Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Friday - March 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(6/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(6/5/8/7)-(4/3/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-3   WIN (6/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-4   WIN (4/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-5   WIN (2/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/10)-(2/7/10/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/10)-(2/7/10/5/1)-(2/7/10/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-6   WIN (6/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-7   WIN (7/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(4/5/3/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SUN-8   WIN (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/7/2)-(4/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SUN-9   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6/7)-(4/5/3/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   03/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Feb13 Feb05 Jan11 Dec12 Nov21 (wheele)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00    
PANCHO LEFT ME Feb22 Jan12 Oct18 Nov08 Oct16 (chadborn k)JAIME R 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
ATTILAS TORNADO Feb15 Jan11 Nov21 Oct28 Oct18 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 124 1.80    
HENNESSY LOOKER RF Feb15 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 Oct18 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
BEAU VERO Jan19 Dec20 Nov27     (gonzalez sa)CASTRO M 124 5.00    
KING BRYCE Feb09 Jan11 Nov27 Nov07 Oct01 (hernandez leovi)ROSENDO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-2   03/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Jan26 Dec04 Nov20 Oct07 Sep24 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 8.00    
DADDY WHAT IF Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Nov28 Oct11 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
PROBATE Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 Dec12 Nov06 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
THE LAST FEAT Feb18 Jan11 Nov06 Oct06 Jul22 (singh johnny)TORRES J 124 8.00    
SCR  ANTONIOS MARK Feb23 Feb02 Jan18 Dec18 Nov27 (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.00    
THRUTHESTORM Feb08 Nov06 Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 (fincher w)CARRENO J 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
SUN-3   03/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD LEADER         (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 121 12.00    
  (by ROCK HARD CITY out of LEADER by WESTERN GAMBLER)
KENTUCKY GOLD Jul21         (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 12.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of GOLD RUSH HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
MYSTIC GOLD Nov14         (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of BLACKJACK SUE by BOB BLACK JACK)
SCR  LUCK E CHARM Jun09         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 4.00    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of SHAMROCK GIRL by KING BULL)
AMASS MONEY Feb18 Feb09       (summers nancy)TOHILL S 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of CLASSY DOM by DOMINIQUE'S CAT)
TRUST ANABELLE Feb09 Oct08       (quiroz filibert)VERGARA P 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of ANNIE P. by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
QUICK TRACK         (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of QUICKKEY by DEVON LANE)
SWEET BUT FIERCE Feb15 Dec19 Dec05 Jun09   (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.00 9% 10.00    
  (by ARTFUL RUN out of LITTLE MANDATE by FULL MANDATE)
 
SUN-4   03/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO PASA NADA Feb09 Jan25 Jan18 Dec18 Nov27 (gonzalez jos)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 8.00    
TUCUM Jan18 Dec12 Nov27 Nov06 Sep16 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAMBAS MARK Feb09 Dec18 Nov27 Nov06 Oct06 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
LET HIM BE Jan18 Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 Aug18 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
MASSIVE ROAR Feb09 Jan18 Nov27 Nov06 Apr22 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 4.50 10% 9.30    
WHERES BRAYDEN Feb15 Feb01 Jan05 May20 Mar07 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00    
LONZO WHO Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Dec18 Oct29 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 124 6.00    
 
