6/8/3)-(8/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-6   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/3)-(6/8/3)-(6/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/3)-(8/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3)-(8/3/5/6)-(2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-7   WIN (8/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/6)-(8/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/6)-(8/3/5/6)-(8/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/6)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/17/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27.88K) 2 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNISFREE LASS Jul30 Jul05       (haran john)ROMERO M 110 10.00    
RAGTIME KITTY Jul21 Jun17       (davis chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00    
BAYTOWN STORM May19 May13 Apr26 Apr11   (mcentee pa)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 5.00    
GREAT DECISION         (cox h)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
GET EVEN KID Jul17 Jun26       (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
FAWN LIEBOWITZ Jun29         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
BAYTOWN SHINJUKU Jul20 Jun17 May10 Apr18   (mcentee pa)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 6.00    
SCR  LA ORGULLOSA Jul30         (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 10.00    
 
IND-2   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BICARB BETTY Jul29 Jul18 Jun19 May20 May01 (haran john)ROMERO M 109 10.00    
BUOY Jul25 Jun20 May20 Feb10 Jan17 (west w)PRESCOTT R 119 8.00 9% 10.70    
NO MORE FAKE NEWS Jul31 Jun27 Apr25 Apr08 Nov15 (haran john)ROMAN A 119 2.50    
COMPRESSED ENERGY Jul15 Jun05 May20 Apr30 Apr08 (klopp randy)PEREZ E 119 6.00    
ACE REPORTER Jul18 Jun26 May20 May06 Apr08 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
TRAFALGAR SHORE Jun27 Jun10 Aug31 Aug02 Jun14 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
IND-3   08/17/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET TREASURE         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of STELLIUM by EMPIRE MAKER)
ANNELLE         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STEELY MAGNOLIA by MANE MINISTER)
CITY COCKTAILS Jul13         (kenneally eddie)PARKER L 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of COCKTAILS ON TAP by TAPIZAR)
TIZNTSHELOVELY Jul16 Jun28 May24     (stewart d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SENSE OF GRACE by STREET SENSE)
ROCKINROLLGIRLS         (greenhill)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SCHEFFLERA by MUTAKDDIM)
LEAD THE WAY Jul31         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 30.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MARKETWAY by AFTER MARKET)
CROWNED WITH GRACE Jul30         (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BRAZOS QUEEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
TUENDA         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of TUSTARTA by TREMPOLINO)
STUBBY         (maker mi)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of TREASURED UP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  STREAKING Jul21 Jun25 Jun04     (ennis john)ROMAN A 120 4.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of RUBIN by DOMINUS)
SCR  SECESSION BREWING May24         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of THAT'S A GIANT NO by NOT THIS TIME)
SCR  PARTY QUEEN         (maker m)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of ABATIS by APTITUDE)
SCR  HI BARBIE         (walsh brendan )ROMAN A 120 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MYTHICAL TALE by TIZNOW)
SCR  TICKIN TIME BLONDE         (oliver v)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BLONDE BOMBER by FORT LARNED)
SCR  POWDERED SUGAR         (beckman whitwo)PARKER L 120 12.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of LONESTAR ANGEL by COWBOY CAL)
 
IND-4   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SARGENT HULKA Jul16 Jun10 May04 Dec07 Nov16 (holden j)PEREZ E 119 15.00    
MONTAUK POINT Jun28 Feb25 Jan07 Oct14 Sep02 (murphy )DE CRUZ 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
YOLO SANTIAGO Nov14 Nov02 Oct17 Sep14 Jul19 (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 30.00    
GRACEFUL KITTEN Jun20 May30 Mar20 Mar07 Feb22 (richardville tiann)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
OFF THE MEDS Jul09 Jun12 May23 Apr13 Mar22 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
AKAMAI Mar30 Feb16 Jan05 Dec08 Oct26 (west w)PRESCOTT R 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
MINE OWN STAR Feb22 Feb07 Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 6.00    
VERSATILE Aug04 Jul03 Jun06 May23 May13 (wisner tra)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 15.00    
CRIMINAL DEFENSE Jun22 Jun08 May16 Mar07 Jan25 (barnett c)PARKER L 122 20.00    
10  DEL MO Jul03 Jun12 Mar04 Jan15 Nov27 (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  CALL OF HONOR Aug08 Jul07 Jun29 Apr07 Sep15 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.50    
 
IND-5   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEALING WATERS Jun13 May14 Apr24 Nov17 Oct19 (haran j)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
LUCKIES JOY Jul05 Jun05 Apr08 Nov08 Oct26 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 119 3.50 39% 1.50    
SECRET'S IMAGE Nov08 Oct26 Oct16 Sep26 Sep12 (brown andy)PARKER L 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
SOUTH DECATUR Aug06 Jul03 May29 May14 Apr25 (galindo-torr)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 15.00    
LEO SPRINGS Jul31 Jul06 Apr08 Mar01 Jan28 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 20.00    
GOLDDIGGENDEVIL Jul13 Jun26 May14 Apr24 Jun21 (weaver micha)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
LOONY Jul13 Jun10 May20 May01 Nov17 (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
MOPED MO Jul06 Jun18 May20 Apr24 Oct23 (dobbsjr r)BERMUDEZ E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
METALLIC MAN Aug07 May29 Apr23 Nov17 Nov08 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 122 4.50    
 
IND-6   08/17/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIGOTIME Jul18 Jun27 Jun05     (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 15.00    
  (by CSABA out of RAJA BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
SCR  BITOFJUSTICE         (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 6.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of DESERT RECON by OUTFLANKER)
NINETEENFOURTYFIVE Jul29         (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of RUN ALONG by RUN SOFTLY)
NINE QUESTIONS         (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ZIPSO FACTO by CITY ZIP)
SCR  INCLUSIVE JUSTICE         (granitz an)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 107 4.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of AMABILE by FAIRBANKS)
POLAR DRIFT Jul18         (gorham )DE CRUZ 117 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by ISOTHERM out of BIG N LUCKY by POLLARD'S VISION)
LOOKOUT KID         (langemeie)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SENACHER by INCLUDE)
SORRY NOT SORRY Aug01         (lauer mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCESSORIZING by OLD FASHIONED)
 
IND-7   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY STREAK Aug01 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 May27 (davis d)PEREZ E 118 12.00    
TAP TAP COMIN THRU Aug05 Jul16 May22 May07 Oct31 (douglass de)ROMERO M 114 6.00    
BROKEN JUSTICE Jul02 Jun08 May22 Mar28 Mar14 (short j)PARKER L 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
BIG ANCHOR Aug01 Jul18 Jul09 Jun19 May16 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50    
SHAGBARK Jul09 Oct28 Oct04 Aug10 Jul03 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 20.00 11% 7.70    
FIREBALL JUSTICE Jul02 Nov10 Oct23 Oct04 Sep25 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
EPIC THE LEGEND Aug01 Jul10 Jun10 May27 Nov17 (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 119 20.00    
ELUSIVE WARRIOR Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 Jun10 May22 (duran a)DE CRUZ 119 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
IND-8   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEYOUINABIT Jul17         (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
ELEGANT JUSTICE Jul05 May22       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 0.80 46% 1.20    
FRENCHYS TOAST Jul23 Jul09 Jun23     (burdess terry)PRESCOTT R 120 8.00    
SCR  MISS CANDELA Jul05         (duran antonio)PARKER L 115 4.00    
DON'T MISS OUT Jul16 Jul05       (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.