Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2/5/7/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/9/3)-(2/5/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7/9)-(2/3/5/7/9)-(2/3/5/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/5/7/9)-(3/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/9/3)-(8/4/3/5)-(10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (8/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/5)-(10/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/5)-(10/1/5)-(6/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (10/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/5)-(10/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/10)-(1/5/9/10)-(1/5/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/9/10)-(1/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5)-(6/2/3/1)-(5/1/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/6)-(1/5/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/1)-(5/1/11)-(8/3/9/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/1/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/11)-(5/1/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/11)-(1/5/11)-(1/5/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/11)-(3/6/7/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/11)-(8/3/9/6/7)-(1/12/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-6   WIN (8/3/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/6/7)-(8/3/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8/9)-(3/6/7/8/9)-(3/6/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/7/8/9)-(1/8/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9/6/7)-(1/12/8)-(6/2/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/12/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/12/8)-(1/12/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/12)-(1/8/12)-(1/8/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/12)-(2/4/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/12/8)-(6/2/10/4)-(3/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (6/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/10/4)-(6/2/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/10)-(2/4/6/10)-(2/4/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/10)-(2/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/2)-(3/10/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/10/2)-(3/10/2)-(3/10/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   07/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTTACLASS LILSASS May26 May07 Dec09 Nov25 Nov05 (aguirre anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 20.00    
2  SINGALONG (GB) Jun09 Oct28 Oct14 Aug20 Aug13 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 126 2.50 32% 2.20    
3  SING SCAT May24 Apr16 Mar10 Feb10 Jan14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
4  NANCY MY LOVE May27 Dec06 Nov06 Oct14 Sep10 (shuman mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 8.00    
5  BELIEVE IN FREEDOM Jun07 May24 Oct07 Aug20 Jul28 (bentley fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 3.50 13% 6.70    
6  FASHIONATTA Jul08 May07 Mar11 Feb03 Dec20 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 20.00    
7  PROPER STORM May26 Mar04 Feb03 Jan01   (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.00 13% 6.80    
8  IRISH LACE Jun23 Jun04 May25 May07 Apr13 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 116 12.00    
9  HAZELMOOR BEACH Jun23 May27 Aug20     (schoentha)CARRASCO R 126 8.00 11% 8.40    
 
LRL-2   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORCE OF JUSTICE         (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 6.00    
SCR  ERIC'S GIFT         (feliciano b)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
3  LADDIE DANCE         (leaf jr)DELGADO A 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
4  MALINOIS Jun22         (boniface ke)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
5  THUNDER LAD         (elamri )BRICENO GREGOR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  DATS DATS DATS         (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
7  DANCE FOR GREEN         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.50    
8  NEVER GREW UP Jun16         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
LRL-3   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GASTOWN BABE May19 Oct28 Sep07 Aug10 Jul17 (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 11% 8.10    
2  WHITEKNUCKLEFLYER Jul01 May19 Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
3  STILL MY BABE Jun10 May19 Nov26 Oct07 Aug25 (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00    
SCR  DULCE KIARA Jul01 Jun24 Jun04 May18 Apr15 (demario char)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 30.00    
5  BANDITS WARRIOR Mar12 Jan12 Jan01 Nov11 Oct21 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLDEN EFFECT Jun23 Jun02 Apr02 Mar12 Feb10 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
SCR  TWIRLING SAVI Jun15 Oct22 Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 (quinonez natha)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.50    
SCR  HALEIGH B Jun10 May14 Apr06 Feb17 Jan22 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.20    
SCR  AFANDI Jun25 Jun02 Apr20 Sep17 Aug22 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 126 2.50 52% 0.90    
10  STARSHIP LAOBAN May26 Apr28 Apr18 Mar19 Mar06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
LRL-4   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE CHINITO         (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  IRISH BANDIT Jun15         (robb joh)BENTANCOURT L 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  KINGDOM FORCE Jun30         (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.00 5% 19.00    
4  CATAHOULA MOON         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 6.00    
5  PURE REALIZATION Jun04         (elamri hass)BELTRAN M 120 10.00    
6  TOCAYO Jun04 May07       (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  LUCKY DOUBLE DON         (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00    
 
LRL-5   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITCH A RIDE Jul02 Jun10 Nov11 Sep30 Aug19 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  BRUSHING Jun07 Apr15 Jan22 Nov20 Oct22 (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
3  BELLA BETTINA Jul02 Jun10 May12 Apr30 Mar18 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00    
SCR  EVANGELINE ALLONS Jul02 Jun11 Jun02 May18 May06 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00    
5  ROYAL WHISPER May19 Apr16 Jun18 May13   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 0.80 62% 0.60    
SCR  TIPSY CHATTER         (hendriks mc)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00    
SCR  PEACE OUT Nov21 Oct20 Sep11 Aug19 Jul10 (meister s)DELGADO A 126 15.00    
8  POLICE WOMAN Jul02 Jun17 Jun10 May19 May04 (woodit jose)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 116 20.00    
SCR  MELIPONINI BEE Jun16 Jun09 May12 Oct30 Oct20 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
10  SUMMER ODDS Jul02 Jun10 May12 Apr16 Mar18 (mcclure diana )PEREZ XAVIER 126 4.50    
11  IMAGINE VICTORY Jun25 Jun04 May18 Jan28 Dec31 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ISLAND PHILO Jun10 Jun02 May12 Nov20 Oct22 (cooney s)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
 
