Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - December 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/3/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-2   WIN (4/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/6)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/6)-(4/2/1)-(4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(4/2)-(11/16/15/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(11/16/15/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(11/16/15/2)-(6/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-5   WIN (11/16/15/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/16/15/2)-(11/16/15/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/16/15/2)-(11/16/15/8/2)-(11/16/15/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/16/15/2)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/16/15/2)-(6/5/1)-(1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(1/2)-(7/8/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(7/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(7/8/1)-(6/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-8   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/1)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/4/2/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-9   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(6/3/4/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRX-10   WIN (6/3/4/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2/9)-(6/3/4/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/2/9)-(6/3/4/2/9)-(6/3/4/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   12/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONTHISHARVESTMOON Nov29 Nov07 Oct09 Sep11 Jul14 (bullock jordan)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00 43% 1.30    
2  BROOKLYN HEIGHTS Nov07 Sep11 Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 (st u)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 5.00    
3  AUNT BERRA Nov14 Oct03 Sep11 Aug13 Jul30 (smylie timoth)OCASIO M 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  ELL GRAY Nov29 Nov07 Oct09 Sep11 Aug10 (ser)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S A LINO Nov29 Oct29 Oct05 Sep01 Aug08 (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50    
6  FOREST MAIDEN Nov29 Nov07 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 (linder lou)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 6.00    
7  PARADIGM SHIFT Oct03 Sep18 Aug28 Jul26 Jul05 (bouchard le)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
 
PRX-2   12/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC LION Nov08 Oct23 Oct04 Sep18 Sep04 (brown howard )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00    
2  T'WAS THE NIGHT Nov22 Aug22 Jun05 May03 Apr17 (st u)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 15.00    
3  LAST DREAM Nov08 Oct09 Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
4  BIG BROOK Nov22 Oct09 Sep11 Aug31   (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
5  GOLD BLING Nov22 Sep27       (carango an)RIVERA R 115 15.00    
6  KEEP IT SALTY         (carango ant)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROAD CALL Nov22 Oct31 Oct16 Jul24 Jul11 (mccaslin j)HENRY JR 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
8  BUBBY PAPERMAKER Nov14 Oct31 Oct02 Sep18 Aug12 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00    
 
PRX-3   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPOLI Nov08 Oct17 Sep23 Aug22 Aug05 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
2  CARBONITE Nov20 Nov01 Oct22 Oct05 Sep15 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  ROAN BURGUNDY Nov14 Oct24 Oct13 Sep15 Aug22 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50    
4  FINALLY CAPTURED Nov20 Nov06 Oct03 Sep15 Aug23 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  LOOKIN' SUPER Nov20 Oct05 Sep02 Aug20 Jul08 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 113 6.00    
6  PROFESSOR KOOL Nov20 Oct24 Oct03 Sep18 Aug22 (soto c)CORREA JULIO 118 6.00    
 
PRX-4   12/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIRENETTA Nov28 Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 Oct11 (gallimore tre)TORRES WESLEY 118 5.00    
2  LUNA T Nov28 Nov08 Nov01 Sep11 Jul26 (lake a)MOYA F 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  CATALENA Nov15 Sep28 Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 116 6.00    
4  BURANO Nov14 Oct11 Aug21 Jul19 Nov22 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 122 1.20 49% 1.00    
SCR  CINNAMON DREAM Nov28 Nov13 Sep25 Sep04 Aug18 (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00    
6  LULI'S DANCER Nov28 Oct16 Oct02 Sep20 Aug23 (pollara fr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00    
SCR  POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Nov28 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 Oct02 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00    
 
PRX-5   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZTEC BAY Nov29 Oct01 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 (st u)HENRY JR 118 10.00    
2  EIGHTY EIGHT KEYS Nov13 Oct30 Oct10 Sep11 May25 (bedard alan)OCASIO M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIVINE TWIST Oct23 Oct04 Jul04 Jun18 Jun07 (santaella-calder)CASTILLO A 122 12.00    
4  BRUNO BARBER GIRL Oct16 Oct02 Sep12 Aug29 Jun27 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 118 12.00    
SCR  LUCKY BREEZE Nov21 Nov13 Oct26 Oct11 Oct02 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
6  BLACK DIAMOND RAIN Nov29 Nov13 Oct09 Sep09 Aug05 (diaz jorge)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 8.00    
7  LUCKY FLUSH Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Oct16 Oct03 (velazque)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 5.00    
8  WICKED LADY Nov14 Oct23 Jul18 Jun26 Jun07 (guerrero j )RAMOS C 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  MOONLITE IN HEAVEN Nov14 Jun25 May14 Apr29 Mar19 (mosco robe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00    
SCR  THE FURMANATOR Nov29 Nov13 May01 Apr17 Mar08 (vega richard)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00    
11  MENDELIAN Nov29 Jan24 Nov29 Oct24   (reid rober)RIVERA R 113 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  LA LA LUCY Nov28 Nov14 Oct11 Oct04 Sep11 (mann farrel)CORREA JULIO 122 20.00    
SCR  LIL' LATE LUCK Nov13 Oct30 Oct11 Sep04 Aug13 (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 6.00    
SCR  COLETTE'S SPIRIT Nov13 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 (sanchez-pin)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 20.00    
15  VALIANT MAJESTY Jul26 Jun21 May30 May03 Apr12 (betancourt el)RANGEL JOEZER 122 6.00 6% 15.30    
16  BABY SOX Nov21 Nov03 Oct08 Sep15 Sep04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00 10% 8.90    
 
