Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(7/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(7/4/2/8)-(7/6/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/8)-(7/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/8)-(7/4/2/8)-(7/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/8)-(7/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/8)-(7/6/3/5)-(2/7/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/5)-(2/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/5)-(2/7/1/6)-(8/3/9/13/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/6)-(8/3/9/13/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/6)-(8/3/9/13/4)-(5/8/7/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/3/9/13/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/13/4)-(8/3/9/13/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/13/4)-(8/3/9/13/4)-(8/3/9/13/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/9/13/4)-(5/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9/13/4)-(5/8/7/9)-(1/3/5/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/9)-(5/8/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/9)-(5/8/7/9)-(5/8/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/9)-(1/3/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/9)-(1/3/5/10)-(1/6/3/4/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/3/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/10)-(1/3/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/10)-(1/3/5/10)-(1/3/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/10)-(1/6/3/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/10)-(1/6/3/4/10)-(8/4/1/7/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (1/6/3/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4/10)-(1/6/3/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4/10)-(1/6/3/4/10)-(1/6/3/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4/10)-(8/4/1/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/4/1/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/7/3)-(8/4/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/7/3)-(8/4/1/7/3)-(8/4/1/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CHICA LATERAL Mar01 Jan06 Dec06 Aug27 Jul15 (cordero ant)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  BOY IS SHE A LADY Jan31 Jan17 Dec31 Oct31 Oct23 (nunn douglas)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  COUNTLESS DREAMS Jan17 Dec06 Nov22 Oct21 Jul30 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
4  CALENDULA Mar01 Feb18 Jan24 Jan07 Dec06 (mendieta )MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PURE ELEGANCE Feb18 Jan24 Jan07 Dec15 Oct16 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 118 3.00    
6  MIGHTY GIN GIN Feb24 Feb09 Jan17 Dec31 Dec16 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
 
TAM-2   03/15/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRELANE Feb25 Feb09 Jan20 Dec16 Sep25 (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 125 5.00    
2  LIBERTALIA Aug15 Jul04 Jun06 May23 Jan08 (connelly teres)CEDENO CAROL 125 15.00 10% 8.90    
3  LIVELY REMARK Feb09 Jan14 Jan05 Dec08 May06 (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 125 6.00    
4  LUCKY IN LOVE Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 Dec31 Nov17 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  SUBTLE SENORITA Feb25 Feb07 Jan12 Nov11 Oct27 (dominguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 3.00    
SCR  MIA'S CAT Mar03 Feb25 Feb14 Jan07 Nov03 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 125 15.00    
7  FORTUNATA Sep09 Aug26 Jul07 May26 Jul13 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 125 4.00 46% 1.20    
8  REAL MIKEY Mar03 Feb18 Feb03 Jan14 Dec30 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   03/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE ATKA Feb23 Feb11 Dec27 Dec06 Nov29 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
2  MISTY GALE Jan28 Jan06 Dec20 Oct31 Sep20 (falk jacquelin)MBATHA LUCKY 113 15.00    
3  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Mar02 Jan21 Dec02 Oct29 Sep17 (aguayo ra)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 3.50 16% 5.10    
4  DEL REY DOLLY Feb23 Feb07 Jan06 Dec20 Nov25 (guciardo kath)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
5  VILLAGE QUEEN Feb18 Jan21 Dec31 Dec13 Oct26 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEQUIN LADY Feb03 Jan07 Sep02 Jul14 Jun17 (richards ren)BATISTA A 118 2.50 17% 4.80    
7  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Mar08 Feb18 Jan27 Jan03 Dec22 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
TAM-4   03/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARRY'S ONTHEBEACH Feb17 Jan17 Nov17 Oct13 Sep16 (d'angelo jose)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
2  GABBYSONHOLIDAY Feb23 Feb09 Jan17 Dec16 Nov29 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 126 4.00 32% 2.20    
3  ALBOROTO Mar01 Feb16 Feb03 Jan06 Dec27 (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 6.00    
4  FAST PAYDAY Mar01 Feb07 Dec24 Nov25 Aug26 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 122 2.00    
5  MY WAY OR NO WAY Mar01 Jan19 Dec27 Dec01 Dec07 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 122 20.00    
6  DELTA RIDGE Feb21 Jan10 Sep15 Aug19 Jul22 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PLEASANT VALIANT Mar01 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 Dec20 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
8  HELLO SUCKER Mar01 Feb09 Jan21 Dec27 Dec13 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 124 10.00    
 
