Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/2)-(5/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(5/7)-(3/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-4   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/7)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(3/1/5)-(5/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-5   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/4/6)-(3/7/5/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-6   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/7/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/7/5/9)-(7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-7   WIN (3/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/9)-(3/7/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/9)-(3/7/5/9)-(3/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/9)-(7/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/9)-(7/3)-(4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-8   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/3)-(4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(4/8)-(3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
WRD-9   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/8)-(4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/8)-(3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
WRD-10   WIN (3/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/9)-(3/9/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9)-(3/9/1/7)-(3/9/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSPEL TRUTH Apr12 Apr05 Mar21 Dec01 Oct28 (williams s)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
2  BOLD COURAGE Apr10 Mar27 Feb17     (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
3  HOT TICKET Apr04 Mar07 Feb19 Jan14 Nov30 (caster boyd)KIMES C 124 0.60 49% 1.10    
4  SO BRAVE May03 Mar20       (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00 6% 14.50    
5  PRINCE CAROLINA J Apr04 Mar14 Dec07 Oct28 Sep28 (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
 
WRD-2   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY ROXY May09 Nov30 Nov08 Oct24 Oct03 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00    
2  SUNDAY'S VISION May09 Apr11 Jun13 May11 Apr27 (ibarra jose)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00 9% 10.60    
3  STRONG WOMAN May02 Apr04 Mar21 Dec07 Nov12 (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 2.50 ★    
4  GOSPEL CARLOTTA May02 Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Oct05 (williams st)WETHEY JR 124 2.00    
5  J LOVE May02 Apr11 Jul12 Jul05 Jun20 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
6  ACERTIVE MISS May01 Apr11 Mar21 Mar13 Dec14 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
WRD-3   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST ROSIE Apr26 Apr05 Mar20 Dec17 Dec10 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 12.00    
2  STOLEN KISSES Apr26 Mar28 Mar14 Dec07 Nov04 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 6.00 6% 14.70    
3  LOVELY LOLITA Apr26 Apr03 Mar13 Dec17 Dec03 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
4  BECAUSE Apr24 Dec09 Nov18 Nov07 Oct21 (hanson vic)WETHEY JR 124 4.00    
5  SURE SHOT SHELLY Apr24 Apr05 Mar20     (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 124 1.00 38% 1.70    
6  SMART OKIE Apr24 Apr10 Mar20 Mar06 Nov30 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
WRD-4   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKLAHOMA MOON May03 Apr24       (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 15.00 ★    
2  J R ORCHESTRATE May02 Apr25 Mar13 Nov14 Oct26 (gladd andy)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00    
3  WAY TOO WINDY Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Feb18   (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00    
4  SHINE JACK'S DREAM May08 Apr25 Apr04     (dixon tim)LANDEROS C 124 15.00 ★    
5  SAZON May08 Apr25 Apr11 Mar27 Mar13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 0.60 68% 0.50    
6  LITTLE SOLDIER BOY Apr25 Mar27 Mar04 Mar25 Feb24 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 3.00    
7  RIGGED RIGHT May03 Nov07 Jul11 Jun04   (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 10.00 8% 11.00    
 
WRD-5   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COZZOLANI Apr12 Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 Jan26 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 5.00 19% 4.40    
2  MUSTANGMAGNA May02 Apr04 Mar20 Dec07   (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 6.00    
3  CALI May02 Apr04 Feb20 Feb11 Jan14 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  PAYDIEM May02 Apr12 Mar14 Mar06 Feb26 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.00    
5  TWO ANGELS Apr12 Mar20 Mar07 Feb24 Feb04 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
6  LIL DITTY'S KITTY May02 Apr12 Mar21 Sep19 Aug28 (ibarra jose)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 4.00    
 
WRD-6   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED STREET May01 Mar28 Mar03 Jan06 Dec17 (hartman alex)MORA GERARDO 121 4.50    
2  CASINO QUEEN May01 Apr11 Mar21 Nov30 Nov12 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 124 3.00    
3  HEATIN UP Apr24 Apr03 Nov04 Oct08 Sep17 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 15.00    
4  OKIE FRONT May01 Mar27 Mar14 Dec17 Nov22 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 18% 4.70    
5  LIGHTNING HART May01 Apr03 Mar14 Feb17 Feb01 (dixon tim)KIMES C 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  MARIA ELENA Y. G May09 May02 Apr04 Mar27 Sep02 (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
 
