Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - July 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/2/6)-(1/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(1/3/4)-(6/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(6/3/2)-(1/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-4   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(1/4/2)-(4/8/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(4/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(4/8/3/7)-(11/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/7)-(11/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (11/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/9/10)-(11/9/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/9/10)-(11/9/10)-(11/9/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/24/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER RACE Jun28         (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.50    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of CLEVER MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
LUCKY GEM         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HOT AUTUMN by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  LARYSCOUNTRYGIRL         (nixon w)GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of MISCHIEVOUS GIRL by INTO MISCHIEF)
DEVIL'S POOL Jul12         (johnson b)WADE LYNDIE 117 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of ZIP HER UP by CITY ZIP)
DIAMOND EMPRESS         (clary jaylan )LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of FINER THINGS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  IMPERIAL FAIRYTALE         (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 10.00    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of BRUSHFIREFAIRYTALE by NAJRAN)
 
LAD-2   07/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AND CHANGE Jul10 Jun18 May21 May03   (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
MARK WITH AN E Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May21 May04 (del eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
SAINT ISABEL Jun18 Jun04 Apr18 Mar09 Feb07 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
SCR  AURORA AUSTRALIS Jul09 Jun11 May07 Apr05 Feb16 (foster joseph )MUNOZ SERGIO 115 10.00    
RUN DREAMING May22 May04 Mar15 Feb08 May12 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 121 1.80 52% 0.90    
LEXINGTON DIVA Jul07 Jun08 May25 Apr28 Jan26 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 6% 16.00    
 
LAD-3   07/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE COSMO Jun21 May16 Apr18 Mar22 Feb09 (jeansonne jus)VARGAS P 124 1.60 56% 0.80    
ROCKALL Jun18 May18 Apr11 Feb12 Dec31 (melancon d)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.50    
FABLED RULER Jul02 Jun05 May06 Mar22 Feb29 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 2.00 16% 5.40    
JIMMIE'S HALO Jun28 Jun05 May07 Apr24 Apr10 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
TAYSOM Jul04 Jun10 May01 Apr11 Mar22 (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50    
 
LAD-4   07/24/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOSS Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 Feb24 Jan12 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50    
KINGPRIN Sep12 Aug27 Jul10 May30 May07 (romero haro)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 6.00 8% 11.50    
FLASH N CLASS Jun25 May28 Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
GO BROTHER GO Jul04 Feb16 Feb02 Dec09 Nov24 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 124 12.00    
SCR  MAGIC LIGHTNING Jun10 Jul22 Jul10 Jun25 May30 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00    
PARTY AT JAYS Jun25 May22       (washington r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
LAD-5   07/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B MINOR May25 May08 Apr24 Mar14 Feb16 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
MANNY'S KAT May20 May07       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
BAD BRAD Jun25 May08 Apr19 Mar22 Feb09 (venzor jail)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 117 10.00    
OVERBORE Jun02 May09 Apr10 Mar08 Sep22 (mouton patric)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  CLASSY SHIPMAN Jun19 May06 Oct20 Jul03 Feb18 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
CORKED May04 Apr13 Mar02 Jan27 Dec30 (cates al)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00    
 
LAD-6   07/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCHANTED NILE Jun16 May25 May04 Mar22 Jan01 (gelner j)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
MY FRIEND AMY Jun16 May27 May03 Apr06 Feb16 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 122 8.00    
APPROPRIATED FUNDS Jul03 May27 Apr26 Feb17 Jan27 (clary jaylan )LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
MISCHIEVOUS GAL Jun29 May11 Mar09 Oct19 Sep20 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
MUSIC MISTRESS Jul01 May03 Apr13 Mar21 Feb17 (mckellar joe)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
MISS PRIORITY Jul01 May15 Mar14 Jan15 Dec22 (duhon pa)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
ALPINE MIST May15 Mar24 Oct06 May05 Mar25 (garcia)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
LETS DECLARE PEACE Apr28 Apr06 Feb17 Jun04 Mar05 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
LAD-7   07/24/2024 4950ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKIN Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 May27 May15 (beavin judy)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.00    
SHAMAYIM Jun26 Jun03 May18 May08 Apr21 (cravens ronnie)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
SCR  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Jun30 Jun22 May18 Apr18 Mar08 (cravens ronni)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
RUSSIAN TANK Jul03 Jun07 May28 May08 Mar24 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00    
SCR  ROBO Jun26 Jun11 May27 May17 Apr19 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  MAU MAU (BRZ) Jun26 May18 Mar14 Jan25 Jan05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
SCR  FREEDOM FACTOR Jun11 May08 Mar14 Feb22 Jan05 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  Z Z'S PRINCE Jun26 Jun03 May18 Mar23 Mar08 (zeringue j)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
KID SHELLEEN Jun26 May27 May13 Apr27 Mar22 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
10  INTO WISHING Jun08 May21 May07 Feb21 Feb09 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  MOSQUITO FLEET Jul09 Jun10 May08 Feb01 Dec06 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  DON'T BOX ME IN Jul13 May22 May02 Aug26 Aug03 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.