SUN-5   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMP N ROLL Dec12         (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00    
AARON WHO Feb08 Dec20 Nov27 Nov13 Sep20 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.00 51% 1.00    
HOLLYWOOD TIZ Feb29 Feb15 Dec05 Nov07 Sep03 (marquez jose )MARQUEZ LARRY 124 6.00    
TRUST PACO P Feb08         (chadborn k)JAIME R 121 15.00    
JR'S CONFIDENCE Feb22 Feb09 Jan25 Jan05 Dec19 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 124 8.00    
EL PATO Feb23         (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 12.00    
TEE BREAKER Feb02 Dec12 Nov13     (lambert t)VERGARA P 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  SEA OF INDY Feb22 Feb09 Jan19 Oct01 Aug04 (gallegos ra)ORTEGA O 124 10.00    
JAZZY RED Feb29 Feb09 Mar19 Mar15 Feb22 (gutierrez taurino)TORRES J 119 20.00    
10  HARDY BOY Feb15 Jan05 Dec11 Aug06 Dec01 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-6   03/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLA BOY Feb23 Jan18 Dec18 Oct25 Oct06 (baldwin lynette)CARRENO J 124 4.50    
BAJA BOOGIE Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec18 Sep21 (cappellucci dick)TOHILL S 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
ETHAN Feb15 Nov07 Oct11 Oct01 Sep17 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 15.00    
ANGELA'S ANGEL Feb01 Dec20 Oct25 Jul26 Jul16 (marquez jose )MARQUEZ LARRY 124 12.00    
FINALLY AN EDDIE Feb17 Jan14 May06 Mar18 Feb18 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
PASS IT AROUND Feb23 Jan25 Dec20 Jun02 May07 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
THIRSTY MOE Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 Sep08 Aug25 (gonzale)FUENTES T 121 6.00    
JOHN JOHN Feb02 Nov20 Nov06     (lambert t)VERGARA P 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-7   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME COMPANY Jan26 Dec18       (constant ro)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
ARIZONA STEPHEN Nov15 Oct04 Aug30     (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SMILING RULER Feb23 Feb01 Nov26 Oct21 Sep22 (pierce)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 12.00    
SMOKE STACK Feb09 Jan19 Jan05 Feb05 Jan03 (gutierrez taurino)TORRES J 124 12.00    
GALACTIC CORE Feb09 Jan12 Nov20 Oct18 Oct04 (morales danny)JUAREZ J 124 5.00    
SAGA (NZ) Feb23 Jan18 Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 (bolen b)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAST TRAFFIC Feb23 Feb09 Jul04 Jun17 May12 (summers nancy)VERGARA P 124 1.60 38% 1.70    
AZTEC SUN Feb09 Jan12 Dec18 Nov20 Dec19 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
SUN-8   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONE FEELIN Feb05 Nov28 Nov07 Aug19 Jul21 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
IZA DADDY Jan26 Nov21 Oct28 Aug04 Jun18 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUCK IN MY EYES Feb23 Feb08 Jan12 Dec04 Oct28 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00    
REVOLT AND RIOT Feb29 Jan26 Jan18 Sep30 Sep15 (cross gary)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
BAROSSA Feb09 Jan26 Dec12 Nov13 Oct22 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 124 5.00    
SEXY DEXY Jan26 Jan11 Dec07 Nov02 Sep14 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
BIG LEAGUE BENNY Feb23 Feb15 Jan25 Dec11 Oct27 (trujil)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
TRIPP A MATIC Jan26 Aug04 Jun23 Apr15 Mar28 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 4.00    
 
SUN-9   03/08/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Albert Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL CHROME Feb18 Feb02 Jan18 Nov27 Nov06 (baldwin lynette)CARRENO J 122 5.00    
  (by SILVER WAGON out of PROPHESIZE by PRECOCITY)
AR YA WEEGEE Feb18 May07 Apr09 Mar14 Sep10 (cross gary)ROSENDO J 119 12.00    
  (by TO TERAS out of SILVER STAIRS by DEMIDOFF)
THUNDER DOME Feb02 Nov27 Nov06 Oct29 Oct04 (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by DOME out of LAUREN LYNN by HADIF)
ONE MARK Feb09 Jan25 Nov27 Oct29 Sep16 (fincher w)HEBERT J 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MARKING out of CHERRY ONE by SIR CHEROKEE)
I'MAGAMBLER Feb18 Jan26 Nov20 Oct20 Sep08 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
  (by KING BULL out of GAMBLERS ODYSSEY by EL CORREDOR)
DELBERT TOO Feb09 Jan18 Dec18 Nov27 Oct29 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of ON STRIDE by GHOSTLY MOVES)
ANCIENT LAND Feb09 Jan25 Nov27 Nov06 Sep03 (lambert t)TOHILL S 121 10.00    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of RODINIA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
BODIE GOT GOLD Feb09 Jan26 Jan05 Nov06 Oct06 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of BODIE'S GOLD by BODEMEISTER)
HENRY ON THE RUN Feb09 Jan19 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of PRAIRIE MOONLIGHT by PREMEDITATION)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.