Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/3/6)-(6/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTD-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-4   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-5   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/5/8/3)-(6/9/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CTD-7   WIN (1/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/3)-(1/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/3)-(1/5/8/3)-(1/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/3)-(6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-8   WIN (6/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/1)-(6/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9/1)-(6/9/1)-(6/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-2   09/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART CAT Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul23 Jul08 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 0.80 34% 1.90    
2  CAROSWAY Sep17 Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 120 6.00    
3  AMEER Sep17 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  REAL JUSTICE Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 (kettleson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 3.00    
5  BODYMOOR HEATH Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 Jun23 Jun03 (davies deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00    
 
CTD-3   09/23/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAPEZE Jul30 Jul08       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
2  BLAZING SUN Sep01         (kettle)STEADMAN LEON 119 20.00    
  (by BOADINI out of CHIMESPLAY by TEEMAN)
3  TAPFERSURE Aug18 Jul29 Jul16 May27 Oct28 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 122 1.40 21% 3.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of WONDER AGAIN by SILVER HAWK)
4  DADDY'S PEPPER Aug18 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of CHILECITO by RAHY)
5  TENDER LOVE Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 Jun09 Apr07 (leech wil)ZENTENO JR 119 8.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of EKATI S'AVALL by TALE OF EKATI)
6  AL REICHERT Sep01 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 May13 (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of AMALGAMATION by LEMON DROP KID)
 
CTD-4   09/23/2023 2310ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIZZLIN ROSE Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 4.50    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
2  SWEETSINGINGANGEL         (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of SWEET ANGEL GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
3  THISCATSGOTSPEED         (hed)GARCIA ALEJANDRO 122 15.00 7% 13.00    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of KITTY KRISSEY by KISSIN KRIS)
4  TAYLOR FIELD         (petrowski)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of KEEP IT A SECRET by THUNDER GULCH)
5  BURNING UP Sep01 Aug19       (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 119 10.00    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of MISS FIRE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  B B'S WILDFIRE         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by FINALITY out of KATCHIN FIRE by STORM VICTORY)
7  SIRACHA         (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 119 8.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of VELOSO RAPTOR by REGAL RANSOM)
 
CTD-5   09/23/2023 2310ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERMOT'S DILEMMA Sep01         (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WHINNY MAGOOGIN by LATENT HEAT)
2  EL PASO Sep01 Aug19       (cone rodn)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00    
  (by OMEGA CODE out of ESMERALDA BELLE by DIXIE CHATTER)
3  SUNNY WAY         (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of CHARISM by CHARISMATIC)
4  DARE MIGHTY THINGS Sep01 Aug19       (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EDISON out of SHIRTS AND SHOES by SKY MESA)
5  EDDY BEAR         (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 4.50    
  (by EDISON out of PIGTAILS by STEPHANOTIS)
6  GRANDMA DEE         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 1.60 29% 2.40    
  (by FINALITY out of AFTER THE RAIN by LEMON DROP KID)
7  E PAY ALL THE WAY Sep01 Aug05       (laczo br)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of E LOOE by LURE)
 
CTD-6   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEARL OF KNOWLEDGE Jul16 Jun16 May26 Nov05 Sep10 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.00    
2  WILD ARCH Sep10 Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 66% 0.50    
3  SUDDENLY MISTY Sep01 Aug12 Jul28 Jun16 May27 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  EDGE OF OKOTOKS Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 Jun23 Jun02 (mcdonald rober)MARTIN ANDRE 125 4.50    
5  SMILIN EVIE Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul23 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 1.80    
6  TALA Sep09 Aug25 Aug05 Jul29 Jun09 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 15.00    
 
CTD-7   09/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGENT C Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 122 4.00 54% 0.90    
2  SNAP COUNT Aug25 Jul28 Jul16 Jun24 May26 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00    
3  CASHLINGS Sep01 Mar03 Feb04 Jan07   (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 20.00 6% 16.90    
4  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Aug25 Aug12 Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 10.00    
5  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Aug11 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May06 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.50 12% 7.20    
6  OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 May26 Nov05 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 6.00    
7  LIL ZAPPER Sep01 Aug19 Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 122 20.00    
8  SPOT ON DUDE Sep01 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 7% 12.50    
9  TRICKY SPEEDSTER Aug25 Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 Jun10 (nichol)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00    
 
CTD-8   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAXON SAGA Sep13 Aug29 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
2  WALKTHELINE Aug25 Aug04 Jul23 Jun30 Jun16 (mcdonald )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 8.00    
SCR  LINCHPIN STORM Aug11 Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (r)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 20.00 8% 10.90    
4  DOC COPE Sep09 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 12.00    
5  BACKSTREET BOBBY Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul23 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00    
6  BON PRIX Sep09 Aug04 Jul23 Jun30 Jun16 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 42% 1.40    
7  READYTOTAPNSING Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul22 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 6.00    
8  NORTHERN JEWEL Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul22 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 10.00    
9  WAR GIANT Sep09 Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 Jun30 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 15% 5.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.