Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(4/1/5/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/1/5/3)-(4/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-2   WIN (4/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/3)-(4/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/3)-(4/3/1)-(1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(1/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(1/3/6)-(4/8/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-4   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(4/8/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(4/8/2/3)-(10/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-5   WIN (4/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/3)-(10/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/3)-(10/6/2)-(5/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-6   WIN (10/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/2)-(10/6/9/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/6/2)-(10/6/9/1/2)-(10/6/9/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/6/2)-(5/1/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (10/6/2)-(5/1/8)-(6/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-7   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/6/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/8)-(6/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
WRD-8   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/8/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/8/2/7)-(6/3/8/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCRAPPY PATCH Mar05 Dec08 Jun15 May02 Apr04 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 125 2.50 ★    
2  ALMA'S PRINCESS Sep22 Aug14 Jul28 Jul10 Jun25 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  BROOKE'S ALL IN Mar05 Dec18 Dec07 Nov16 Jul12 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 3.50    
4  GOSPEL FAITH Dec13 Dec01 Oct26 Oct05 Aug14 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 2.00    
5  TWITTER TRAFFIC Mar05 Feb23 Oct07 Sep07 Aug30 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 125 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
WRD-2   03/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTINGTEMPTATION Nov29 Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 Sep15 (williams alan)BIRZER E 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  KIMBELL'S STRATEGY Mar08 Dec01 Oct28 Sep13 Jun14 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 122 5.00    
3  GP'S AMAZING GRACE Mar11 Feb10 Jan06 Dec16 Dec01 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 8.00 6% 14.90    
4  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Feb03 Jan12 Dec08 Nov18 Oct25 (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  AWESOME SUNSET Sep15 Jul17 Feb24 Feb04 Jan16 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 12.00 8% 12.00    
6  GIMME CANDY Jan20 Dec29 Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.00    
7  MINNESOTA NICE Dec01 Nov18 Oct18 Aug31 Aug04 (gladd andy)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00    
 
WRD-3   03/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN MOTION Mar05 Feb21 Jan27 Dec30 Dec17 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 125 5.00 9% 10.40    
2  TENSAS CLEAR Mar05 Feb08 Jan25 Dec28 Dec14 (dixon tim)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00    
3  GOSPEL FREELY Nov29 Oct25 Sep27     (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
4  IRISH WRIT Oct05 Aug29 Jun25 Jun11 May30 (rodriguez mar)CABRERA DAVID 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
5  EXHI LIL DARLIN Mar05 Feb04 Dec31     (hewitt michael)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00    
6  LADY YELLOWSTONE Nov29 Nov08 Oct13 Sep11 Aug29 (gladd andy)KIMES C 120 2.50    
SCR  GOSPEL VALENTINE         (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 8.00    
 
WRD-4   03/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM CATCHER Feb10 Dec16 Nov17 Oct26 Sep29 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  ROCKIN BOOTS Dec13 Dec01 Nov04 Sep30 Sep01 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 125 15.00    
3  MY CALANTE Sep13 Sep03 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00 16% 5.20    
4  WESTCOAST BREEZE May27 Apr26 Mar13 Feb26   (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 125 8.00    
5  HARD CANDY Jun11 May26 May05 Apr08 Mar19 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 125 3.00 ★    
6  DRAG MALIBU Mar04 Feb16 Jan19 Nov30 Nov10 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAJOR PAYNE Dec02 Nov08 Oct07     (offolter s)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
8  HE BLUE BAYOU Dec02 Nov20 Oct26     (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 15.00    
 
WRD-5   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN BOND WE TRUST Mar05 Dec08 Nov18 Jun14 Mar11 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 6.00    
2  RED DIRT RICH Dec09 Nov18 Nov01 Oct13 Sep21 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 125 2.50 11% 8.10    
3  LA BATALLA Mar05 Dec09 Nov17 Nov02 Oct06 (padilla juan)PEREZ A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUALITY BLASTOFF Mar05 Dec09 Nov17 Nov01 Oct07 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 125 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  BROWN TOWN Nov20 Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 Jun28 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 125 5.00    
6  TOUCHDOWN OKLAHOMA Mar05 Feb01 Dec16 Nov30 Nov04 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00    
7  DA SOLITARIO Mar05 Feb01 Dec16 Nov03 Sep22 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00    
8  MISSING CODE Mar05 Dec08 Oct28 Sep21   (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
 