LRL-6   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWSING ROD Jun17 Aug06       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 8.00    
2  SWEET SYNTAX         (robb j)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00    
3  DELEGATED May05 Apr14 Feb11 Jun18   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 3.50 13% 6.40    
4  MARGIE'S FUN SON Jun03 May13 Jan27 Jan06   (andread)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.50    
5  PRINS FIRE Jun17         (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 5.00    
6  THE LAST JUMPSTART May26 May05       (aguirre anthon)BOYCE FOREST 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  NOBLE RIVER         (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  INFINITE SERIES Jun16 May06 Mar11 Dec17   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
9  MONEY ROOM May13 May06 Apr15 Mar26 May14 (hohlbein kerr)ALVELO C 126 6.00 5% 17.50    
 
LRL-7   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCORKED (AUS) Jul01 Jun17 May28 May27   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  GIZALA (IRE) Aug06 Jul02       (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.00    
SCR  VIBRANT JUDY Nov26 Oct29 Sep17 Aug21   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 123 8.00    
SCR  QUEEN SHEBA Jun25 May19 Apr20 Nov20 Oct28 (demario charl)KARAMANOS A 123 50.00    
SCR  DRY WELL Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr12 Mar10 (walters hen)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00    
SCR  MISS DELICIOUS Jun03 Mar25 Mar04 Jan26 Sep29 (klesaris steve)ROSE J 123 8.00    
SCR  SOFIA'S SECRET May29 Apr27 Jan26 Dec20 Nov13 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.00    
8  AMAZON QUEEN Jun14 May11 Mar24 Feb16 Jan14 (delacour )CARRASCO R 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CUPID'S STRIKE Jul15 Jun18 Oct20 Sep18 Aug19 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
SCR  BROADWAY BOOGIE Apr26 Mar04 Jan05 Oct23 Sep07 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.00    
11  TAP THE TITTLES Jun01 Sep15 Aug16     (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 15.00    
12  AZIZA May26 Mar08 Jan25 Oct12 Sep23 (hemingway mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00 8% 11.80    
13  I'M GITTIN THERE Jun23 Jun04 Apr02 Mar18 Feb17 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.50    
 
LRL-8   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAM CHAR Jun10 May14 Apr30 Apr16 Mar24 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 123 12.00    
2  PARISH BELLE Jun21 May24 Jul01 May29 Apr16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  BETCHA BY GOLLY Jun03 May19 May11 Apr06 Mar18 (andread)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 30.00    
4  MAMA G'S WISH Jun15 Jul06 Jun22 May25 May01 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLIRTATIOUS LASS Jul05 Jun02 May12 Nov20 Sep30 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
6  NORTHERN GLOW Jun16         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 3.50 36% 1.80    
7  BRZINA May28 May06 Apr16 Mar11 Feb11 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
SCR  WINKED Jun02 May14 Dec09 Nov11 Sep30 (merryman w)ACOSTA D 123 10.00    
9  LA TRAVIESA Jun02 May12 Nov19 Oct12 Sep02 (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 15.00    
10  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Jun23 May19 May06 Apr01 Mar10 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 5.00 8% 12.10    
 
LRL-9   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Jun28 May28 May18 May06 Apr21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 6.00    
2  I GOT A ROCK May28 May07 Nov20 Oct22 Sep21 (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 12% 7.50    
3  LUCCI May28 May07 Feb23 Jan14 May04 (moore micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  BOURBON AND ICE May28 May20 Apr16 Aug20 Aug10 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00    
5  IMA PHAROAH Jun05 May15 Apr25 Apr05 Feb21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
6  ONE MORE FACTOR Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb12 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 50.00    
SCR  BACKWOODS BOOGIE May07 Apr02 Mar11 Feb02 Dec31 (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 119 20.00    
8  BATTLEBUS May28 May07 Apr16 Nov20 Oct30 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.50    
SCR  LOVE YOU MUCH May28 Aug23 Jul27 Jul03 May20 (allen fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 12.00    
10  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Jul08 Jun23 May25 May05 Mar26 (sanchez-salomon ro)NO RIDER 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  FAIR CATCH Jul01 Sep24 Aug14 Aug07 Jun12 (tessore bruno)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
SCR  MILITARY HOP Jun11 May28 May07 Apr29 Apr06 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.