Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (6/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/9)-(6/8/5/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/9)-(6/8/5/2/9)-(6/8/5/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/1/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/12/2)-(6/1/12/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/12/2)-(6/1/12/4/2)-(6/1/12/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (5/6/8/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/1/10)-(5/6/8/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/1/10)-(5/6/8/1/10)-(5/6/8/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-10   WIN (5/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE DRUNK NEIGHBOR Jul06 Apr26       (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00    
2  CONFLICTED Jul18 Mar14 Jan28     (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 ★    
3  QUICKER THAN QUICK Jul21 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 May19 (milne joan)IORIO MELISSA 114 15.00    
4  EDITOR'S CHOICE Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 May27 Dec16 (cash russ)BOCACHICA J 118 4.50    
5  LAKE CHAPALA Jul20 Jun16 Jun08 May27 Mar03 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 5.00 12% 7.00    
6  BATTLE OF BRITAIN Jul20 Jun28 Jun02 Apr21 Feb13 (trites lands)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  WATCH MY TAIL Jul20 Jun23       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00    
8  P J'S SONG Jun29 Jun02 Mar30 Feb24   (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 119 2.50 14% 6.10    
9  IMPULSIVE SPENDING Jun29 Jun01 May25 Nov19 Sep22 (arenas m)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-2   08/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTORTED VIEW Jul04 Jun17 May20 Apr17 Feb28 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 124 2.50    
2  SECRET TEMPTATION Jul27 Jul08 Jun23 Jun06 May14 (perez fl)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50    
3  ROSE E HOLIDAY Jul12 Jun15 Feb11 Jan18 Dec24 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  MATOULA Jul26 Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 May25 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 114 5.00    
5  JOY'S PRIDE Jul26 Mar19 Mar04 Nov13 Nov01 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ANNA ROCKS Jul01 Jun12 Jun03 May14 Apr23 (perez a)CASTILLO A 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
 
MTH-3   08/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO FAKE Jul13 Jun22 Jun16 Mar03 Feb02 (delgado h)RENDON JAIRO 117 8.00 7% 12.40    
2  ISN'T SHE KHOZY Jun28 Jun15 May09 Apr19 Jul07 (margotta )CAMACHO JR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SASSY ANNIE Jun29 Jun16 Oct27 Oct06 Jul09 (wilson tony)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00    
4  KEEP ON ROCKIN Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 May22 Apr27 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  DERBY GIFT Jul13 Jun15 May19 Apr13 Feb18 (crowell )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 108 15.00    
6  IN THE END Jun30 Jun06 May25 Dec09 Oct26 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  TABOR TIME Jul13 Jun15 May27 Apr17 Apr06 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 15.00    
8  ROSEMARY POTATOES Jul21 Jul07 Jun20 Apr20 Mar14 (serey m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 12.00    
9  KEEP IN TOUCH Jul07 May26 Apr26 Mar02   (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 112 5.00    
10  CAPTURE THIS Jul06 Jun28 Jun15 May19 Feb29 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  LUCKY OPPORTUNITY Jul22 Jun12 May28 May13 Apr29 (perez flores)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 8.00    
12  SPECIAL AFFAIR Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 May19 Apr21 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 117 5.00 7% 13.70    
 
MTH-4   08/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARLAY FOR DESTINY Jul28         (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50    
2  PLEASANT FANTASY         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
3  NOSTALGIA'S SMILE         (david a)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 43% 1.40    
SCR  BINGO'S GRIND         (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00    
5  K PAZ Jul27         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  EL DOLLAR Jul23 May17       (king clarence)JARA FERNANDO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRIME MOTIVE Jun02         (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 15.00    
8  GREAT SECURITY         (suarez wlaimar)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SUPER LINO         (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR JEAN 112 10.00    
 
