Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Thursday - March 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-2   WIN (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/9/7)-(6/2/5/9/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (6/2/5/7)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/7)-(1/6/3)-(7/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-4   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-5   WIN (8/9/5/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/6/7)-(8/9/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/6/7)-(8/9/5/6/7)-(8/9/5/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-6   WIN (3/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-7   WIN (10/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/6/2)-(10/5/6/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/6/2)-(10/5/6/2/9)-(10/5/6/2/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (10/5/6/2)-(6/8/3/5)-(7/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-8   WIN (6/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/5)-(6/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/5)-(6/8/3/5)-(6/8/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/3/5)-(7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-9   WIN (7/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/9)-(7/5/9/12/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/9)-(7/5/9/12/3)-(7/5/9/12/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTILA STYLE Mar01 Feb09 Dec05     (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 1.80 17% 5.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of FASHION CITY by PRECOCITY)
2  CHASENUINMYDREAMS Mar01 Dec20 Nov14     (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of CHASENTHISDREAM by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  SWAYING LASSIE Mar01 Feb09 Jan12 Dec19 Nov20 (chavez alej)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of JET SET LASS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
SCR  AWESOME MIA Mar01         (morales danny)PEREZ A 121 3.50 19% 4.10    
  (by AXIOMATIC out of MIA'S FIRST by MALABAR GOLD)
5  MOON PIE MONEY Feb15         (gonzalez jos)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 12.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MOON RISING by ATTILA'S STORM)
SCR  MUSICAL MONEY Mar01 Feb15       (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of SONGCRAFT by MR. GROUSH)
7  EXTRA SPIRIT Mar01         (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by KEEP ON PUNCHING out of EXTRA PRETTY by YOUR EMINENCE)
 
SUN-2   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN JOHN Mar08 Feb02 Nov20 Nov06   (lambert t)VERGARA P 121 4.50    
2  LOVESUNFAIR Mar15 Feb02 Jan18 Jan05 Dec11 (green g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  ANGELA'S ANGEL Mar08 Feb01 Dec20 Oct25 Jul26 (marquez jose )MARQUEZ LARRY 124 12.00    
4  HAPPY SLAPPER Mar07 Feb01 Jan19 Dec20   (constant ro)ORTEGA O 124 15.00    
5  BAJA BOOGIE Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec18 (cappellucci dick)TOHILL S 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
6  PASS IT AROUND Mar08 Feb23 Jan25 Dec20 Jun02 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
7  RED FROST Feb29 Feb09 Jan18 Dec11 Jul30 (long vaug)RIVAS CARLOS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  COPPER STATE Mar07 Feb23 Dec13 Nov04   (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
9  BARBACOA Feb25 Jul01 Sep04 Jul30   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 ★    
 
SUN-3   03/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVOLT AND RIOT Mar08 Feb29 Jan26 Jan18 Sep30 (cross gary)TOHILL S 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
2  RIG RIDER Feb08 Jan19 Dec05 Nov14 Oct22 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.00    
3  RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Feb29 Feb09 Jan18 Dec18 Oct22 (gonzalez r)CARRENO J 124 5.00 10% 8.60    
4  DOM WAYNE Mar14 Feb29 Feb09 Jan18 Dec20 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50    
SCR  MITHQAAL Mar14 Feb23 Feb02 Jan26 Jan11 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 5.00    
6  B A CHAMPION Feb29 Dec20 Jul15 Jun24 May06 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
SUN-4   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM IN THE VALLE Feb15 Nov27 Nov06 Sep08 Aug06 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50    
2  THATGIRL'SONFIRE Jan25 Nov21 Nov13 Oct15 Sep16 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.50    
3  EMOTION N DEVOTION Feb29 Jan26 Dec11 Nov07 Jul14 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 5.00    
4  WHISPER'S MARK Jan26 Jan12 Nov27 Nov07 Oct21 (buechler j)HEBERT J 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
5  BIKINILESS Jan25 Dec18 Nov21 Oct15 Feb28 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  ROLL ON CHARITY Oct06 Sep07 Dec06 Nov14 Sep28 (pierce thom)ORTEGA O 124 8.00    
7  E BAR SCOUT Dec18 Nov21 Mar21 Feb05 Jan03 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 6.00 35% 1.80    
 
