Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(4/5/3)-(7/6/11/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(7/6/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(7/6/11/4)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-3   WIN (7/6/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/11/4)-(7/6/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/11/4)-(7/6/11/4)-(7/6/11/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/11/4)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6/11/4)-(2/4)-(1/4/3/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DEL-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/4/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/4/3/7)-(3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-5   WIN (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/7)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/7)-(3/6/4)-(8/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-6   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(8/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(8/6/5/2)-(8/7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-7   WIN (8/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/2)-(8/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DEL-8   WIN (8/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/5)-(8/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/5)-(8/7/1/5)-(8/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND REPROACH Jul26         (seale chris)MARIN A 119 8.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of KIMONO by BERNARDINI)
2  BOY MAGIC         (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ULLAPOOL by LANGFUHR)
3  JIGGERY POKERY Jul26         (seale christop)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DANCINGINTHESTREET by CAHILL ROAD)
SCR  WILLY D'S         (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BOSTON MINE by MINESHAFT)
5  NIGHT OUT         (stidham michael)CENTENO E 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CARNIVAL LASS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  PLAY LIKE A RAVEN         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of COWGIRL CREED by SHARP HUMOR)
 
DEL-2   08/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTOR U AND ME IN Jul30 May01       (coletti e)HERNANDEZ A 117 6.00    
2  PRINCE FRED Jul15 Jun10       (russell t)ROSE J 117 3.50    
3  INSOUCIANT Jul08         (nazario ped)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHEA D WORLD Jul30 Jul02       (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 1.60 56% 0.80    
5  LIVING IN STYLE Jul13         (arriagada ju)ARROYO S 114 8.00 19% 4.30    
6  MANTAKETHEBLESINGS Jul30 Jul18 Jun19 Jun10   (smith everton)OCASIO M 117 2.50    
 
DEL-3   08/24/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAND ARROW Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 Apr23 Mar01 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
SCR  BOSSYNESS Aug06 Jul12 Jul01 Jun02 May05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00    
3  IRISH KITTEN Aug09 Jul15 Jun28 Jun01 Apr15 (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 6.00    
4  WATERWORKS Jul15 Jul01 May27 Mar30 Feb24 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00 9% 9.70    
5  PRUSSIAN BLUE Aug09 Jul19 May11 Apr13 Mar17 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 118 20.00    
6  SING SCAT Jul16 May24 Apr16 Mar10 Feb10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 4.50 21% 3.80    
7  KILLY START Jul14 Jun25 Dec01 Oct28 Sep16 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  SACRED UNION Jul22 Jun24 Jul03 Jun10   (alcala cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 12.00    
SCR  WATER WITCH Jul23 Jul07 Jun17 May28 May13 (farrior anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
10  MOSALAH Aug03 Jul12 May25 Oct22 Sep29 (ashby lynn)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
11  BRAVO ZULU Jun09 May07 Apr20 Feb25 Jan29 (brown how)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 10% 8.70    
 
DEL-4   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILIGREE Aug04 Jul06 Oct21 Sep23 Aug29 (sc)DA FAUSTO 123 8.00    
2  CAPTAIN QUINT Apr13 Mar17 Feb12 Jan28 Dec09 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 123 2.50 41% 1.50    
3  SUPER CONSTITUTION Aug05 Jun30 May06 Apr16 Sep16 (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 123 6.00    
4  CLOUD MUSIC Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 May19 Mar31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 1.80 24% 3.10    
5  BROTHER SHOWTYME Jul19 Jun28 Jun09 Apr26 Oct28 (sanchez-piner)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 8.00    
SCR  COLLECTION DAY Jun28 May19 Mar11 Feb11 Jan22 (gorham michae)ROJAS MARTINA 112 3.50    
 
DEL-5   08/24/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAY TOO EARLY Jul02 May07 Mar23 Feb19 Jan08 (mcgaughey cla)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VERDURA by SMART STRIKE)
2  TROPE Aug23         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DON'T TRICK HER by MAZEL TRICK)
3  RACING Aug04 Mar26       (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 8.00 5% 17.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of RUNNING WILD by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  CREOLE Aug02 Jun15 May24 Dec30 Nov19 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LUTETIA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  GRACEFUL UNION Aug03 Jun03 May13 Mar25 Feb04 (gaudet lacey)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHAUSIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  SWEET PRINCESS         (dye steven)ALICEA JEREMY 112 12.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SWEET MORGAN by SWEET RETURN (GB))
7  APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Aug04 Jul05       (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ENCHANTED EMMA by BODEMEISTER)
8  BLONDE SAMARITAN Aug03 Jul22 Jun15 Apr28 Apr16 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MARAZION GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
9  VOLTA D'ORO Jul05 Mar11 Feb12 Jan15   (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of OVER THE EDGE by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  VANA BRIGHT Aug05         (boucher li)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 20.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of STEELY VANA by VAN NISTELROOY)
SCR  BOUNTY KILLAH Aug05 Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 Jun02 (richards marv)ALICEA JEREMY 112 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SISTER FRIEND by MINESHAFT)
SCR  RED HOT AND BLUE Mar03 Dec15 Oct27 Apr13 Feb25 (toner j)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BURNING ARCH by ARCH)
 
DEL-6   08/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICALITY Jun18 May28 Dec21 Nov23   (arriagada ju)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
2  BELLA PALOMA Aug10 Jul22 Jul05 Jun03 Mar25 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 116 8.00    
3  CHORUS GIRL Jul22 Jun23 Nov19 Oct29 Aug24 (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.50 35% 1.80    
4  PEPPERMINT CLASS Jul15 Jun22 Mar10 Nov23   (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
5  CARROLL GIRL Jul15 Jun28 May11 Apr06 Mar06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.80    
6  RAGTIME BELLE Jul15 Jun24 May24 Apr28 Mar12 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
DEL-7   08/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRULY AMBITIOUS Aug02 Jul05 Jun17 May31 Mar10 (husted rac)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 20.00    
2  MURPH Aug03 Jul12 Jun23 May20 Apr20 (magana jose)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LADY LANCER Aug05 Jul05 Jun22 Jun10 May31 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 117 15.00    
4  SCAMPER ALONG Aug02 Jun25 Dec03 Nov14 Oct27 (downing william)CENTENO E 121 10.00    
5  SYSTEMIC RISK Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 Jun04 May16 (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 121 6.00 5% 18.30    
6  MAINLINE Aug05 Jun17 Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 (russell t)ROSE J 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  MICHELE M. Jul07 Jun03 Nov05 Oct05   (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 4.00    
8  FLIRTATIOUS LASS Aug12 Jul05 Jun02 May12 Nov20 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
DEL-8   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOGALU Jul07 Jun16 Apr30 Dec24 Dec03 (barboza vic)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 9% 10.10    
2  SUTTON VALLEY Aug04 Jul19 Jun15 May25 Apr16 (rodriguez j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 6.00    
3  MERU Aug05 Jul24 Jul10 Jun13 May29 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00    
4  PEPE AND HEYWOOD Aug04 Jun22 May27 May13 May04 (nazario pedr)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 8.00    
5  APACHE Aug03 Jul14 Jun22 Jun09 Jun01 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 121 10.00 9% 10.20    
6  FIRST RULE Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 Jun15 May15 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 2.50    
7  HIDDEN WARRIOR Jun15 Apr19 Mar15 Dec09 Nov05 (barboza victor )CENTENO E 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  OVERBEARING Aug04 Jul01 Jun22 Jun01 Apr30 (simone micha)ARROYO S 121 8.00 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.