Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(3/6/1)-(3/7/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(3/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/7/2/1)-(5/3/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/1)-(5/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/1)-(5/3/4/2)-(2/7/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/2)-(2/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/2)-(2/7/3/5)-(4/6/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/5)-(4/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/5)-(4/6/7/2)-(9/6/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/2)-(9/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/2)-(9/6/5/3)-(7/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/3)-(9/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/3)-(9/6/5/3)-(9/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/5/3)-(7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(2/5/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/2)-(7/5/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(2/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (2/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/3)-(2/5/9/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/3)-(2/5/9/7/3)-(2/5/9/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAYENNE CREEK Jul27 Jul06 Mar28 Mar21 Feb29 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
2  JAZZ WITH DENIS Aug10 Jul05 Jun07 May24 May10 (gomez r)LARROSA G 122 5.00    
3  GOLD FIBER Jul27 Jul12 Jun20 May25 May03 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  REY O REYES Jul06 Jun08 Apr13 Apr04 Feb28 (pyke joseph)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
5  HERO'S MAN Jun27 May16 Mar11 Dec07 Oct25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.80 50% 1.00    
6  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jun14 May23 May03 Apr04 Mar16 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
7  ROCKET APPEAL Jul26 Jun14 Jun01 May16 May03 (campbel)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 ★    
 
CT-2   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWN HOT Jul20 Jun27 May16 Apr25 Apr05 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
2  LAST OF BAD BOYS Jul19 Jun28 Nov19 Oct27 Sep06 (hamlin kat)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 10.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MISS BAD GIRL by FRIENDS LAKE)
3  BIG BAD BRASS Jul20 May20       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SOUTHERN BRASS by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
SCR  GHOSTLY LEO Jul20 Jul06 Jun07 May17 Apr05 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 1.60    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  HOLD DEM Aug05 Jul12       (pyke jo)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 30.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of GIMMEDAPURSE by MASS MEDIA)
6  MEGS GOLDEN BOY Jul20 Jul12 Jun27 Jun21 May30 (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 114 6.00 32% 2.10    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
7  SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Jul20 Jun28 Feb02 Jan24   (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 119 3.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
 
CT-3   08/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Aug03 Jun14 Jun02 May24 Apr26 (mckenzi)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  WELLING Jul27 Jun14 Jun07 May23 May02 (spriggs toschi)REAP E 120 12.00 13% 6.70    
3  PROTA Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 May24 Apr20 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  SEND ME ON Jul09 Jun03 Mar18 Mar06 Feb24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
5  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Jul27 Jun14 May24 May13 Apr28 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
SCR  I AM THAT I AM Jul27 Jun14 Apr16 Mar26 Mar08 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50    
7  ONLY GET'N BETTER Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 May16 Apr25 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
8  ANTIPOISON Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 Apr12 Mar22 (maldonado j)ROBLES O 115 10.00    
 
CT-4   08/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORO OSCURO Jul26         (wilhelm t)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 20.00    
2  IMADHI Jan24 Jan03 Oct12 Sep21   (bourne )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  K'S LANEE Jul22 Jun30 Jun18 Jun03 May09 (meeks karl)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 2.00 12% 7.40    
4  SUGAR CANE JANE Aug01         (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CARMELIZED Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 Jun08 Jul01 (lewis r)MAWING A 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
6  BUTTERFLY WORLD Jul25 Jun30 Jun20 Dec15 Nov24 (brown ronne)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 118 4.00    
7  VIESTE Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 May24 Apr20 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 119 6.00    
8  ITSUPTOME Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May24 Oct06 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
 