SUN-5   03/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPRICHO         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BEAUTY FOR ASHES by CITY PLACE)
2  TAMMY MACHO Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 Nov20 Oct27 (pierce w)CARRENO J 124 15.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of TESSA BLUE by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  MOLLY'S ROSE Feb23         (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MY ROSE by FRENCH LEGIONAIRE)
4  NOT NOW VICTORIA Oct13 Jul02 Mar28 Mar12 Feb14 (martinez a)MEDELLIN A 124 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of STATIC CHARGE by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  HAZHONI         (singh johnny)TORRES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOREST MOUSE out of RAPPING KAREN by RAPPER S S)
6  JAZZ TIDE         (ochoa gerard)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of TIDE RUNNER by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  CENTS ABILITY         (bolen b)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FAST CITY by FASTNESS (IRE))
8  MYTEBQUIK Feb23         (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VINDYS MIGHTY QUIK by VINDICATION)
9  LONE MOUNTAIN GIRL Feb23 Dec05 Nov14 Oct13 Sep03 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GALLANT SON out of QUICK GLORY by SWISS YODELER)
 
SUN-6   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($45.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTSREALGOOD Feb23 Feb02 Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 7% 13.00    
2  OFFENSIVE Jan26 Jan12 Nov28 Nov13 Oct20 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 10.00    
3  DIABOLICAL STORM Feb23 Feb09 Jan18 Nov27 Nov06 (fincher w)VERGARA P 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  WHERES BRAYDEN Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 Jan05 May20 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
5  SUNSCREEN Jan25 Dec12 Apr02 Feb12 Dec05 (woolley l)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
6  MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Mar08 Jan26 Dec04 Nov20 Oct07 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 12.00    
7  DAUX Feb23 Jan05 Sep24     (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
8  COMET CAUSEY Feb18 Nov27 Nov06 Sep03 Feb28 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 4.50    
 
SUN-7   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM THE JUAN Mar01 Feb18 Feb01 Jan26 Jan11 (morales danny)PEREZ A 124 8.00    
2  TRIPPLE SHAKE Feb05 Jan10 Oct17     (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEAU VERO Mar08 Jan19 Dec20 Nov27   (gonzalez sa)CASTRO M 124 15.00    
4  SPEND AGAIN Feb18 Jan26 Jan11 Dec12 Oct06 (quiroz fili)ORTEGA O 124 12.00    
5  BIG CREED Feb23 Dec18 Nov21 Apr29 Mar27 (marlin i)HEBERT J 124 5.00 5% 18.10    
6  REIGN OVER ME Feb23 Feb09 Jan11 Dec12 Nov14 (quiroz filibert)VERGARA P 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  CASH CRUZER Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
8  CHARLIE DYNASTY Mar07 Jan19 Dec12 Nov21 Sep30 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 124 6.00    
9  RANGER REX Feb23 Aug25 Jul15 Jan28 Dec14 (fincher w)CARRENO J 124 6.00 ★    
10  OTTOMAN EMPIRE Feb23 Nov20 Oct29 May06 Apr21 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.00 67% 0.50    
11  SHAME ON SAM Mar07 Feb22 Feb01 Dec12 Oct24 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 124 12.00    
 
SUN-8   03/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODIE GOT GOLD Mar08 Feb09 Jan26 Jan05 Nov06 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00    
2  MCTHANKS Mar01 Feb18 Jan26 Dec18 Nov27 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00    
3  ANCIENT LAND Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 Nov27 Nov06 (lambert t)TOHILL S 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
4  LUCK IN MY EYES Mar08 Feb23 Feb08 Jan12 Dec04 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 124 15.00    
5  ARCH CITY Mar01 Jan26 Dec11 Nov20 Apr02 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  I'MAGAMBLER Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 Nov20 Oct20 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  AR YA WEEGEE Mar08 Feb18 May07 Apr09 Mar14 (cross gary)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
8  THUNDER DOME Mar08 Feb02 Nov27 Nov06 Oct29 (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
SUN-9   03/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET BUT FIERCE Mar08 Feb15 Dec19 Dec05 Jun09 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 116 4.50    
2  GEEBEESBIGBOY Feb23 Feb01 Dec05 Aug04 Jul15 (aldavaz herm)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 12.00    
3  ROMP N ROLL Mar08 Dec12       (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00 ★    
4  ITSNOWTROUBLEATALL Mar15 Jan11 Nov14 Jun17 Mar26 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 20.00    
5  BRAVE TOEWS         (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 20% 4.10    
6  SLEEPY EYES Mar01 Dec18 Oct01 Oct10 Sep25 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 15.00    
7  AARON WHO Mar08 Feb08 Dec20 Nov27 Nov13 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 4.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  BONITO         (alamos arman)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 15.00    
9  MISTER WU Feb23 Feb01       (lambert t)VERGARA P 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  AX'S BOUNCY CAT Feb08 Jan26 Dec04     (morales danny)PEREZ A 121 12.00    
SCR  LEAD THE WAY D W M         (mcarthur donna)ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
12  EMPERIAL EAGLES Feb29 Jan05 Dec04 Nov14 Sep13 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 124 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.