Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Friday - August 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(6/1/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(6/1/5/7)-(6/4/5/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
EMD-2   WIN (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/7)-(6/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/7)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
EMD-3   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/3)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/3)-(6/3)-(6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(6/2/4)-(6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-6   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOENICIAN MAGIC Jun21 Jul21 Mar26 Mar07 Feb20 (ramnarine l)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 66% 0.50    
2  CAPO SORELLA Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 May25 Apr29 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 4.00    
3  ANOTHER TEN Jul19 Jun21 May18 Apr16 Aug26 (gibson howard )REYES R 125 2.00 ★    
4  SETTLER'S COVE Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 May12 Sep16 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 2.50    
5  LUTES SEA GYPSY Jul19 Jun21 May31 Aug27 Aug11 (simkins ros)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIKINI NATION Jul06 Sep16 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 (markle dan)MAWING A 122 4.00    
 
EMD-2   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN SHARON Jul03 Jun09 May12 Oct09 Sep25 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.00 30% 2.40    
2  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Jun30 Jun07 May18 Oct08 Oct02 (peery de)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50    
3  LA POPIS Jul26 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 May26 (gabriel luciano )MONTALVO C 125 3.00    
4  LUVAHAPPYENDING Jul13 Jun30 Jun23 Jun09 Oct29 (perez s)REYES R 125 12.00    
5  SQUARE FOOTAGE Jul14 May18 Aug25 Aug05 Jul16 (navarro jose)MAWING A 125 6.00 13% 6.90    
6  FOR YOU ONLY Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 May12 Sep17 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 125 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  TIZ FOR REAL Jul13 Jun23 Jun07 May26 Apr29 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-3   08/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-11:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVELLINASA Jul12 Jun29 Jun15     (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
2  MR. EXECUTIVE Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 Sep03 Aug06 (wright blaine)REYES R 121 3.00    
3  WHISKEYONTHEROCKS Jul06         (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  POLIS Jul12 Jun14 Jun01 May04 Mar17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  GRAZED BY LOVE Jul06         (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00 8% 10.80    
6  JULLIAN IN PARIS Jul13 Jun29       (wenzel tom)MATIAS J 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  DRIVE TRAIN Jul06 Jun14 Apr25 Oct11   (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 118 6.00    
 
EMD-4   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH PAPA Jul13 Jun30 Jun22 Jun02 May25 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
2  CAJUN TREASURE Jul21 Jul12 Jun30 Jun02 May18 (hernandez migu)REYES R 125 4.00 ★    
3  LIL MIRACLE MAN Jun30 Jun15 Apr11 Mar18 Jan28 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 5.00 9% 9.70    
4  ARIZONA ANDREW Jun30 Jun14 May26 May02 Apr15 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
5  NAPOLETANO Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 May19 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.00    
6  OVERLY FAST Jul20 Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 May04 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 1.80 64% 0.60    
 
EMD-5   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING THUNDER Jul06 Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Jun23 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
2  SHE'S SO SHINY Jun28 Jun07 Mar03 Feb16 Jan19 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  NAN ELIZABETH Jun16 Jun01 May12 Mar05 Nov24 (gabriel luciano )MONTALVO C 122 4.00    
4  SHEZARUNAWAY Jul04 May25 Apr07 Feb25 Jan15 (markle dan)REYES R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LEMON DROP LADY Jul19 Jun23 Jun16 May11 Apr22 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.50    
6  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Jul19 Jul06 May25 May12 Apr25 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
EMD-6   08/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RALLIFIED Jul19 Jun29 May25 Oct08 Sep02 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  TAPIT DOWN Jun13 May17 Apr19 Mar22 Feb23 (evans justin)MAWING A 125 2.00    
SCR  BENNY BUCKETS Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May25 May04 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50    
4  ALLANTE Jul12 Jun23 May25 May04 Sep17 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 15.00    
5  FIRST ENDEAVOR Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 May31 Sep17 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 125 5.00    
6  THUNDER BALL Jul04 Jun13 Oct12 Sep02 Jul30 (evans justin)CRUZ M 121 3.50 53% 0.90    
7  MONGOLIAN SPRING Jul19 Jul12 Jun21 May31 May18 (toye joe)REYES R 125 8.00 12% 7.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.