Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - September 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(1/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(1/4/3/8)-(4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/8)-(1/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/8)-(1/4/3/8)-(1/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/8)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/8)-(4/5)-(6/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/4/1)-(6/8/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(2/4)-(1/5/2/11/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/5/2/11/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/5/2/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/11/3)-(1/5/2/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/11/3)-(1/5/2/11/3)-(1/5/2/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL BIZZ Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 Jun28 May16 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 2.50    
2  IOVA Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 Jul05 Jan03 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00    
3  KEEPMYEYEONTHEBOYS Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 1.60 59% 0.70    
4  BON FIRE DIVA Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jan08 (williams omani)ROHENA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  QUIET HORIZON Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul11 Jun21 (cabrera jose)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
6  ROYAL JUBILEE Aug18 Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 May11 (maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 119 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
FL-2   09/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKIE C Sep13 Aug15 Aug02 Jun13 May31 (bireta donna)DIAZ J 114 12.00    
2  ALARRA Aug15 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
3  SCOUTING PARTY Sep13 Aug30 Aug08 Jul25 Jun26 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
4  BARBARA'S SPIRIT Sep13 Jun14 May16     (ferraro anth)COA J 121 5.00    
5  INDYAN PENNY Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 6.00    
6  DONS LAST CALL Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Sep12 Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 121 8.00    
 
FL-3   09/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA BERNARDINI Aug28 Aug01 Jun15     (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by BERNARDINI out of CHARISMATA by ADMIRING WEIGHS)
2  TOMAKI         (progno christo)COA J 121 5.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of ANTE UP MY FRIEND by FRIEND OR FOE)
3  MIAMI TWOFER Aug28         (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 3.00 14% 6.30    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SKIPPIN' CHURCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
4  FLUTE SONG Sep11         (monserrate maris)ROHENA M 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FLUTIE by TAPIZAR)
5  EQUINAMOUS Aug28 Jun12       (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of STORMY PERON by HARD SPUN)
6  NICOLENA P.         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of BLINDSIDEHIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
7  IDA DE NILE Aug28         (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 15.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NILE RISING by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  DR G AND ALI         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of OVERDRIVE by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
FL-4   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRTY OYSTERS Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul05 Jun04 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 121 10.00    
SCR  FIGHTER KITE Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Jun28 May16 (d'alessandro r)VENTURA JOSE 121 10.00    
SCR  CASHEL KITTEN Aug22 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 Oct19 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 121 2.50    
3  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Sep11 Sep01 Aug23 Jul26 Jul17 (vasquez ram)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50    
4  TUNNEL VISION Aug21 Jul24 Jul01 Jun04 May13 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
5  MATT DOYLE Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jun28 (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
6  ESCAPE MISSION Aug28 Aug09 Jul10 Jun12 May14 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 6.00    
 
FL-5   09/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULO BELLO         (goodwin gabr)HARKIE K 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of WARRIOR MARIE by DESERT WARRIOR)
1A  DERBY CHILD         (goodwin gabri)DAVILA A 121 8.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MARIE'S TUFF by TEUFLESBERG)
2  ENTICING PROSPECT         (ferraro anth)COA J 121 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of FERRITTO by SUAVE)
3  YOU BEAUT         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of ASBEAUTIFULASYOU by A.P. INDY)
4  BOLD FORCE Aug11 Jun24       (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 4.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SCATTERED RAIN by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  PROFITABILITY         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 12.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of VICKI T by STREET SENSE)
6  BET THE PALACE Sep11         (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LOVE TO GAMBLE by BRAHMS)
7  HAL AWAY         (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 8.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
8  THAT WORKS         (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PAVED WITH GOLD by STREET SENSE)
 
FL-6   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VARSITY DOLL Sep12 Aug07 Jul05     (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 121 10.00    
1A  NORTHUMBERLAND         (monserrate maris)ROHENA M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  FUNNY HONEY Aug29 Nov14       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
3  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 (sells rachel)COA J 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  OUR FIRST LADY Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun26 May22 (acquila)NAVARRO J 121 6.00    
5  NORTHWAY Sep03 Jul16 Jun03 May05 Mar18 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  JOURNEY OF FIVE Jul05 Jun12 May16 May02 Feb24 (huertas nirka)ROHENA JR 120 12.00    
SCR  MY LITTLE ONE Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
SCR  VROOM VROOM Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May22 May08 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF TOSCANOVA         (ferraro )DAVIS A 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
FL-7   09/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 May29 Apr29 (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 4.00    
SCR  KHOZANDO Aug28 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 Apr16 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 4.00    
2  MANDATORY PAYOUT Sep13 Aug23 Aug07 Jul17 Jun19 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  KODIAK BROWN Sep11 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Nov15 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00    
4  FUTILE Sep18 Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun19 (sells rachel)DAVILA A 122 15.00 17% 5.00    
5  TRIVISTA Sep11 Aug28 Aug02 Jul11 May23 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
SCR  THIS CAT CAN FLY Sep11 Jul19 Jun19 Nov23 Nov15 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
7  MASETA Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul19 Jun21 (murphy p)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
8  FLAT BILL Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 Jul03 (gutterson katly)ROHENA JR 122 15.00    
 
FL-8   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOAH'S DESTINY Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jun12 May15 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  FREUDEREISS Sep13 Aug02 Jul19 May08   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
3  CHASIN' YOU Sep13 Mar05 Feb25 Jan06 Dec17 (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  WATERMELON CRUSH Sep13 Aug25 Aug10 Jul05 Jun21 (sabine michael )FRET STEVEN 124 8.00    
5  JACKSON BAY Sep04 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  ONE FOR MY BROTHER Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 Jul09 Jul01 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 5.00    
7  GREEK EASTER Sep13 Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (lecesse mich)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
8  BROADWAY BANKER Sep13 Sep04 Aug09 Jul24 Jun28 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 121 15.00    
9  WESWORLD Sep13 Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 (ficarella brooke)FRATES D 124 20.00    
SCR  FOOT TRAFFIC Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun12 (bireta donna)DIAZ J 116 20.00    
11  LOOKIN GRAND Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug14 Jul31 (fung christop)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.