Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(1/7/2)-(6/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(6/1/5)-(4/7/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/7/5/6)-(1/2/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (4/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/6)-(1/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/6)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/7)-(1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/7)-(1/8/2)-(1/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/2/3)-(1/8/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2)-(1/5/8)-(7/2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/8)-(1/5/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/8)-(1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/8)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8)-(7/2/5/3)-(5/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(5/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (5/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   07/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE LANCE Jun30 Jun15 May05 Apr13 Mar25 (campbell willi)PEREZ XAVIER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LANGLEE AVENUE Jul10 Jun25 Jun07 May25 May12 (mckenzie danie)MONGAN COREY 112 30.00    
MALINOIS May23 Apr20 Mar16 Mar03 Feb02 (capuano philli)TORREALBA JG 116 1.80 50% 1.00    
MAGICAL MONARCH Jun29 May28 May11 Apr20 Mar15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 14% 6.20    
ENERGY EFFICIENT Jun29 May25 May09 Apr14 Mar24 (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.50    
MASTER OF NONE Jun22 Jun07 May10 Apr27 Mar30 (pradenas sergio)MENA E 126 20.00    
EDDIE FELSON Jun28 May11 Mar16 Feb07 Dec27 (maldonado jona)ROSADO JOHAN 120 4.00    
 
LRL-2   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KADRI Jun12 May16 Apr19 Mar23 Jan27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 47% 1.10    
CASH NOW Jun30 May16 May05 Apr10 Jul23 (sanchez-pin)ROBLES O 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHARMED (GB) Jun22 Nov19 Sep01 Aug11 Jul17 (nuesch patrick)ACOSTA D 126 2.00    
SPEAK UNITY Jun30 May24 Apr28 Apr21 Mar24 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.00    
MONSTER MASON Jul03 Jun05 May15 Dec13 Oct27 (mcfarlane bran)ROSADO JOHAN 119 15.00    
SCR  VALIANT VINNY Jun30 May16 Nov19 Oct27 Sep08 (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
BOSS IS A PAL Jun30 May27 Apr21 Nov19 Oct28 (stettinius s)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 5.00 16% 5.20    
 
LRL-3   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIETY BALL (IRE) Jun16 May31 Apr06 Mar03 Feb10 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
BROOKLYN GIRL Jun12 May10 Apr13 Mar10 Feb16 (milosevic mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.50    
BOSSYNESS Jun16 May27 Apr22 Mar27 Mar03 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
MIDSUMMERS EVE Jun01 Apr13 Mar22 Feb09   (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 4.00    
I CAN DO IT Jun28 May31 May09 Mar29 Feb23 (perri gina)ALVELO C 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
VIENNESE WALTZ Jul06 Nov17 Nov02 Oct20 Sep29 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
DAZZY Jun16 May26 May03 Mar15 Oct20 (hills timothy)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 15.00    
 
LRL-4   07/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN TICK TOCK Jun23 Sep10 Aug12 Jul14 Jun04 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.00    
SCR  JARDANI Jun28 Jun01 May09 Apr07 Mar22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.00    
QUINCANNON Jun21 Jun01 May04 Sep01 Aug11 (aguirre anthon)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
BLAME THE TUX Jul06 Jun09 May09 Apr07 Feb04 (morgan carl)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 2.00 34% 1.90    
THATAWAY Jun23 Jun07 May04 Apr06 Mar22 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00 11% 8.10    
BENNY HAVENS Jun21 May17 Oct28 Oct01 Jul23 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
CROSSLAND Jun23 Jun01 Apr27 Apr07 Mar15 (hohlbein kerry)MENA E 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
SNEAKING SUSPICION Jul06 Jun01 Apr20 Nov12 Oct26 (cooney susan)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 5.00    
 
