Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(1/3/4/6)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/6)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/6)-(3/2/4)-(1/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/7/4/5)-(5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/5)-(5/1/4)-(7/11/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/7/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(7/11/10/2)-(7/3/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (7/11/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/11/10/2)-(7/11/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/11)-(2/7/10/11)-(2/7/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/10/11)-(2/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/11/10/2)-(7/3/2/4)-(6/5/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-7   WIN (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/7)-(2/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-8   WIN (6/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO Jun18 May27 May20 May11 Oct14 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 4.00    
SCR  STRIKE ME DOWN Jun28 May22 May05 Mar20 Dec21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
3  OUR HOISTED MAST Jul14 May27 May13 Apr08 Mar25 (juarez calixto)DELGADO A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MUNGO MAGIC Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun16 Apr30 (m)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 108 30.00    
5  LANTAU Jul14 Jun24 May13 Apr27 Jul15 (bailes ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 21% 3.90    
6  THE CAIRO KID May12 Mar31 Mar11 Jan27 Jan01 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 2.00    
7  SEANOW Jul20 Jul06 May27 May04 Jul04 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 1.40 45% 1.20    
 
LRL-2   08/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLYHOOLY Jun23 Jun02 May07     (nagle sarah)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  FIVECOMMATWO Jul21 Jun23 May29 May13 May06 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 121 2.00    
3  SWEET BEAUTY Jul15 Jun25 May13 Apr27 Mar03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 5.00 29% 2.50    
4  CLOSERTOTHEHEART Jul14 Jun25 Oct27 Sep11 Aug13 (voss kathar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50 9% 9.60    
5  LADY CAGE FIGHTER Jul08 May28 Jun12 May29   (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 15.00    
6  QUEEN TAPITURE Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 Jun02 May26 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 121 10.00 9% 10.20    
7  PRINCESS PALMER Jun23 Jun09 Jun02 May12 Nov19 (elamri )BRICENO GREGOR 126 8.00    
8  JIMMYDABOOK Jul12 Jun28 Mar19 Feb20 Feb04 (smith jason)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 30.00    
 
LRL-3   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSET Jun09 May27 May06 Apr14 Feb26 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50    
2  SWEET SYNTAX Jul16         (robb john)BETANCOURT R 126 3.00 18% 4.70    
3  DOWSING ROD Jul16 Jun17 Aug06     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 1.80 23% 3.30    
4  RYDER T Jun09 May04       (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 8.00 16% 5.30    
5  SURF CITY GOLD Jul14 May13 Jan20     (buckley)BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00    
6  BILL OF RIGHTS Jul09 Jun15       (ferris holl)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.50    
 
LRL-4   08/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN May28 Oct20 Sep25 Aug17 Aug07 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  THE LAST SCIP Jul15 Jun24 May26 Jan20 Dec29 (stettinius )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00    
3  MY BOY PADDY Jul14 Jun25 Feb02 Jan21 Jan01 (rivera jus)MENDOZA JHONATAN 126 8.00    
4  KOBE TOUGH Jun09 Oct27 Oct09 Sep09 Aug23 (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.00 9% 10.40    
5  ROYAL SPY Jul14 Jul02 May28 May04 Feb10 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 10.00 9% 10.70    
6  ODINSON Jun09 May04       (meyers madi)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00    
7  SUE LOVES BARBADOS Jul13 Jun09 May11 Apr16 Mar16 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.50 24% 3.20    
8  R B'S THE BOSS Jul14 Jul02 Jun10 Apr30 Apr15 (magana j)ALVELO C 118 5.00    
 
LRL-5   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMSTRONG Jul07 Jun10 Apr15 Mar04 Jan14 (d'angelo jo)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  NOSTALGIC RUN Jul17 Jun17 Apr29 Apr07 Feb18 (mancilla c)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.00    
3  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Jul01 May20 Apr29 Apr01 Mar12 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 12.00    
4  SEICHE Jul06 May27 May06 Apr11 Feb04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00 5% 17.50    
5  GALERIO Jul08 Jun17 May29 May06 Apr20 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 1.80 57% 0.80    
6  GIRL DAD Mar25 Nov05 Oct14 Sep10 Aug24 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.00    
7  CURLIN'S MALIBU Jul14 Jun09 May07 Apr16 Feb01 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00    
 
LRL-6   08/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVENLY DIVIDED Jun10 Nov19 Sep06 Jul18 Jul01 (trombetta m)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 10.00    
2  ALOTTACENTS Jul06 Jun03 May05 Feb19 Feb12 (corrales j)URDANETA J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  RAGTIME RICHES Jun25 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 6.00    
SCR  ROAN BURGUNDY Jun24 May29 Mar22 Mar04 Oct27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.80    
5  WAR AND ROSES Jul01 Oct20 Sep24 Aug07 Jul29 (meyers madi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00    
SCR  JUDY'S ARMY Jul15 May07 Sep04 Aug06   (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 20.00    
7  GREAT IDEA Nov20 Oct29 Oct09 Jul28 Jul04 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  NICK'S LITTLE BOY Jul07 Jun16       (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 2.00    
SCR  LANDON JACK Jul15 Jun10 Mar04 Jan28 Dec30 (salzman e)RUIZ JORGE 121 6.00    
10  KENNER Jul15 May29 May05 Jul06 Jun25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 5% 17.90    
11  DARK AND FITZY Mar18 Feb15 Dec28 Jan06   (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  BY ITS ABSENCE Jul15 Jun10 Apr30 Apr13 Mar25 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 5.00    
 
LRL-7   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIND FAITH Feb05 Jan08 Dec09     (graham l)MONTERREY R 123 15.00    
2  CALMING STORM Jul21 May25 May04     (bailes )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
3  GREAT HEAVENS Jul02 Jun10 May04     (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
4  JEBOLOGIST Jul17 Jul01 Jun09 May15 Apr24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAKE CHARGE TOO May04 Mar26 Dec30 Dec09 Nov25 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00    
6  ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Mar18 Feb20 Jan27 Dec09   (mcclure diana )PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00    
7  THE WOLFMAN Jul14 Nov12 Oct22 Oct02 Sep10 (shankle joann)ALVELO C 126 1.40 32% 2.20    
 
LRL-8   08/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNAR DASH Jul21 Aug17 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 5.00    
2  IRON RANGER Jul02         (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIO TONY Jul01 Jun09 Apr29 Apr06 Mar23 (preciado guada)BOYCE FOREST 117 4.00    
SCR  SHERIFF RONNIE Aug03 Jul07 Jun16 May20 May14 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 1.60    
5  HAY CHIEF Jul15 Jul09 Jun17 May26 Apr30 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 15% 5.90    
6  MARYLAND MOON Jul08 Jun17 May06 Mar31 Mar10 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 121 2.50 55% 0.80    
7  SNEAKING SUSPICION Jul08 Jun17 May26 Apr30 Nov27 (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 3.00 8% 11.80    
8  SCORESTOSETTLE Jul01 Jun09 May25 May06 Apr30 (meister william )CRUZ ANGEL 126 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.