TAM-5   03/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL MISS Jan04 Dec26 Nov25     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 15.00    
2  FUTURE FORTUNE Feb02 Jan14 Jan03 Oct28 Oct08 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 120 30.00    
3  HIPATIA Feb21 Feb02 Jan05 Dec29 Dec08 (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
4  STATELY APRIL Feb24 Feb02 Jan14 Dec22 Sep06 (rountree cathy)BUSH V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY LYLA Dec20 Nov10       (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
6  VAI GATTINA Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 Dec02 Nov12 (pickett cryst)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 8.00    
SCR  MUSTHAVEBEENLOVE Mar01 Feb03 Dec24     (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 3.50    
8  THREE RUN BOLT Feb02 Jan17 Dec23 Dec02   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
9  LET'S CONNECT Feb02 Jan05 Nov24 Oct20   (carvajal lu)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOURIST STYLE Mar08 Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 Dec02 (mcgoey monica)DIAZ S 120 6.00    
SCR  RED HAIRED GAL Feb28 Feb07       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
12  JERSEY FACTOR Jan24 Jan03 Dec02     (dini mike)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 12.00    
13  WORTH THE SUM Jan31         (gonzalez javi)LUGO D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAHISH Feb28 Jan07 Sep06 Aug25   (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
 
TAM-6   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYRICAL Feb18 Jan31 Jan19 Dec30 Sep04 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 30.00    
2  STRIKING CHROME Feb14 Jan19 Jan03 Dec15 Sep16 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00    
3  ROYAL TO BE Feb18 Jan12 Dec30 Oct23 Oct07 (skeens jerem)MEJIAS RICARDO 122 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Feb18 Feb01 Jan12 Jan04 Dec16 (gatis chris)MORALES PABLO 122 15.00    
5  SHALL RETURN Jan06 Dec30 Dec20 Oct21 Aug27 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  OUR LITTLE TIGER Mar02 Jan11 Dec07 Nov14 Oct23 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00    
7  COOL FRONT May14 May06 Apr14 Mar25 Mar12 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
8  MURUMBI Jan24 Dec31 Mar22 Feb03 Jan06 (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
9  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Mar02 Feb14 Jan27 Jan01 Dec07 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   03/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWNED JEWEL Feb28 Dec31 Dec08 Nov09 Oct05 (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  REAL SENSATION Jan28 Jan10 Dec27 Dec08 Oct14 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.00    
3  ELEVATED GAME Feb28 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 Sep30 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  CODE ENFORCER Mar06 Feb02 Jan14 Dec29 Dec22 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00    
5  PIRATE RADIO Feb29 Feb01 Jan06 Dec22 Nov03 (d'angelo jos)MORELOS E 118 5.00 15% 5.90    
6  ALOHA MAN Feb21 Jan28 Jan03 Dec22 Oct27 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00    
SCR  JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Feb28 Dec22 Nov14 Oct11 Sep08 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
8  NOBLE STAR Jan28 Jan10 Dec22 Dec02 Nov04 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 15.00    
9  LE MISTRAL Mar06 Feb21 Jan10 Dec03 Oct08 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00    
10  TAP THE SKY Mar06 Feb01 Jan10 Dec27 Oct28 (connelly teres)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   03/15/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUMERIC Feb28 Jan25 Jan18 Dec30 Dec09 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
2  ALWAYS CONNECTED Feb28 Feb07 Jan27 Jan14 Nov25 (richards ren)BATISTA A 124 5.00    
3  FLORINDIA Mar03 Feb18 Jan31 Jan06 Nov29 (rodri)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 12.00 13% 7.00    
4  NUCCI Mar03 Feb03 Jan12 Dec31 Dec15 (sepulveda)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  G G'S DARK STAR Dec31 Oct12 May27 Jan18 Dec24 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 30.00    
6  LOVELY DRAMA Feb28 Feb03 Jan14 Aug26 Jul16 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
7  VICIOUS MOVES Feb14 Jan31 Jan10 Dec16   (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 20.00    
8  OUR FORTUNE COOKIE Mar03 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Oct29 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00    
9  ZIPPY ZINNY Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 Jan14 Dec30 (nunez mauric)MORELOS E 122 15.00    
10  MARTINI'S AMICA Feb28 Feb14 Feb03 Jan12 Dec30 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENA THE DUCHESS Dec06 Aug30 Aug15 Feb24 Jan22 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
 
TAM-9   03/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MOTTLEY         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of KASBACH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  NO CONSEQUENCES Dec24 Sep02       (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
3  SPUNFORFUN Jan26 Nov25 Nov05 Oct06 Sep08 (avila c)MORELOS E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ASSURED by SIGNAL TAP)
4  OUR FINEST HOUR (FR) Jan21 Oct20       (brown c)CENTENO E 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CHURCHILL out of JUST SHERRY by INTENSE FOCUS)
5  PRINCESS GLADYS Feb10 Dec20       (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 30.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DULCE PERICULUM by EL CORREDOR)
6  LILLI'S SPIRIT         (laurato m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 30.00    
  (by FREUD out of FOUR BEARS by HENNESSY)
7  WAYFARING         (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
8  TIME STONE Jan21         (devaux c)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WEEKDAY by DANSILI)
9  ROZAY SUMMER         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SUMMER ON THE LAWN by FIRST DEFENCE)
10  SOUTHERN COTTON Feb18 Dec20 Nov10     (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
  (by CABO LOBO out of CRYSTALEIGH by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
SCR  FAIRE PLAISIR Jan20         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of EXCUSES BEGONE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.