Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(6/4/3)-(4/1/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(4/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(4/1/6/5)-(2/1/8/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-3   WIN (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/5)-(2/1/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/5)-(2/1/8/6/9)-(2/3/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/1/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6/9)-(2/1/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6/9)-(2/1/8/6/9)-(2/1/8/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/6/9)-(2/3/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/6/9)-(2/3/9/5)-(8/6/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-5   WIN (2/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/5)-(2/3/9/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/5)-(2/3/9/1/5)-(2/3/9/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/9/5)-(8/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/5)-(8/6/2/3)-(5/8/9/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-6   WIN (8/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/3)-(5/8/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/3)-(5/8/9/6)-(6/5/9/10/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (5/8/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/6)-(5/8/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/6)-(5/8/9/6)-(5/8/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/9/6)-(6/5/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/5/9/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/10/1)-(6/5/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/10/1)-(6/5/9/10/1)-(6/5/9/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR MY SPEED Jul27 Jul11 Jun06 May22 Apr24 (landry ray)ROSIER R 121 2.50    
2  TRAELEE Jul26 Jul06 Jun06 May22 Apr26 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  RED N WILD Jun26 Feb02 Dec07 Nov21 Jun11 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  HONORARIAN Feb07 Jan18 Dec29 Dec14 May04 (romero j)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00    
SCR  BARAHIN Jul27 Jun28 Jun06 May22 May02 (escobar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
6  SLITHER Jun13 May18 May01 Apr13 Mar14 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
7  WAR SONG Jun25 Feb07 Jan19 Dec19 Nov01 (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 113 15.00 9% 9.80    
8  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Jul27 Jul06 Jun06 May22 May02 (romero j)STOKES J 121 8.00    
 
EVD-2   08/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BATTLE STONE         (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 124 4.50    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of BLUTADDA by MUTADDA)
2  RITE ON SAM Jun27 May25 Apr25 Feb10 Jan11 (noel dane)ROSIER R 120 12.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUEEYESINTHEREIN by MAGNA GRADUATE)
3  MAJESTIC PALACE Jul25 Jan05 Dec09 Nov10 Aug05 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MAJESTIC FANTASY by CAHILL ROAD)
4  MICHAEL'S MOON Jun27 May31 May09 Apr25 Apr05 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 120 1.80 26% 2.90    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CALLE VISTA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  SWAMP POP         (fuselier jon)MAGNON H 117 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WAMPUM GIRL by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  WAY OUT FRONT Jun27 May09 Feb17 Jan20   (noel dane)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of A PRETTY HANSEN by HANSEN)
SCR  JANET'S BROTHER Jun03 May21       (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of JUST CALL ME JANET by PURE PRIZE)
 
EVD-3   08/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A BIRD Jul04 Jun13 May18 May03 Apr12 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.00 20% 4.10    
2  INFINITESIMAL Jul30 Jul20 Jun15 May29 Apr24 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 124 4.50    
3  CIGAR VAN Jul26 Jun28 May18 Apr17 Mar08 (pitzer d)POMPELL L 121 3.50    
4  DEAL WITH HIM Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 May04 Apr17 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  QUARTER RAT Jul04 Jun13 May18 May03 Apr12 (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HARDLY ABLE Jul18 Jun27 May10 Apr19 Mar10 (landry r)THORNTON G 121 10.00 10% 9.50    
7  CHAD'S FLASH Jul30 Jul03 Jun13 May25 May08 (fuselier jo)MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00    
 
EVD-4   08/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOORAY AUSTIN Jul18 Jun27 May09 Apr27 Apr18 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 1.80 22% 3.60    
2  ALTERANA Jul18 May06 Apr20 Feb17 Feb03 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  GOLDENLUTE Jul20 Jun28 May24 May04 Apr17 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 20.00    
4  GOLD MERRITT Jul26 Jun13 May01 Feb07 Dec21 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 15.00    
5  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Jul26 Jun21 Jun07 May03 Apr13 (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 6.00    
6  FLOWER CAT Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 May10 Mar03 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STREET ART Aug03 Jun21 May18 Feb02 Jan04 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 121 15.00    
8  SILVER WINGS Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 May23 Apr11 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 8.00 7% 13.90    
9  COPTER Jul18 Jun28 May23 May08 Mar09 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN Jul20 Mar03 Feb08 Jan04 Nov10 (romero markel )GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
 