CT-5   08/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAHAMA CHANNEL Jul26 Jun26 Jun12 May16 Apr12 (comi w)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
2  GOLD N SILVER Jul02 Jun10 May06 Feb04 Jan03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
3  PYEONG CHANG Jul05 Jun13 May24 May02 Mar20 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
4  SACRED RIDER Jul27 Jul03 Jun20 May30 May18 (jones micha)ROBLES O 117 6.00    
5  KRUG Jul26 Jul05 Jun26 Jun13 May23 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOP OF THE MINT Jul27 Jun14 Apr12 Apr06 Feb09 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00    
7  VIRGINIA FULLA Apr26 Mar30 Feb25 Feb10 Jan12 (bourke)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
8  MISTER WINSTON Jul26 Jun13 May24 May03 Mar21 (shanley tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAN Jul17 Jun27 May11     (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 114 6.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
2  MISS SHACK ATTACK Jul06 Mar02       (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
3  WORKING ON IT Jul20 May30       (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 119 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of EXUBERANTE by GALILEO)
4  MALTESE ROSE Jun21 May03 Mar22 Feb15 Nov24 (haynes m)ACOSTA D 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  GRAN PATRONA Jul17 Jun27 Jun15 May30 Apr13 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 119 5.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of WHENNOONE'SLOOKING by STREET BOSS)
6  LOKI'S LIGHTNING Jul20 Jun21 May24 May04 Aug21 (carlisle john )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
7  LADDIES SONG         (mcgill sylve)LEWIS M 119 10.00 8% 11.60    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SHORT HILL KIT KAT by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
8  WAC IS FAST Aug01 Jul18 Jun28 Jun06 May24 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 119 6.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WAC by LOST SOLDIER)
SCR  NO BODY LIKES ME Aug01         (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PEEVE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CT-7   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST A FLIRT Jul12 Jul05 Jun01 May09 Aug03 (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
SCR  MALEKES MAGIC Jul18 Jun22 Jun01 Feb15 Jan11 (aylor natasha )REAP E 120 20.00    
3  SAM WHEAT Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 May25 Apr27 (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LEG UP Jul12 Jun20 May10 Apr26 Mar28 (hanagan lela)LEWIS M 119 15.00    
5  HURRICANE ALERT Aug01 Jul20 Jun18 Jun01 May11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 10.00 9% 10.30    
6  RUN FOR REAGAN Jul05 Apr19 Mar16 Mar10 Dec28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  COLT ROCK Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 Jun04 May03 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 5.00    
SCR  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jul12 Jun15 May31 May18 Apr19 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
9  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Jul19 Jul05 Jun29 May31 May10 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
10  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Jul05 May10 Mar29 Mar06 Jan25 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
11  THENAME OF THEGAME Jul18 Jun30 Jun15 May23 May07 (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 15.00    
 
CT-8   08/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY PLEASE Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 Jan24 Oct18 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 20.00    
2  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Aug02 Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 Jun13 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 ★    
3  XANTHE Aug02 Jun22 Apr13 Mar22 Feb01 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 5% 18.40    
4  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 Jun06 May25 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 119 8.00    
5  NO DENYING DENIS Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 May23 May03 (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
6  SAFFRON Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 May30 May04 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 15.00    
7  FOXY SISTA Jul26 May23 May09 Oct14 Sep09 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 0.60 63% 0.60    
 
CT-9   08/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIME STAR Jun08 May17 Apr05 Feb01 Jan11 (conn p)REAP E 122 20.00    
2  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Jun27 Jun06 May23 May04 Mar06 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 43% 1.30    
3  IMINCHARGENOW Jul18 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec07 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  FROSTY RIA Jun06 Apr27 Mar15 Mar06 Feb28 (grams tim)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
5  SPIRIT ON THE WIND Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr04 Feb24 (hurley jack)BOCACHICA O 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  TUESDAY TOO Jul18 May16 Apr04 Mar15 Feb02 (bourne)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00    
7  MISS INTENSITY Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 Nov08 Oct27 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 113 3.00 ★    
8  AMELIA'S DREAM Jun28 Jun08 Apr27 Mar15 Feb29 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 8.00    
9  MISS ARGENTINA Mar15 Mar06 Feb24 Jan31 Jan04 (gomez anali)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  CLASSY FOE Jul26 Jun14 Jun07 May09   (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 5.00    
11  KEY TO THE CASTLE Jul18 Jun28 Jun08 May17 Dec07 (espinosa vi)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.