Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-2   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-3   Win (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-4   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-5   Win (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-6   Win (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-7   Win (6/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NERVY Jun15 Apr19 Mar22 Feb25 Feb08 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
BET ON BOBBY Jun19 May20 May04 Mar15 Jan11 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.50    
SKIPPA Jul11 Jun21 May18 May02 Apr06 (fuselier jonah)MAGNON H 120 6.00    
CUSTOM PRAYER May29 Apr19 Feb22 Dec14 Nov15 (munoz yovani)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
EL DEAL ME ACES Jun29 Jun08 May18 Mar06 Feb18 (dandridge cour)MURRAY M 122 1.80 28% 2.50    
OCEOLA Jul02 Jun08 May04 Apr06 Dec20 (schultz l)BOREL H 122 8.00    
 
LAD-2   07/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BE BO Jul01 Jun12 May04 Mar13 Dec22 (daigle walter)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
JERSEY HOTTIE Jun05 May08 Jul21 Jul06 May18 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
MEAN AMERICAN Jul03 May31 Apr26 Apr11 Mar24 (larrosa a)BARRERA J 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
BEYOND THE HYPE Jul12 Jun19 May31 May18 Apr26 (melancon d)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Jul15 May10 Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Jul03 Jun04 Apr30 Apr10 Mar19 (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50    
WA WA WEE WA May28 May15 May05 Apr19 Apr07 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00    
 
LAD-3   07/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERTAKESDALEAD Jul02 Jun05 May18 May06 Apr17 (broussard jervo)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
ROCK SOLID WORDS Jun24 Jun03 May06 Apr24 Feb08 (foster joseph )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
PINK HIGGINS Jun26 Jun10 May20 Feb21 Jan20 (dunn ray)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 8.00    
HALF A BUCK Jun24 Jun04 May20 Apr17 Mar08 (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
FAMILY CREED Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 May18 Apr25 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
G'S STORM Jun24 Jun10 May04 Dec30 Dec08 (dixon tim)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
INFINITESIMAL Jul20 Jun15 May29 Apr24 Apr05 (larrosa a)BARRERA J 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
LAD-4   07/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOO Jun24 May07 Mar09 Feb18 Feb10 (singh s)BOREL H 122 10.00    
SUNDAY BREEZE Jul04 May17 Apr19 Mar07 Jan27 (duhon paul)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
WOODS N WATER Jul06 Jun07 Mar23 Mar02 Feb03 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
OAK HILL LG Jul09 May29 May04 Apr13 Mar16 (alfortish sean)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
SONYA KNOWS BETTER Jul06 Jun01 May17 May01 Apr12 (breaux samuel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
CARLEA'S DREAM Jun23 May26 May03 Feb25 Feb11 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 122 1.80 18% 4.50    
 
LAD-5   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORTY THREE Jul02 Jun10 May04 Apr19 Mar10 (balderas a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
SCR  HEZA PRIORITY Jul17 May27 Mar06 Feb22 Feb09 (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
LIL WOADIE Jul02 May20 May06 Mar16 Feb25 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHAD'S FLASH Jul03 Jun13 May25 May08 Apr18 (fuselier jonah)MAGNON H 124 4.50    
SCR  JACK BOB AND LARRY Jul02 May29 Mar21 Jan21 Dec29 (johnson henry )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
HOLY BAYOU May31 May06 Dec21 Oct18 Jul28 (klanfer alan)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 12.00 25% 2.90    
SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Jul10 May04 Apr27 Apr19 Apr05 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00    
CHARCO Jun25 Jun04 May08 Mar08 Feb17 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
LAD-6   07/30/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARRA Jul13 Apr18 Mar29 Mar03 Feb10 (bryant george)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00    
CADILLAC COWBOY Jul03 Jun19 Jun10 May20 May04 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
CREATIVE MIRACLE Jul07 Jun22 May27 May04 Apr15 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DRAG MALIBU Jul04 May28 Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 (rufino ju)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00    
PREMIUM Jun26 May29 May07 Mar24 Mar01 (hargrave kennet)VARGAS P 122 8.00 8% 11.40    
DEBATER Jul09 Jun11 May14 Apr21 May05 (gonzalez n)POMPELL L 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
CLEAT Jul12 Jun16 Apr28 Apr05 Mar24 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
CRAZY RIDGE Jun28 Jun08 May04 Apr18 Apr05 (rangel rau)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
CHI TOWN HUSTLER Jul02 Jun17 May29 Apr19 Jan26 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50    
 
LAD-7   07/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONDURAS PASSION Jul04 Jun11 May29 Apr26 Apr04 (wilson mel)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
MITOLE'S LADY         (milligan alle)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 12.00 23% 3.30    
THE LADY BULLS EYE Jun08 May07 Feb21 Jan19 Aug28 (nelson r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
SHELLEY'S ROSE Jul09 Jun18       (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00    
BALITRIX Jul10 Jun08 May20     (vincent jarvis)HERNANDEZ V 120 20.00    
LAST WINE FOR ME May18 May04       (mckellar p)FLORIAN JOSE 115 4.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  ABBEY CAKES Jun24 May31 May02 Apr12 Feb09 (west henry)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
TRUST FUND BABY Jul09 Oct29 Oct10 Sep14 Sep07 (mickelson judy)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00    
LA LOMBRIZ Jun04 May21 May08     (del erick)BOREL H 124 8.00    
10  RON'S LAVENDER Jun22 May26 Apr27 Mar29 Mar22 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  ON THE MONEY LUV Jul04 Jun24 May29 May18 Apr26 (hewitt michael)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00    
12  QUART HIGH Jun18 May21 Jan26 Dec15   (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 6.00    
SCR  ARDEN AR May03 Apr21 Apr04 Mar23 Mar03 (nelson r)WADE LYNDIE 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.