Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - July 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (6/1/11/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/11/7/5)-(6/1/11/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/11/7/5)-(6/1/11/7/5)-(6/1/11/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/11/7/5)-(1/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/11/7/5)-(1/4/6)-(2/5/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/5/3)-(4/2/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(4/2/7)-(9/2/10/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(9/2/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(9/2/10/4)-(2/9/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (9/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/10/4)-(9/2/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/10/4)-(9/2/10/4)-(9/2/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/10/4)-(2/9/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/2/10/4)-(2/9/4/6/10)-(1/6/7/8/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-6   WIN (2/9/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/6/10)-(2/9/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/6/10)-(2/9/4/6/10)-(2/9/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/4/6/10)-(1/6/7/8/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/6/10)-(1/6/7/8/10)-(1/5/3/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/6/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8/10)-(1/6/7/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8/10)-(1/6/7/8/10)-(1/6/7/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8/10)-(1/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/8/10)-(1/5/3/6)-(3/10/2/9/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/6)-(3/10/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/10/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/2/9/5)-(3/10/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/2/9/5)-(3/10/2/9/5)-(3/10/2/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   07/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMMER May18 May04 Feb23 Feb14 Jan13 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 25% 3.10    
KATIE'S NOTION Jun22 Jun04 May13 May04 Apr12 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00    
SCR  CASINO TRICKS Jun15 May05 Apr06 Mar15 Feb23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 10.00    
DAVID'S PROSPEC Oct27 Oct05 Sep02 Oct05 Sep22 (iverson g)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
CLAUDEE BOY Jun14 May24 Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 (elamri )BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHAPE NOTE May26 Apr21 Mar08 Jul12   (delacour a)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
FREESTANDING May31 Feb03 Dec01 Nov12 Nov05 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  TALL ORDER Jun21 May05 Nov09 Oct20 Oct01 (perri gina)ALVELO C 126 2.50    
BOSS MAN J J Jun28 Jun14 May31 May05 Jan05 (salzman timo)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 8.00    
10  MELIPONINI BEE Jun09 May03 Nov17 Oct07 Sep06 (cooney susan )KARAMANOS A 121 6.00    
11  RAPPER ZAPPER Feb11 Dec03 Nov19 Oct22 Oct01 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 15.00 17% 4.80    
 
LRL-2   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUDD'N N PIE Jun15 May26 May04 Apr12 Mar15 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
MADDIE TEN Jun01 May26 May04 Apr20 Mar23 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 2.00    
BEATIFUL KARLA Jun09 Apr26 Apr10 Mar02 Feb17 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 10.00    
PEPPERMINT CLASS Apr14 Mar09 Feb18 Nov02 Oct04 (moore colto)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00 24% 3.20    
PRIZE DEBATE Jun04 Apr19 Mar16 Feb15 Jan21 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 126 3.00    
STORM RATE May05 Jun11 May06 Feb22 Jan04 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-3   07/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 35 M/F PT- 1:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEAM KNOT Jun08 May25 Apr21 Oct20 Oct03 (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 120 4.50    
MAGIC IN THE PARK Jun16 May25 Nov10 Oct21 Sep22 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
HEAVENLY CIELLA Jun15 Jun08 Jan14     (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT DEVEREAUX Jun22         (albert linda )KARAMANOS A 120 4.00    
DEAD SEXY Jun16 May25 Apr13 Mar15   (meyers f)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
MARGARET P Apr26         (keefe timothy )TORREALBA JG 120 12.00    
JET SPIN Jun20 May30       (samaniego jose)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  DIAMOND SUE Jun08 Apr01 Mar17 Feb17 Jan22 (mancilla g)RUIZ JORGE 126 20.00    
 
LRL-4   07/05/2024 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOOMER Jun22 May28 May04 Mar07 Jan31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
GAMBLING TZAR May24 Apr07 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 (moore colton)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00 20% 4.10    
SHIVAREE (GB) Jun02 May24 Apr13 Mar17 Feb16 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 15.00    
FORTUNE'S FOOL May05 Apr13 Mar24 Jan13 Dec30 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 2.50 39% 1.50    
MORNING THOUGHTS Jun22 Jun02 May09 Apr20 Jan12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 6.00    
SCR  WALK AWAY JOE Jun15 May15 Apr27 Apr13 Mar17 (capuano phillip)RUIZ JORGE 123 1.80    
TRASH TALKIN LARRY May24 May05 Apr27 Apr05 Mar22 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-5   07/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION Jun08 May12 Mar10 Feb09 Apr14 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 123 3.00    
NICOLAR Jun15 Dec13 Nov29 Nov17 Oct14 (mcmahon hugh )KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  GINGER GIRL Jun16 May31 May11 Mar24 Feb17 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 1.40    
DOWNTOWN KATIE May29 Nov19 Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SELF CONFIDENT May18 Apr06 Feb23 Jan20 Nov19 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
SCR  ROWSIE EXPRESS Jun01 May12 Apr19 Mar06 Feb16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60    
WARIDI CANDY Jun08 Nov19 Oct07 Sep09 Aug02 (de horacio)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
DETERMIND PRINCESS Jun01 May11 Apr06 Mar15   (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 117 12.00    
HIT THE ROAD BRAT May31         (motion h )CARRASCO R 117 2.00 31% 2.20    
10  JUNIPER JUICE Jun11 May27 Jul08     (boniface kevin)ROSADO JOHAN 117 15.00 20% 4.00    
11  NINJA ABARRIO Jun08 Apr19 Mar22 Mar10 Feb16 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 123 4.00    
SCR  VIENNESE WALTZ Nov17 Nov02 Oct20 Sep29 Aug11 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 117 20.00    
 
