Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grande Prairie
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GPR-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GPR-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
GPR-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(1/3/2/7)-(2/7/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GPR-5   WIN (1/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/7)-(2/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GPR-6   WIN (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GPR-1   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORGOTABOUTME Aug05 Jul29 Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 1.40 29% 2.40    
BULLET EXPRESS Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
PUDDLES Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 Jun23 May28 (rycroft cli)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00    
FORMAL TUX Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 May20 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
GUCCI BLING Jul22 May29 May13 Apr07 Mar07 (snider corey)APANGO JUAN 124 8.00    
 
GPR-2   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DO YOU NO WHO I AM Jul22         (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of LOGAN'S HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
TIMELY LIFE Aug13 Jul30 Jul16     (kettleson aliv)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of FLATTERING LIFE by FLATTER)
FLYING ROAR Aug05         (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 5.00    
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of DAKOTA RED by FLYING CHEVRON)
COOL DOMINION Jul30 Jul08 May27 Nov05 Oct08 (miyashiro ta)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
  (by NUMAANY out of COOL COMMOTION by KAHUNA JACK)
BIG TIME ROB Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jan14 Dec10 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by EL ROBLAR out of SWISS QUEEN by SWISS YODELER)
EXPLICIT FIRE Jun09 May26 Nov05     (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00    
  (by FIRESPIKE out of RESCUE EXPLICIT by EXPLICIT)
 
GPR-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE JEANS N BEER Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun10 May28 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
JAKE THE GREAT Jul30 Jun18 Jun03 Mar27 Mar13 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Jul30 Jul17 Jul10 Jul04 Jun21 (kinch bill)GORDON GARFIELD 124 6.00    
IRISH POLO Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (magnuson lyl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
DEVIL'S TEETH Aug06 Jul23 Jun11 May27 Apr11 (depew jim)ROCHA O 124 8.00    
BUZZSAW MCCLEARY Jul30 Jul15       (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50 24% 3.30    
 
GPR-5   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR MOON Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Oct28 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
WICKED WOMAN Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Oct28 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 10% 8.90    
SHOUT Aug05 Jul15 Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 5.00 13% 7.00    
DANCING ZAZINGA Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00    
SUBLIME EUPHORIA Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00    
FRAN FROM PERU Aug05 Jul22 Jun25 Sep04 Aug20 (magnuson lyle)POWELL ANDRE 124 12.00    
CORONA DEL MAR Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 May27 May07 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 2.00 7% 13.40    
 
GPR-6   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY JASPER Aug06 Jul23 Feb11 Dec22 Oct30 (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00    
THISISMYSTORY Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 (cummins cindy)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
BOESER Jul09 Jun10 Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 (rutherford ell)ALLEN LARRIS 124 15.00    
MR. PICKLES Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 Jun11 May27 (gardipy ra)APANGO JOSE 124 5.00 13% 7.00    
SQUARE ROOT Aug13 Feb21 Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 (depew jim)ROCHA O 124 4.50    
RISING REVOLUTION Jul22 Jul09 Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 (rutherford e)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00    
MCKENZIE RED Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Sep11 Sep03 (rycroft clinton)SIMPSON W 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
DON'TTEASETHETIGER Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 May20 Apr15 (oberholtz)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 12.00 7% 13.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.