EVD-5   08/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALFMINEANDALLHERS         (breaux samuel)FUSILIER C 118 3.50 ★    
  (by HALF OURS out of WINTERS BLAST by COMMENDABLE)
2  COATTAILS Jul13         (castille carrol)STOKES J 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of PASS PARTOUT by TIZNOW)
3  MONEY KINGDOM         (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.00 25% 3.10    
  (by MR. MONEY out of MOONRISE KINGDOM by FIRST SAMURAI)
4  SOPHIE'S PAINTER         (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SOPHIE GERMAIN by ALGORITHMS)
5  NOVA'S RETURN         (schwandt emi)QUILES ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of SPRING MAMBO by KINGMAMBO)
6  BEACH TRIPPIN Aug03 Jul13       (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of LISA by CAPITALIMPROVEMENT)
7  MAXIMUM GRACE         (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of GABBY'S GOT GRACE by SCAT DADDY)
8  DADDY'S GIFT         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 20.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of MUSKARELLA by MUSKET MAN)
9  MARDI GRAS MAMBO Jul29         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00 19% 4.20    
  (by HALF OURS out of BOURBON N BOOTS by PROSPECTOR'S GIFT)
 
EVD-6   08/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPASADO Jul13 Jun29 Nov14 Oct12 Sep02 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.50    
2  EVE'S DELIGHT Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 Feb25 Jan05 (goins garlan)MURRAY M 118 10.00 5% 18.10    
3  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS Jul25 Jul12 May11 Apr10 Mar14 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  JAN'S TURN TO WIN Jun02 May12 Oct12 Aug25 Jul23 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 15.00    
5  HOW BOUT ME Nov01 Oct12 Sep06 Jul21 Jun17 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 121 6.00    
6  SWEET TEMPERAMENT Jul12 Jun06 Feb13 Jan06 Dec08 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 1.80 32% 2.20    
7  LUMINOUS FLIGHT Jun01 Apr20 Feb24 Dec14 Nov16 (robbins j)MCMAHON J 118 20.00    
8  SASSI STRUTTER Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 May29 Jan19 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 114 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  FLASHY MEG Jun01 Feb03 Jan05 Dec15 Oct12 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.50    
 
EVD-7   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNIN MUNNIN Jul26 Jun25 Jun04 May09 Mar07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
2  PACIFICISLANDTIME Jun22 May25 Apr24 Mar22 Feb03 (delahou)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
3  JAYS HOLIDAY May29 May15 May01 Apr05 Mar22 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 118 20.00    
4  BENDETTIJOE May28 May06 Mar03 Feb17 Jan20 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00    
5  EL ORIENTE (CHI) Jul19 Jun27 Jun10 May18 Apr24 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  DON'T BOX ME IN Jul13 May22 May02 Aug26 Aug03 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OVERANALYTICAL Jul23 Jul12 Jun14 May30 Dec07 (wilson shane)VARGAS P 121 5.00    
8  HOME VISIT Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 Apr26 Apr11 (terre david)THORNTON G 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
9  SKI PATROL Mar10 Feb10 Dec31 Dec10 Nov16 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 17% 4.90    
 
EVD-8   08/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A P HUMOR Jul11 Jun21 May24 May15 Apr13 (latour nicho)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  COME WHAT MAE Jul25 Jul05 Jun22 May31 May15 (cormier cardel)THORNTON G 124 5.00    
3  BLESS D'SOUTH Jul17 Jul01 May24 Apr27 Mar13 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 15.00    
4  IMMA MADI TUE Jun28 May30 Apr18 Mar08 Feb16 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 15.00    
5  MOR KISSES Jul25 Jul02 May31 May11 Feb23 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
6  FRONT AND SILVER Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 May08 Apr13 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
7  HOT GOLDEN GIRL Jul19 Jun22 Jun08 Mar08 Feb16 (david b)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 12.00    
8  ZEEROCK Jun08 May22 May04 Apr20 Feb07 (tillis e)STOKES J 124 20.00    
9  SARAH'S COURT Jul18 Jun13 May10 Apr26 Apr11 (landry ra)POMPELL L 120 6.00 8% 12.30    
10  SABERFIGHT Jul26 Jun21 May24 Apr18 Apr06 (zeno be)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEEZ JITTERBUG         (castille ri)LEDET THEODRICK 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.