Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - April 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/1)-(6/3/4)-(8/1/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(8/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(8/1/2/9)-(2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (8/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/9)-(8/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/9)-(2/6)-(1/2/3/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/2/3/8)-(4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/8)-(4)-(6/5/7/8) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/1/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(6/5/7/8)-(4/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRUSTER Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 Jan20 Dec29 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  SCORCHED BY FIRE Mar03 Jul15 Jun18 May27 May06 (wenderoth gloria )DELGADO A 122 20.00    
3  NOTION TO TAPIT Mar31 Mar25 Jan13 Jan06 Dec02 (serey mar)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
4  HIS ROYAL G Mar18 Feb25 Oct02 Jul14 Jun25 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 126 5.00 28% 2.50    
5  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Apr01 Mar10 Feb15 Dec09   (pickett crys)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 8.00    
6  PATRIOTIC PARTY Apr06 Feb24 Jan06 Nov20 Oct23 (dilodovico )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
7  OPEN THE BOOKS Feb10 Jan28 Jan08 Dec30 Feb25 (buckley rick)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
8  HE ROLLS Apr01 Feb19 Feb10 Jan27 Nov21 (dove j)LEWIS M 119 8.00    
 
LRL-2   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE DAKOTAN Mar29 Mar21 Mar06 Feb21 Jan31 (castillo sanc)OCASIO M 122 10.00 8% 11.70    
2  ARISTOCAT Mar04 Feb25 Feb04 Jan16 Dec30 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.00    
3  NEVER CHANGE Mar31 Mar11 Feb19 Feb07 Jan18 (serey mario )LEWIS M 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
4  COUSIN BOB Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 Jan09 Dec21 (kravets bruce)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00 12% 7.40    
5  DESPITE ODDS Mar17 Mar03 Feb05 Jan20 Dec30 (tapscot)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 8.00    
6  CALL ME MAESTRO Mar26 Feb24 Jan13 Dec16   (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 115 5.00 27% 2.60    
7  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Mar04 Jan29 Nov25 Nov07 Oct13 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 2.50    
 
LRL-3   04/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAHOLIC Jul09 Jun27 Jun15     (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  BY ITS ABSENCE Mar25         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 4.50 11% 8.00    
3  CYPRES STATION Mar25         (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 12.00    
SCR  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE         (cox m)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 ★    
5  HIT THE JACKPOT         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 15.00    
6  TEMPESTIVO         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 15.00    
SCR  WE CALL HIM CLYDE Jan15         (lockard b)MONTERREY R 124 30.00    
8  S S SINATRA Oct13 Sep24 Sep04     (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
9  DIALER Mar19 Feb26 Feb10     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-4   04/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T TELL DEREN Apr06 Mar17 Feb20 Jan08 Dec16 (robb j)LEWIS M 114 6.00    
2  THENCOMEMORNING Mar19 Feb11 Jan22 Dec11 Nov21 (howard david)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  GRASS CUTTER Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Dec11 (robb john )RIVERA R 117 6.00 ★    
SCR  ROWSIE EXPRESS Mar03 Jan07 Dec03 Nov07 Oct26 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 2.00    
SCR  JACKSON'S DIXIE Dec29         (howard c)ARAUJO DENIS 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
6  DUNDER BOSS Mar19 Jan20 Dec29 Nov21 Nov12 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
7  PRUSSIAN BLUE Mar17 Feb24 Feb01 Dec30 Sep18 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 121 10.00    
8  IRISH LACE Apr06 Mar17 Mar11 Feb04 Jan21 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 12.00    
 
LRL-5   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATON Mar13 Feb05 Jan14 Dec13 Nov24 (pino michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 1.60 30% 2.40    
2  BERKS Mar24 Mar04 Jan31 Jan11 Dec18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
3  DOLICE VITA Apr01 Mar12 Feb01 Dec31 Dec18 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 14% 6.40    
4  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 Apr21 Apr03 (magee kier)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
5  REMEMBERING WILBUR Mar12 Mar04 Feb22 Feb10 Aug13 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
6  FOLE'S NOTION Jan16 Dec13 Oct20 Oct01 Sep02 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
7  HARDSPUN REASON May28 Mar19       (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 5.00    
8  ROYAL NUMBER Mar12 Feb05 Jul08 Jun12 May13 (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 9% 9.90    
 
LRL-6   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CHATEAU Mar04 Feb10 Dec30 Jun17 May14 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  SYNTHESIS Feb05 Jan28 Dec09 Nov26 Sep30 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.00    
SCR  JOHN THE BEAR Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 Jan16 Dec03 (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 ★    
3  HUNTER JOE May13 Apr29 Apr08 Mar13 Jan23 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
4  WONDRWHERECRAIGIS Sep18 Aug26 Jul16 Jan29   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.80 75% 0.30    
5  BORRACHO Mar18 Feb25 Jun20 May25 Apr16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
6  WHISKEY AND YOU Mar19 Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 Jan21 (peacock m)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
7  NOBLE GASTON Feb25 Feb04 Dec07 Nov16 Apr13 (dominguez m)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 10.00    
SCR  SPUN AND WON Feb25 Sep04 Jul10 Jun18 Apr28 (duarte jo)CARRASCO R 123 15.00 ★    
9  WITTY Mar08 Sep24 Aug23 Aug06 Jun29 (hendriks mclan)CEDENO CAROL 126 4.50 ★    
10  WAR TOCSIN Mar19 Feb26 Feb04 Sep24 Aug23 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 15.00    
 
LRL-7   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL THREES Mar24 Mar04 Jun11 May27 May07 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00    
2  CROSSLAND Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 Nov11 Oct21 (eppler mar)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 12.00    
3  MR JEFFERSON Mar12 Jan14 Dec18 Jul08 Jun18 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 126 15.00    
4  SHADY MUNNI Mar31 Feb19 Jan29 Dec31 Nov25 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
5  FRIGHTLAND Mar12 Feb05 Jan06 Dec11 Nov20 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 21% 3.90    
6  JARDANI Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  CAPTAIN QUINT Mar17 Feb12 Jan28 Dec09 Nov04 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
8  GALLANT GOLD Apr01 Mar11 Feb05 Jan27 Jan06 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00 7% 13.90    
 
LRL-8   04/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOAT'S A ROCKIN Oct09 Sep24 Aug25 Aug13 Jul22 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
2  DEFEND Nov26 Oct29 Oct06 Sep29 Aug06 (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
3  NO SABE NADA Aug24 Aug01 Jul02 Jun02   (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00    
4  MID DAY IMAGE Dec07 Aug14 Jul03 May28 Apr02 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
5  PYRON Mar18 Feb18 Sep08 Jul18 Jun04 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00 ★    
SCR  DETERMINED KINGDOM Sep07 Aug14 Jul11 Jun11 May21 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 6.00 ★    
7  KADRI Mar19 Mar07 Feb26 Feb08 Jan31 (cash l)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 6% 15.70    
8  BACKNTHEWOODS Mar19 Feb26 Dec03 Nov06 Oct01 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 10.00    
SCR  MR. HUSTLE Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 Jan10 Dec13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.