LRL-5   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIT MAZEL Jun29 May28 Apr29 Mar11 Feb03 (sanchez-sal)ROBLES O 112 2.50 45% 1.20    
SWEET HEIDELBERG Jun29 Jun21 Jun14 May27 May16 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 1.60 20% 4.00    
SCR  BRAVO ZULU Jul08 Jun27 Jun08 May18 Apr06 (jones michae)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Jun27 May17 May03 Mar22 Mar08 (demario charl)ROJAS MARTINA 119 15.00    
NO MORE MASK Jun21 Apr21 Mar30 Mar15 Mar03 (corrales j)ALBERT S 119 5.00    
FLAT DISCOUNT Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 May31 May14 (binning mat)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 9% 10.50    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Jun29 Jun08 Apr06 Mar23 Mar03 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Jun27 Jun15 May27 May03 Apr13 (kee wil)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 20.00    
 
LRL-6   07/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 2 ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOLA BOSS Jun30         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  CASEY N PAP Jun30         (smith hamil)ROBLES O 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMERINTHECOUNTRY Jun30 Jun07       (mcmahon i)TORREALBA JG 120 4.00    
ROCKET SCIENCE         (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
BARBADIAN RUNNER Jun30         (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 20.00    
SCR  REGGIE RUNS ROGUE         (nixon justin)PEREZ XAVIER 120 6.00    
FLASHY DUDE         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
LITTLE BIT RISKY Jun30         (salzman john )ALVELO C 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  BREWMASTER         (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
 
LRL-7   07/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONCOURTCOMMENTATOR Jun28         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 1.60 53% 0.90    
CONGRESS HALL Jun15 Jun01 May04 Apr06 Mar30 (mcfarla)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00    
ATLAS STRONG Jun23 May23 Apr19 Mar30   (woolley tim)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 15.00    
CATCH THE KITTEN Jun29 Jun08 May31 May10 Mar30 (keil caitlin)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
NAVAL EMPIRE Jun23 May17 Oct14 Oct06 Sep02 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 21% 3.70    
ANGEL ART Jun16 May12 Mar08 Feb02 Jan06 (shuman mark)CENTENO E 123 5.00    
DETERMINED SAIL Jun16 Dec02 Nov17 Sep30 Sep09 (schoenthal phi)PEREZ XAVIER 117 30.00    
ESPERANNNA Jun23 May16 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-8   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FUHGEDDABOUDIT Jun28 May16 Apr28 Apr12 Mar24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
SCR  BENEATH THE STARS Apr28 Apr13 Feb17 Dec17 Dec01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
ROYAL WHISPER Jun02 May16 Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 12.00 23% 3.30    
GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Jun23 May16 Apr13 Mar23 Feb21 (grusmark karl)CENTENO E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON WILDCAT Jul12 Jun01 May16 Apr12 Mar24 (magana j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 2.50    
DEEDS OF LOVE Jun28 Feb10 Jan06 Dec03 Nov11 (allard edwa)ROBLES O 116 10.00 9% 9.80    
I'M GITTIN THERE Jun21 Apr07 Jan28 Dec23 Dec01 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 123 10.00    
KITTEN'S APPEAL May26 May03 Apr18 Feb24 Jan05 (levine bruce)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
LRL-9   07/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($45K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS FUN Jun21 May17 Dec03 Nov18   (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 12.00    
ITALIAN SYMPHONY Jun23 Mar29 Jan28 Jan04 Dec03 (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00    
MARIO'S ON POINT Jun08         (kelly blake)CENTENO E 126 12.00 9% 10.40    
THE PADDOCK PASTOR Jun20 Apr28 Nov03     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
LONGBRANCH LOU May26 Feb28 Feb02     (ramsey nola)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 34% 1.90    
HANKSDIVININGROD Jul06 Jun09 Oct29 Oct15   (walter)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
GENERAL'S DUTY May05 Apr19 Jan25 Nov09 Oct12 (cibelli jane)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 6.00    
WITHOUT PRETENCE Jun09 May17 Mar22 Mar16 Feb16 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.