PRX-6   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUZ IT'S CHILLY         (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CHILLY START by JUMP START)
2  LUV YA BLUE         (guerrero c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of CALUSA RIDGE by CACTUS RIDGE)
3  LUKA D         (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of KUKALUKA by COMIC STRIP)
SCR  STANDPOINT Nov21 Nov08 Sep23 Aug21   (hawthorne bobb)PENNINGTON F 119 4.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of BREE ZEE LEE by SKY MESA)
5  BAD BAD MR. BROWN Nov13 Oct24 Sep23     (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of CANTINA KID by LEMON DROP KID)
6  FACE THE FACTS Nov13 Oct10 Sep23     (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by FLASHBACK out of ELLESMERE by TABASCO CAT)
7  EDDIE W Oct17         (krebs steve)RAMOS C 119 12.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of BACK STOP by BLAME)
 
PRX-7   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIST HER Nov08 Sep11 Aug21 Jul05 May31 (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 5.00 53% 0.90    
2  CELTIC TIGER Jul11 Jun05 Nov25 Nov07   (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 5.00 14% 6.00    
3  GRYPHON'S WINGS Nov08 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul05 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 12.00    
SCR  MY MAGGIE MOO Nov29 Nov04 Oct04 Sep15 Jul15 (farro patr)RIVERA R 117 2.00    
SCR  VALDIKAVA Nov21 Oct03 Sep06 Jul13 May30 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00    
6  SO FULLY SUE Nov08 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Jul10 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 4.00    
SCR  CIVIL NOTION Nov08 Oct21 Sep30 Sep04 Aug23 (st u)SANCHEZ J 118 12.00    
 
PRX-8   12/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY OPPORTUNITY Nov08 Oct09 Sep23 Sep11   (lak)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 6.00 13% 6.70    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of LA PADRINA by EL PADRINO)
2  BREEZY DANCE Nov15 Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep23 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 8.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DANCES ON WATER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
3  FAR TOO FOXY         (bedard a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 12.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MISS A. G. by POWER BY FAR)
SCR  KINDRED HEARTS Nov21         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.50    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of KINDRED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  EVERHEART Nov22         (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 119 8.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of ICY TEA by STORM CAT)
6  NAMORA Nov22 Nov04       (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 5.00    
  (by IL VILLANO out of SPRINGINGINTHEREIN by SPRING AT LAST)
7  MIKEY'S SONG Nov08 Oct16       (reid e)PENNINGTON F 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PHANTOM PHASR by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  STEAL THE DEAL Nov08 Sep23 Aug21 Jul18   (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of STEAL THE LUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
PRX-9   12/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROAD JUMPER Oct16 Sep25 Aug23 Jul12 Jun20 (carango anthon)MOYA F 122 20.00    
2  EMPIRE PASS Oct30 Sep27 Aug18 May31 Mar05 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 10% 9.30    
3  R FUNNY BIZNESS Nov22 Aug09 May29 Apr14 Mar26 (velazquez al)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
4  IRIE EMPRESS Nov02 Sep18 Aug29 Aug12 Jul24 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
5  SPANIKOPITA Nov20 Oct31 Oct16 Sep25 Aug11 (cole-davis tina)BOWMAN ADAM 122 20.00    
6  GOLDEN TABBY Sep27 Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 May08 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 1.60 41% 1.50    
7  BUCKS SOME Oct24 Aug30 Jul21 Jul03 Jun23 (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00    
 
PRX-10   12/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE READY Nov27 Oct30 Oct17 Oct04 Sep20 (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 10.00    
2  HIBACHI Nov10 Oct19 Sep22 Sep11 Aug23 (perez )GONZALEZ JR 122 10.00 5% 17.50    
3  COLONEL JUAN Nov14 Oct10 Sep12 Aug23 Apr24 (guerrero j )RAMOS C 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
4  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 Sep05 (jones eduar)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 4.00 7% 13.90    
5  SAMURAI SAINT Nov29 Nov01 Sep30 Aug28 Jul19 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
6  HE'S INCREDIBLE Oct10 Sep19 Aug22 Jul15 Jun28 (velazquez al)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  RELISHMENT Nov21 Nov01 Oct16 Sep18 Jul19 (bravo-estrada j)BOWMAN ADAM 122 12.00    
8  LORD MIO Oct03 Sep10 Aug11 Jul16 Jun23 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 122 15.00    
9  THE ANGRY MAN Nov13 Nov01 Oct25 Oct14 Oct04 (gallimore trevo)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  INDIRECTLY Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 Jul30 Jul18 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 15.00    
SCR  TACO BEAN Nov29 Nov07 Oct25 Oct09 Sep11 (soto- martinez)CORREA JULIO 122 12.00    
12  HANEY BOYS Nov28 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 Oct02 (mosco rober)ANGULO J 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.