Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/4)-(2/3/5) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/3/5)-(1/5/6) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(1/5/6)-(6/1/8/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(6/1/8/5)-(2/1/6/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (6/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (6/1/8/5)-(2/1/6/3)-(9/6/5/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/1/6/3)-(9/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (9/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bocage Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG NICK Aug07 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May23 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
SAXON SAGA Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May23 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 119 15.00    
  (by SLEW'S SAGA out of TU TU STONE by GRINDSTONE)
MAGIC TIGER Aug07 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May22 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
PRAYFORPEACE Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 Jun07 (gourneau jerry)CARRENO J 119 5.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of STAR PEARL by TAPIT)
CONVENTION (IRE) Aug07 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 Apr25 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
ASD-2   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HELENS SPIRIT Jul25 Jul12 Jun07 Sep27 Sep07 (jordan jenn)BADALOO DOUGLAS 118 15.00    
MILAN OHIO Aug23 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
TEEMANS FLAIR Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 Sep27 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.00    
FREEDOM CONVOY Aug14 Jul25       (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.50 30% 2.40    
NO BARB WIRE Jun26         (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 117 25.00    
MOVE TO ORDER Aug23 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 (morin shaun)TARASENCO P 117 3.50    
 
ASD-3   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPIRATUS Jul18 Sep19 Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 (desjarlais rya)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 20.00    
ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Aug09 Jul25 Jun12 May30 Sep26 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.20 55% 0.80    
LIPSTICK LADY Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
SECRET AVENGER Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 25.00    
GIDDY UP ZOEY Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 (desjarlais ry)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAIBELLA Aug14 Jun19 Jun06 Sep20 Aug31 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 2.00    
 
ASD-4   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR OF TADAA         (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 3.00 8% 10.90    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TADAA by GOING COMMANDO)
PINO BAMBINO         (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 122 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
BANKER'S DAY Aug14 Jul24       (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 6.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NOTE TO SELF by NOTEBOOK)
J L COPPER         (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 10.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
VINDICTIVE MISS Aug14 Jul04       (husbands tiffa)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 2.00 7% 14.10    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of JOMARE by GHOSTZAPPER)
THE ANSWER IS         (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of FRISKY JANELLE by HENNY HUGHES)
MR BENGY         (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 117 20.00    
  (by NONIOS out of TURBO SHAFT by DIALED IN)
SCR  SCARLET MOON Jul29 Jun25 Jun11     (martin dean)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 5.00 65% 0.50    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
RIPROCK Aug09 Jul04       (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 12.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of STAGE CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
 
ASD-5   08/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REALLY SLOW Aug21 Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 Feb04 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.60 14% 6.30    
MAS MISCHIEF Aug21 Jul30 Jul23 Sep23 Sep18 (tourangeau m)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 25.00    
BROWNING ISLAND Aug22 Jul26 Jul10 Jul03 Jun19 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 4.50    
DOUBLE TIME Aug21 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 Sep26 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 15.00    
MUROMEC Aug21 Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 8.00 6% 16.10    
OUT ON SATURDAY Aug21 Jul19 May23 Sep20 Sep07 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
HIMELSTEIN Aug14 Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 (mustard doug)CHOW CHAVION 124 20.00    
LOOKIN HIGH Aug14 Jul31 Jul24 Jul11 Jun23 (cole terry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 10.00 8% 11.80    
 
ASD-6   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE EXPRESS Aug01 Jul02 Jun16 May14 Apr13 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
KATE'S PRINCESS Jul31 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 Jun05 (danelson gary)CARRENO J 123 1.00 36% 1.70    
OUR PETUNIA Jul29 Jul23 Jun24 Jun11 Jun11 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
MISS M J Aug16 Jul05 Jun14 May17 May08 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 123 15.00    
CHICAGO RIVER Aug22 Aug08 Jul17 Jul09 Jun21 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00    
SOMEONE ELSE Jul19 Jul04 Jun20 Jun12 May22 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
LOAD ABROAD Aug14 Aug01 Jul11 Jun30 Jun23 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 118 25.00    
SWEET DESIGN Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 Jul18 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 6.00    
 
ASD-7   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Aug22 Aug01 Jun27 Jun21 Jun05 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 120 12.00 7% 14.40    
ROUGH CUSTOMER Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun10 (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 122 3.50    
ADJOURNMENT Aug07 Jul26 Jul05 Jun26 Jun05 (pruitt lise)BUDHU ARTHUR 120 15.00    
ARROGANCE Aug02 Jul19 Jul10 Jun26 May23 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 122 8.00    
WELL PLAYED Aug07 Jul19 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 (buffalo marvin)AEBLY FRASER 117 4.50 14% 5.90    
I LOVE MY LIFE Aug08 Jul12 Jun21 Jun05 May23 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  LOLLIPOP KID Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul08 Jun14 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 10.00    
KEYSTONE CASH Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 120 50.00    
BLAZING BO Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun26 Jun06 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.