WRD-7   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJESTIC LIAISON Apr24 Apr10 Mar21     (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00    
  (by LIAISON out of MAJESTIC CHIVETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  STOLEN GHOST Apr10 Mar28 Mar07 Dec14 Dec02 (david ron)KIMES C 118 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
3  DEN'S DYNASTY May03         (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 5.00 38% 1.60    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of FOREVER JENNY by SIR SHACKLETON)
SCR  A LOT OF CHARM         (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
5  PONZA Apr24 Apr10       (stephens jer)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 8.00 10% 9.50    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of PRECIOUS LIFE by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  DIAMONDS R LUCKY         (offolter s)LANDEROS C 118 15.00    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of DEVIL HER DIAMOND by DIAMOND (GB))
7  HERO TIME Apr24 Apr07 Oct21 Sep21 Aug27 (davidson )TRIANA JR 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of SHARE THE GLORY by GRAND SLAM)
8  MATTFOLEYVANMAN Apr16 Mar23 Mar09 Jan20 Dec07 (ashford ray)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of I WANT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  LATENT SHADOW Apr24 Apr03       (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00 7% 14.10    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of GHOST SHADOW by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
WRD-8   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANCER Apr25 Apr11 Mar27 Mar21 Mar11 (johnston la)STILLION BROOKE 124 12.00 ★    
2  WEST TEXAS RAIN Apr25 Apr11 Nov21 Oct14 Sep28 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.50    
3  DOCTOR TINK May02 Apr12 Apr05 Mar13 Feb05 (williams s)ERAMIA E 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  CRAZY LOVER May02 Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Dec17 (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
5  PORTSMOUTH Apr26 Apr03 Sep24 Aug13 Jul28 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 12.00    
6  MISTER WAYSIDE Apr25 Mar28 Mar07 Dec15 Nov19 (oberlander jes)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 ★    
7  WRANGLERED May09 Apr24 Apr03 May09 Apr06 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
WRD-9   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARL'S CODE Apr25 Mar13 Feb25 Jan07   (ashford ray)KIMES C 118 8.00 ★    
2  LENA'S SHADOW Apr25 Mar27 Mar13 Dec10 Dec02 (pogue bob)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
SCR  MAGIC MINDY Sep16 Aug19 Jun21 May11 May03 (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
4  HEADY MOVES Apr24 Apr03 Mar06 Dec17 Dec03 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 124 1.40 31% 2.30    
5  LYNN'S FOLLY Mar06 Oct14 Sep17     (chavira luz)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
6  GEORGIANO Nov26 Oct31 Oct17 Sep25 Jul05 (williams s)ERAMIA E 124 12.00    
7  OUTWORKTHEOKIEGIRL Mar14 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 (gamez jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
8  SAYAAD AIN'T SO Apr26 Apr10 Mar13 Jun18 May17 (swan patrick )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 24% 3.30    
 
WRD-10   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY BLASTOFF         (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 5.00 ★    
  (by BACKSTABBER out of LADY CAMBRIDGE by KING OF SCAT)
SCR  SWORD OF GOLD Apr26 Mar28 Mar21 Dec01 Nov15 (ashford ray)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
  (by SONG OF THE SWORD out of LADY BE GOLD by COUNTRY BE GOLD)
3  SEARCHIN SAFARI May03         (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by AMERICAN LION out of MINE SEARCH by MINESHAFT)
4  OUR MOON PIE Apr25         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 118 8.00    
  (by SONG OF THE SWORD out of KIP DEBUT by KIPLING)
5  NIGHT VISION         (oberlande)TRIANA JR 118 6.00    
  (by THE VISUALISER out of VALID NIGHTLINGER by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
6  MAJESTIC LOVER Apr24         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of FULL OF SASS by BORREGO)
7  TRUE DOMINUS Apr24 Mar21 Dec01 Oct28 Oct08 (mitchell )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 12.00 ★    
  (by DOMINUS out of TRUE YOLO by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  STORMS LAST         (quijada cosm)HEBERT LINDSEY 124 20.00    
  (by ALL STORM out of ASHLEYS ACCOUNT by UNACCOUNTED FOR)
9  BABY LIAISON Apr25 Apr05 Mar21 Mar13 Dec16 (gladd andy)KIMES C 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by LIAISON out of BABY K by KENNEDY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.