Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/4/2)-(3/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/6/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(3/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(3/6/7/1)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/1)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/1)-(2/1/5)-(1/4/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/4/7/2)-(8/3/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/2)-(8/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2)-(8/3/7/2)-(2/1/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/2)-(8/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/2)-(8/3/7/2)-(8/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/7/2)-(2/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDAR RUNS FIBER May10 Mar21 Feb24     (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of RUN LOUIS RUN by LOUIS QUATORZE)
2  ZIGGY STARDUST Jun01 May11 Apr27 Apr08 Jan04 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
3  MAJESTY'S COWBOY May03         (shuler r)LARROSA G 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of CITY BEAT by TEMPLE CITY)
4  SHOOT THE BREEZE Apr25 Apr05 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.00 41% 1.50    
  (by JUBA out of BREEZIE WEEZIE by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  JOHN'S GLORY May04         (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 10.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of INDIGO SKY by CHEROKEE'S BOY)
6  BAD LINEAGE Apr05 Mar15 Nov30 Oct28 Sep17 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 124 3.50    
  (by JUBA out of BELL KEEPER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
 
CT-2   05/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL LUCERITO Apr26 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 4.00    
2  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Apr23 Oct11 Sep12 Sep03 Jun21 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 6% 15.50    
3  JUBA BOUND May04 Apr18 Mar16 Mar02 Feb10 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
4  HEY BOOTS Apr28 Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 Feb03 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 116 3.50 15% 5.90    
5  COMPANY CLOWN Apr26 Feb03 Dec14 Nov17 Oct21 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 1.00 51% 0.90    
6  BALI'S SHADE May04 Dec15 Nov02 Oct18 Sep01 (murtaugh andre)REAP E 120 20.00    
 
CT-3   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILMARY CASTLE Apr18 Feb15 Jan31 Nov29 Oct13 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
SCR  LADY BOO Apr11 Nov09 Oct26 Sep30 Sep14 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROMAN CANDLE Apr18 Mar14 Feb15 Jan27 Nov17 (runco c)HO WESLEY 118 1.20 50% 1.00    
4  FLORIDIFIED Feb22 Jan27 Jan03     (curtis)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50 ★    
5  KEY TO THE CASTLE Dec07 May26 Apr20 Mar02 Nov30 (espinosa victor)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
6  OFFICER CALLY Apr20 Mar27 Nov30 Nov01 Dec07 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
7  WOODEN SHIPS Apr20 Mar06 Jun23 Jun01 Apr20 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
CT-4   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY LEO Apr05 Mar13 Feb02 Jan13   (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  SEA OF TRANQUILITY Apr25 Mar21 Feb24     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 3.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
3  BIG BOY OVI May03 Apr19       (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
4  GOLDEN ASSET Mar28 Mar15 Mar06 Dec02 Oct20 (mcdonald tim)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRECIOUS ASSET by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
5  MIDNIGHT STROLLER Apr05 Mar06       (shuler r)LARROSA G 118 30.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of KINDRED SOUL by FED BIZ)
6  EXCLUSIVE ORIGINAL Apr19 Mar28       (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of ORIGINAL GOLD by SLAVIC)
7  RIVERLEE         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50 7% 14.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of SPICETOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CT-5   05/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LAUREN May09 Apr12 Mar14 Feb24 Feb07 (murdock steph)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 2.00 15% 5.60    
2  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb15 Jan05 (caison l)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
3  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH Apr06 Mar16 Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 (stites fli)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
4  QUANTICO CREEK Apr25 Mar22 Feb29 Oct21 Sep04 (barber dona)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 122 2.50    
5  THUNDERTURTLE Apr19 Mar29 Feb15 Jan27 Nov15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  CASTLE OF CAYLEE May11 Apr19 Apr05 Mar14 Mar01 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
7  DREAM OF GOLD Apr26 Mar30 Mar14 Mar01 Feb21 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINN ELIA Apr19 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jan05 (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
2  LIME STAR Apr05 Feb01 Jan11 Dec09 Nov24 (conn p)REAP E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  QUEEN SABINE Apr19 Jan27 Jan05 Dec15   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 1.60    
4  FULL OF CHARM Jul20 Jul06       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 12.00 27% 2.70    
5  COLD CASH Apr20 Apr05 Mar06 Feb22 Feb01 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
6  SWIPE THAT CANDY Apr20 Apr05 Mar06 Feb22 Feb01 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 5.00    
7  MASH TATERS Apr19 Apr06 Mar20     (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   05/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUE SKY PAINTER Jan10 Nov01 Oct06 Sep12 Aug07 (mitchell sherman )HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
2  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Apr27 Apr12 Mar30 Mar13 Feb15 (delong ben)SERRANO KEIVAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PAYMENGOLD Apr04 Mar14 Feb23 Feb01 Dec08 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
4  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Apr26 Apr04 Mar14 Feb22 Jan27 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
5  ROAD SLEW Apr26 Apr04 Mar15 Mar07 Feb15 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
6  YO VINNIE May04 Mar21 Feb23 Dec16 Nov18 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 3.50    
7  FIELDSTONE Apr27 Apr06 Mar15 Feb07 Jan15 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
8  DEPLANE Apr27 Apr06 Feb14 Feb06 Jan24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
 
CT-8   05/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPEM SAFE Apr13 Mar08 Feb16     (comi w)PELTROCHE F 118 1.60 29% 2.50    
2  BODIEFUL May12 Apr18 Feb24 Feb03 Dec30 (lucas ant)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 1.20 36% 1.80    
3  HEY MACARENA Apr25 Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 (pennella rhea )REAP E 124 30.00    
4  FLORINE Apr26 Apr05 Mar14 Feb23   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
5  GOLDEN RUN Apr20 Apr04 Mar27 Mar13   (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 118 12.00    
6  MOUSE TO MOUSE         (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 118 5.00 15% 5.60    
7  MARTHA'S HEART Apr26 Apr12 Mar24 Mar02 Jan31 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.