Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(1/4)-(3/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/2/4)-(2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(2/4/3)-(9/5/3/4/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SA-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(9/5/3/4/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(9/5/3/4/7)-(1/4/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-5   WIN (9/5/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/4/7)-(9/5/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/4/7)-(9/5/3/4/7)-(9/5/3/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/3/4/7)-(1/4/3/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/5/3/4/7)-(1/4/3/2)-(2/1/8/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SA-6   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/2)-(2/1/8/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/2)-(2/1/8/9)-(4/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/9)-(2/1/8/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/9)-(2/1/8/9/6)-(2/1/8/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/8/9)-(4/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/9)-(4/1)-(3/4/8/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/4/8/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SA-9   WIN (3/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   05/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Apr09 Mar12 Jan22 Nov04 Oct01 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 3.00    
FLY THE SKY Nov26 Oct08 Sep02 Aug06 Jun12 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
SCR  TETON VALLEY Apr08 Mar12 Feb06     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 10.00    
KANT BEAT THE ROCK May05 Apr02 Feb10 Dec31 Nov04 (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 8.00    
NATURAL POWER (IRE) Apr09 Mar11 Feb17 Jan28 Dec16 (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 122 2.50 10% 9.10    
SEE THROUGH IT Apr09 Mar12 Feb18 Oct10 Sep02 (pineda g)MALDONADO E 124 1.80 62% 0.60    
 
SA-2   05/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARHAM Apr03         (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
BRAZENLY Mar26 Feb12 Jan01     (azcarate dan)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
IT'S MY HOUSE Apr09 Feb19 Jan20 Nov25 Sep30 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 1.80    
PIROLI Mar17 Feb18 Jan06 Nov25 Oct23 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 14% 6.10    
AMERICAN ADMIRAL Mar19 Jan28 Oct08 Sep04 Jul31 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
 
SA-3   05/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKLIN ONE STAR Apr21 Mar18 Jul03 Jun11 May28 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.00    
AMERICAN CAT Apr29 Mar09 Feb03 Dec31 Nov26 (ruiz lorenzo)FREY KYLE 126 5.00 20% 4.10    
BEAUDACIOUS Apr21 Mar19 Feb10 Jan08 Dec02 (hanson)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 2.50 42% 1.40    
ECHO CANYON Apr17 Mar27 Mar11 Feb27 Feb13 (schnell don)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
DIVINE RASCAL Apr28 Apr02 Mar09 Feb17 Apr02 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 5.00    
NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) Apr29 Mar27 Mar05 Jan21 Nov05 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.00    
 
SA-4   05/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIFORNIA BLING Apr21 Mar27 Feb18 Jan20 Nov13 (mendez luis)VALDIVIA JR 118 2.50    
TENNESSEE MOON Mar31 Feb10 Jan06 Nov24   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
CASIA Apr22 Mar11       (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 12% 7.00    
SUGAR SUGAR Apr22 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan21 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.00 22% 3.60    
CHEVY GIRL Apr23 Mar27 Jan22 Nov04   (wallace jerr)DESORMEAUX J 126 6.00    
MY YVONNE Nov27 Nov06 Sep23     (koriner )ELLINGWOOD A 126 12.00    
 
SA-5   05/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HULA CANDY         (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 126 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KINSLEY by PULPIT)
WATSONVILLE         (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of GRAND SLAM KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
BENELLI         (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of ALLURIANA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
NINETEENEIGHTYFOUR         (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ATHENA TWO O FOUR by EL PRADO (IRE))
GIOVINAZZO Apr22 Mar09 Jul31 Jul03   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ARUSHA by TAPIT)
YOGI BOY Mar26         (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 126 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GEORGIE'S SWEETIE by TRIBAL RULE)
NOBEL GARY         (gomez ruben)FREY KYLE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of VIVID SUNSET by MT. LIVERMORE)
NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Apr22         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 8.00    
  (by PROFITABLE out of PONTY ROYALE by ROYAL APPLAUSE (GB))
ACT THREE         (hofmans da)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DEVINE ACTRESS by THEATRICAL (IRE))
 
SA-6   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK SMART Apr29 Mar27 Feb03 Aug19 Jul17 (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 1.80 55% 0.80    
CITY OF CHAMPIONS Mar27         (truman eddie)DESORMEAUX J 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUN SNAPPY Jan17         (sadler john)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 4.00 9% 10.60    
GOLDENSPA Apr09 Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 Nov19 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 3.00 11% 8.10    
SUZIE QZZ BROTHER Apr02 Feb20 Feb03 Aug13 Jun11 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 126 6.00    
MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING Apr22 Mar25 Dec10 Nov27 Oct29 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 118 4.00    
LITTLEBROTHERJOEY Apr23 Mar25 Dec02 Oct30 Oct16 (pineda milt)HERRERA A 118 12.00    
 
SA-7   05/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3 ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL AMONG US Mar04 Jan27 Dec16 Nov06   (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
LEFT HAND MAN Apr08 Mar05       (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
GOOD N THIRSTY Apr08 Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 May14 (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 30.00    
MAN OVERBOARD Apr02         (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 120 8.00    
UPWARD MOBILITY Apr21 Mar19 Feb18 Feb04   (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
IRISH ROYALTY Apr28 Apr08 Mar12 Feb18 Jan29 (france reid)FREY KYLE 120 4.00    
WHOBETERTHANTIGER Aug12 Jun19       (koriner bri)HERRERA A 120 10.00    
LONG MAYSHE REIGN Apr07         (glatt mark)VAN DRAYDEN 115 5.00 15% 5.90    
BARELY FUNTIONAL Apr28 Apr08 Mar18     (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 4.00 7% 13.60    
 
SA-8   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($71K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. SCHIVEL         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
SCR  NONE ABOVE THE LAW Nov19 Oct16 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (miller peter)BRAVO J 124 3.50    
SCR  ESCAPE ROUTE May07 Mar11 Feb05 Jun12 Apr16 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
C Z ROCKET Feb17 Nov05 Oct01 Aug27 Jul23 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.40 40% 1.50    
CLEM LABINE Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 Jan15 Oct08 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
 
SA-9   05/13/2023 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM San Luis Rey Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT Apr29 Mar19 Feb20 Jan16 Oct02 (dollase craig)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
  (by VANCOUVER out of EXPLAINABLE by DYNAFORMER)
PLANETARIO (BRZ) Jun18         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 6.00    
  (by IL DOGE out of AEROSFERA by CRIMSON TIDE (IRE))
DICEY MO CHARA (GB) Apr29 Apr08 Feb05 Dec26 Nov25 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by ADAAY out of LEONICA by LION CAVERN)
OFFLEE NAUGHTY Apr08 Dec11 Nov02 Oct09 Aug21 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by FLASHBACK out of ACTING NAUGHTY by OFFLEE WILD)
RIMPROTECTOR Apr21 Feb20 Jan15 Nov25 Sep25 (mccanna tim)FREY KYLE 120 30.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of FLOURISH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  AGATINO (IRE) Mar09 Jan20 Jan02 Nov26 Nov04 (d'amato phili)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by BURATINO out of AGUINAGA by MACHIAVELLIAN)
MIDCOURT Feb19         (shi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00 7% 12.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MAYO ON THE SIDE by FRENCH DEPUTY)
OPRY Apr08 Feb05 Jan08 Nov24 Oct21 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 124 4.00 9% 10.60    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of THAT VOODOO YOUDO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.