MTH-5   08/04/2024 5940ft TURF RC8 GOOD Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRWANI (ARG) Jul28 May04 Mar17 Feb24 Feb16 (d'angelo jose)JARA FERNANDO 117 4.00    
2  TEPEU Jul14 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 May18 (ramirez )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00    
3  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Jun29 Jun20 Mar16 Feb15 Jan10 (walder peter)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.50 53% 0.90    
4  GILDED AGE May27 May04 Mar20 Mar14 Feb15 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
5  PEOPLE FORCE Jul11 Jun09 May04 Apr05 Mar17 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 118 3.50    
6  LATE CALL Jul20 Jun29 Jun16 May26 May06 (ryan s)TORRES JOMAR 118 5.00 6% 16.00    
7  DENYING Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 May12 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00    
8  FIGHTERTOWN Jul19 May27 Apr20 Feb18 Jan28 (schultz l)VARGAS A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-6   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Jul23 Jun11 May18 May06 Mar26 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  HUSHION Jul20 Jul05 Jun09 May25 May19 (cole-davis tin)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
3  AUSTIN FROM BOSTON Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 May19 May12 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
4  CENTER MID MADDIE Jul20 Jul07 Jun16 May25 May08 (cole-da)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BARGAINING POWER Jul07 Jun22 Jun02 May27 May12 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 116 6.00    
6  PYLON Jul24 Jul10 Jun25 Jun08 May08 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.00    
7  FIRST DEPUTY Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May27 Apr27 (gomez pompey)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  OSPREY Jul26 Jul02 Jun16 May30 Apr30 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
MTH-7   08/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 Nov03 Oct08 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 122 2.50    
2  MADNESS Jul13 Jun29 Jun02 Mar30 Mar07 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  MOMMA KIM Jun18 Jun06 May16 Apr24 Mar09 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
4  PINK ROSE Jul26 Jul14 Jun26 May06 Mar10 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Jul28 Jul19 Jun09 May11 Sep15 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 124 8.00    
6  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Jul12 Jun16 Apr28 Mar27 Mar17 (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  TAP IT UP Jul25 Mar16 Feb10 Dec22 Oct28 (ryerson t)BRAVO J 121 6.00    
SCR  THEARCHERORTHEPREY Jul14 May01 Apr09 Mar13 Feb26 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 15.00    
9  MOVING IN STEREO Jul28 Jul04 Nov04 Sep09 Sep02 (harris holly)OLVER MADISON 121 30.00    
SCR  SUBWAY SUSIE Jul14 Jun28 Jun08 May19 May05 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00    
 
MTH-8   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PETULANT DELIGHT Jul24 Jul01 Jun08 May29 May04 (rodriguez irv)RIVERA D 121 8.00    
2  SOUPER FLY OVER Jul22 Jun26 Jun16 May28 May08 (tapsas ilias)AGUILAR JEAN 114 5.00    
3  FACE ABARRIO Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 May27 May20 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  FATIH Jul13 May08 Apr16 Mar27 Feb07 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00    
SCR  SAL N LOUIE Jul03 Jun18 May29 May07 Apr24 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00    
6  PORCH SWING Jul19 Jul12 Jun15 May25 May12 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 7% 12.50    
7  HOT ROD RUMBLE Jun29 May04 Mar22 Mar14 Feb25 (barrera osca)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  THE BEARRISH ONE Jul02 Jun18 May28 May04 Apr26 (pino v)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
 
MTH-9   08/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODACIOUS BREN Jul27 Jun08 May26 May03 Feb09 (gallegos jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 12% 7.30    
2  COLLECT DATTT Jun16 May26 Apr18 Mar07 Feb16 (belsoeur )VARGAS A 121 20.00    
3  PARISIAN VIBE Jul04 Jun22 Apr24 Apr02 Mar19 (ramirez )HERNANDEZ J 121 30.00    
4  AMAZING GRACES JOY Jul19 Jul07 Jun29 Jun01 May18 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 12.00    
5  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE Jul07 May12 Jan06 Nov29 Sep07 (delacour arnau)RENDON JAIRO 117 1.60 25% 2.90    
6  LADY D'ORO Jul07 Jun08 Jul29 Jul02 Jun16 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 21% 3.70    
7  PRINCESS GLADYS Jul07 Jun09 May18 Apr26 Apr05 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
8  LOST MY SOCK Jul18 Jun02 May11 Apr27 Nov05 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  A NEW PEACE Jul07 Jun27 Jun08 May26 Mar30 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 6.00    
10  FACTORBELLA Jul20 Jun28 Jun02 May22 May04 (wilson )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  D' TIGER LILY Jul20 Jun30 May18 Apr24 Apr10 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  COOLCALM COLLECTED Jun28 Jun07 May12 Oct08 Jul02 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 121 4.50    
 
MTH-10   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UDIDN'TPAY Jul17 Jul03 Jun12 May29 May06 (king clarence)JARA FERNANDO 119 12.00    
2  BAHAMIAN BABY Jul27 Apr28 Mar30 Feb24 Feb07 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 8.00    
3  SPEEDY N SMART Jul26 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21   (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 123 8.00 8% 11.80    
4  AZTECA STARDUST Jul06 Jun21 May26 May02   (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  YUMYUM EAT EM UP Jul14 Jul06 Jun28 Apr28 Mar23 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.80 54% 0.80    
6  SHE'S FANTASTIC Jul26 Jul12 Jun22 Jun14 May25 (gonzalez claud)AGUILAR JEAN 112 5.00    
7  S K MOON Jul28 Jul12 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 123 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.