Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/6)-(3/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/6)-(3/1/6/8)-(2/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (3/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/8)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/8)-(2/5/6)-(4/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/8/7)-(7/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-4   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/7)-(7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7)-(7/2/3)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-5   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(9/11/10/8/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(9/11/10/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-7   WIN (9/11/10/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/10/8/3)-(9/11/10/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/10/8/3)-(9/11/10/8/3)-(9/11/10/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RARE STRIPE Jul10 Jun24 Jun01 May03 Apr12 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50    
2  CHARLIECANDO Jun29 Jun09 May22 Apr28 Feb25 (cravens ronnie )WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00    
3  STOMPING HOTROD Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 May20 Apr12 (altamirano )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 3.00 11% 8.10    
4  VALDINA DREAMS Jul03 Jun02 May18 Apr21 Mar24 (payne dann)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00    
5  YOU VEE CEE Jun26 May29 Apr26 Apr12 Mar17 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
6  UPTOWN SOCIAL Jun26 Jun01 May24 May06 Apr22 (dixon tim)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CREME DE LA CHROME Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 Jan05 Nov14 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 54% 0.80    
 
LAD-2   07/23/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERANALYTICAL Jul12 Jun14 May30 Dec07 Oct11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
2  DUDE DROP KID Jun11 May13 Mar06 Feb03 Dec29 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50    
3  ATHENS MOON Mar23 Mar03 Feb22 Jan05 Nov22 (mouton chadw)BARRERA J 122 4.50 47% 1.10    
4  SUMMER LOVER Jul06 Jun06 May28 May10 Mar08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
5  READY SHOES Jul11 Jun11 May21 May04 Mar15 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
6  AMERICAN DOLLARS Jun25 May04 Feb10 Jan26 Jan01 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  MY UNCLE LEON Jul15 Jun26 May27 Apr26 Apr13 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00    
8  WANNA WINNA May09 Apr25 Apr05 Mar08 Feb18 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-3   07/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIFFANY'S FERRARI Jun30 Mar29 Mar16 Mar03 Feb23 (hibdon n)WADE LYNDIE 120 6.00    
2  CAROLINA JACY Jul03 Jun11 May07 Mar08 Feb16 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
3  LONG SHOT LOUISE Jun24 May27 May06 Mar17 Jan11 (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 4.00    
SCR  RUN AWAY SAMARI Jul02 Jun18 May28 May04 Feb15 (roberson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00    
5  SHEZA SALTY GAL Jul02 Jun18 May28 Feb22 Jan11 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  MY IDEA Jul02 Jun11 May27 May14 Apr24 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPECIAL GIRL Jun25 Jun08 May06     (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 124 10.00    
8  DONTFORGETRDREAMS Aug27 Jul30 Jun26 Jun10 May13 (lara jorge)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00    
 
LAD-4   07/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST VERDICT Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 May07 Feb22 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50    
SCR  SABER RUN Jul04 Jun17 May15 May03 Mar14 (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Jun17 Apr12 Feb29 Feb03 Jan26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50    
4  SENATOR CON Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May13 Feb18 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
5  SMARTY ALEX Jun17 May27 Apr11 Feb29 Feb08 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
SCR  RIPITTOTHERIGHT May27 May13 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
7  NOW NOW MAN Jul03 Feb01 Jan20 Dec27 Dec01 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HELAIRE Jul03 Jun10 May13 Mar16 Feb18 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 21% 3.70    
 
LAD-5   07/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOK EM UP         (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SULLIVYN'S ROSE by BERNARDINI)
2  MISCHIEF PRINCESS         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of GYPSY PRINCESS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  PEPPERMINT BITES         (roberson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of ABUNDANCEOFCAUTION by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  DAZZLING DUCHESS         (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 117 4.00 ★    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of STARRY EXPECTATION by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
5  FERN SPIRIT         (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 117 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NORTHERN FERN by LANGFUHR)
SCR  LITTLE ALLI         (venzor jail)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 117 12.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MIL MIL by PARADING)
7  GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE May25         (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.00 52% 0.90    
  (by THE HUNK out of SPICY SUPRISE by LATENT HEAT)
8  MILLIE'S STARDUST         (dixon tim)GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00    
  (by HAMAZING DESTINY out of TWO PUNCH MILLIE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
 
LAD-6   07/23/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTENING MO Jun06 May11 Apr13 Mar16 Mar01 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
2  ROLLIN BLACKOUT Jun12 May21 Nov09 Oct05 Sep21 (dixon ti)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  MIZ JAMESON Jun17 May22 Jul03 Jun17 May20 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  GHOST BAYOU Jun12 May21 Apr14 Mar02 Jan12 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00    
5  FOREIGN TOURIST Jul01 Jun03 May08 Mar08 Jul08 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 118 8.00    
SCR  BENT HALO Jun17 May22 Apr26 Apr04 Mar01 (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 118 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE E Jun11 May13 Feb17 Sep02 Aug05 (schultz l)BOREL H 119 4.50    
 
LAD-7   07/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY SAGEY Jun19 May28 May18 May08 Apr26 (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
2  CAVIAR RESOLUTION May15 Jan19 Dec29 Dec10 Nov17 (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 122 12.00    
3  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Jun25 May27 Apr26 Apr07 Mar28 (hewitt michael)WADE LYNDIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  OOCHIE Jul01 Jun10 Feb22 Jan25 Nov21 (nelson eric)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00    
5  HURRICANE TIZWAY Jun25 Jun04 May15 Feb24 Feb10 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
6  SHE DAZZLE Jun23 Jun01 Apr19 Mar17 Feb19 (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SCR  ROSES ARE GRAY Jul21 Jun15 May10 Apr27 Apr05 (garza joaquin )GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00    
8  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Jul13 Jun27 Jun10 May07 Mar21 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 6.00 6% 14.40    
9  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Jul01 Jun07 May17 Apr20 Mar24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
10  TEXAS RED BEL Jun23 Jun01 May05 Mar17 Feb19 (payne danny )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 11% 8.30    
11  IZEONPOINT Jul15 Jun19 May29 Apr26 Apr05 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.