LRL-6   07/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD STORY Jun15 May25 May05 Apr19 Mar30 (juarez calixt)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 20.00    
MOLLY OF STRATFORD May31 May05 Apr07 Mar01 Feb19 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 1.80 28% 2.60    
JOB'S NOT FINISHED Jun15 May25 May10 Mar23 Mar02 (mohan r)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
LOOKING FOR WATER Apr27 Mar22 Feb25 Feb11 Dec31 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
FUNZALO Jun16 May26 May10 Apr14 Feb25 (bracciale v)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 15.00    
CHAMPAGNE DANCE Jun27 Jun01 May03 Apr12 Mar24 (wilson gregory)BOYCE FOREST 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BALI HAI Jun15 May05 Apr19 Feb18 Jan26 (rawlings amand)ROSADO JOHAN 122 8.00    
SEARCH Jun01 May16 Apr27 Mar07 Feb16 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 126 30.00    
AT FIRST SIGHT Jun15 May04 Mar17 Feb24 Jan27 (mcmahon i)TORREALBA JG 120 4.50 27% 2.80    
10  SUN STREAMING May25 May11 Apr27 Apr06 Mar09 (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  SOUTH PACIFIC May25 Apr19 Mar30 Nov26 Nov02 (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00    
 
LRL-7   07/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR LONDON May02 Mar30 Mar03 Oct19 Aug12 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 1.80 58% 0.70    
WHERE'S RAY Jun08 May18 Apr21 Apr05 Mar08 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
SCR  WINE COLLECTOR Jan06 Nov19 Oct28 Sep30 Aug31 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 117 20.00    
GRATEFUL BRED Jun07 Apr28 Nov18 Oct14 Sep02 (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 123 20.00    
STORM THE COURT Jun07 Mar09 Jan31 Nov24 Oct04 (gaudet lac)SANCHEZ J 123 4.00    
WISH ME HOME Apr21 Nov05 Oct19 Aug19 Jul15 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 6% 15.80    
WICKED PRANKSTER Jun15 Apr21 Nov05 Oct14 Aug19 (davis g)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CRISPER Jun16 May31 Oct28 Sep23 Aug18 (woolley tim)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MINISTER FOR MAGIC Jun07 May17 Sep22 Aug05 Jun24 (cibelli jane)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
10  STREET COPPER Nov03 Oct14 Sep07 Aug12 Jul14 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-8   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNINVITED GUEST Jun12 Apr12 Mar21 Jan26 Jan13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE Jun08 May10 Apr26 Apr12 Mar17 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
YOUR ANALYSIS Jun19 Mar30 Mar10 Jan31 Dec22 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 123 4.00    
IT'S VIPER Jun08 May18 Apr21 Mar09 Jan28 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 16% 5.20    
ARMANDO R Jun08 Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50    
EXCELLORATOR Apr20 Mar25 Mar03 Feb04 Dec31 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
BRILLIANT ICE Jun08 May17 Apr13 Mar24 Mar09 (eubanks anne)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MARTINI MARTIN Jun08 May07 Mar17 Feb17 Jan27 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
 
LRL-9   07/05/2024 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAERUS Jun14 May05 Apr21 Feb22 Feb01 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 123 6.00    
THE BEST DISTANCE May04 Apr27 Mar30 Feb25 Jan28 (beecher mark)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
TWO BY TWO Jun05 May24 Apr12 Mar13 Mar01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 49% 1.10    
SUPER E Jun07 May24 Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 (smith a)RUIZ JORGE 119 20.00    
DAREDAVITE Jun14 Oct19 Oct07 Aug20 Jul29 (albert )BRICENO GREGOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
JACKIE A Jun14 May24 May11 Apr21 Nov29 (walters he)ALBERT S 119 30.00    
BAIL OUT Jun07 May25 Nov16 Oct06 Sep07 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.50    
PRINCE KHOZAN Jun23 Feb22 Feb10 Jan12 Dec29 (mccue )ARAUJO VICENTE 123 12.00    
GUAPONESS Jun07 May25 May04 Apr12 Mar22 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  UNCLE CURLY Jun14 May02 Apr12 Mar22 Feb22 (walder peter )KARAMANOS A 123 2.50 21% 3.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.