WRD-6   03/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTY STRANGERS Mar11 Feb08 Jan12 Dec13 Nov17 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 5.00 ★    
2  C B'S FLAT OUT Mar05 Nov08 Oct20 Sep08 Aug19 (gladd andy)KIMES C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  JEANO Jun08 May08 Apr26 Mar14 Dec03 (brooks)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 20.00    
4  EASTER JIM Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May09 Apr11 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 15.00    
5  KYEMBEA Mar04 Dec13 Nov20 Oct19 Sep27 (brooks d)SANCHEZ OBED 125 20.00    
6  EVEN TERMS Dec02 Nov08 Oct21 Oct06 Sep08 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  LUCKY MCCOY Mar05 Sep14 Aug25 Jul30 Jul15 (merrick j)TRIANA JR 125 2.50    
8  TUFF MANDATE Dec13 Nov20 Sep27 Sep06 Aug25 (rodriguez mar)CABRERA DAVID 125 8.00    
9  MO DANDY Jan20 Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 (mckinney d)PEREZ A 125 6.00 ★    
10  HERO TIME Sep27 Sep06 Aug18 Jul12 Jun28 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 61% 0.60    
 
WRD-7   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Welder Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASIN JASON Nov10 Oct26       (swan patric)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of FRIEDA ZAMBA by SURF CAT)
2  R D C POSSE Dec16 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of TWINKLE LUCKY STAR by DOMINUS)
SCR  JUDGE MCBEE Mar01 Feb09 Jan27 Dec31 Nov18 (baldillez alejandro)KIMES C 122 12.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of SUN KING SISTER by SUN KING (IRE))
4  POWER SLAM Mar08 Feb19 Jan13 Nov08 Oct20 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of BRISTLES by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  LAKE BEE Feb10 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 Oct07 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LAKE PIRU by SALT LAKE)
6  OKIE SMOKE Mar05 Dec07 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 (padilla juan)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.50 ★    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of OKIE SMOKEY by CAVVY)
7  NORWAY BEACH Dec15 Nov18 Oct07     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of CASS LAKE KITTY by LATENT HEAT)
8  LEGACY ACCOUNT Nov08 Oct07 Sep01     (peery l)SANCHEZ OBED 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of LIQUOR ACCOUNT by LIQUOR CABINET (IRE))
SCR  ELUSIVE POWER Dec15         (offolter s)ROMAN KEVIN 122 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ELUSIVE CLOUDS by POWER BROKER)
 
WRD-8   03/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATALE HURRYCANE         (boone pat)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00    
  (by KICK ON out of CATALE WIND by CUVEE)
2  PONZA Mar05 Jul12 Jun28 Jun09 May15 (stephens jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.00 ★    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of PRECIOUS LIFE by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  MR PELOTON Oct08         (caldwell )TRIANA JR 125 8.00 34% 2.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of GOODHEARTEDGIRL by ELLERTON)
4  SONIC POSSE Dec08 Oct13 Sep21 Dec14 Dec02 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 125 10.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of SONIC RUN by SONG OF THE SWORD)
5  HE'S ALL EARS Mar05 Feb08 Jan20 Dec07 Nov18 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of EARSAHEAD by EUROEARS)
6  STRAIGHT AHEAD Mar05         (green ike)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of CANDID CATHY by RIMROD)
7  BROWN RESERVE         (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of REGO by IN EXCESS (IRE))
8  RIGHT CIDER Dec16 Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 Oct05 (rodriguez mar)CABRERA DAVID 125 5.00 ★    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of HARD CIDER by DR. BLUM)
9  FRONT ROW SHOW         (cogburn l)KIMES C 120 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of SEEK N EXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
10  E D'ORO Dec16 Nov14 Oct05     (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of DARING ICON by MAGNA)
11  I BE A KING Dec08         (caster boyd)WETHEY JR 125 8.00    
  (by BACKSTABBER out of DIVINE DUTCHESS by DIVINE PARK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.