Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(3/7/1/6)-(5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/6)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/6)-(5/6/3)-(8/3/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(8/3/7/1)-(7/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (8/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/1)-(8/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7/1)-(7/1/5)-(3/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(3/8/5/2)-(5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/2)-(5)-(3/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/4)-(3/8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCCASIONAL MOON Feb26 Aug10 Jul18     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 3.00    
SERGEANT SHERMAN Mar04         (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00    
ALLIGATOR ARMS         (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 120 12.00 12% 7.00    
GAMING SOUL Feb26 Jan21 Dec09     (salazar mar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 10.00    
TOAST TO COAST Mar17 Feb19 Feb12 Jan13 Oct30 (aguirre an)RIVERA R 117 10.00    
MARYLAND MOON Mar10 Feb26 Jun03     (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
CLOUD MUSIC Mar24 Mar10 Feb11     (chapman jame)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 1.00 46% 1.20    
ASK HIM OAKEY Jan27 Dec03       (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 120 30.00    
 
LRL-2   03/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE CAIRO KID Mar11 Jan27 Jan01 Dec09 Oct14 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50 14% 6.20    
DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Mar05 Feb20 Jan18 Dec09 Oct29 (pickett)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 5.00    
TOP BOSS Mar11 Mar05 Feb18 Feb10 Jan28 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.40 33% 2.00    
HAGLER Mar17 Feb05 Jan22 Dec18 Dec01 (cash norm)HERNANDEZ F 123 15.00    
LOADED SNIPER Feb16 Jan25 Jan14 Dec10 Nov19 (frock charle)LEWIS M 119 12.00    
GREAT GO GO Feb12 Feb05 Jan13 Jan01 Nov26 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50 13% 6.60    
NASHVEGAS Feb25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan18 Nov17 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
LRL-3   03/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOVER BLUFF Feb12 Jan27       (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 3.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of FASCINATE by CURLIN)
MASTERWORK Mar19 Feb19       (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50    
  (by MASTERY out of SEEKING PARADISE by BLAME)
MILLBANK MAN Mar10 Feb25       (pickett crys)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00 11% 8.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAURIE'S CHOICE by CONGRATS)
VAX A NATION Mar10 Feb11 Jan21 Dec09 Nov27 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ORINOQUIA by WHYWHYWHY)
RUN FOR YOUR LIFE         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of EARTH SHAKING by WAR FRONT)
NORTH HIGHLAND Mar10         (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 124 10.00 31% 2.30    
  (by FED BIZ out of ABSOLUTE BEARING by MIZZEN MAST)
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 Feb02 Jan13 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 124 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
 
LRL-4   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAILMAN'S A FLYER Mar12 Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 Jan18 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 15.00 12% 7.60    
LUIGI'S SPIRIT Feb18 Feb05 Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 8.00    
UNION FLEET Mar10 Feb12 Jan13 Dec16 Nov27 (magana j)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
ABUELO PAPS Mar19 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May21 (salaza)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00    
BURGEE Feb20 Feb01 Jan07 Dec16 Nov25 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 20.00    
SCR  ORO DE MORO MORO Mar10 Feb24 Jan06 Dec11 Nov24 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
BRILLIANT ICE Mar18 Feb20 Feb05 Jan16 Dec30 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
TATE Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
 
LRL-5   03/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOSSYNESS Mar11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 Nov06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  GOLDIENESS Feb10 Jan13 Aug25     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50    
SCR  ROWSIE EXPRESS Mar03 Jan07 Dec03 Nov07 Oct26 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 110 3.50    
WILLFUL DESIRE Mar17 Feb17 Jan21 Dec10 Nov27 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 117 6.00    
ELLIE VICTORINA Mar24 Mar19 Feb05 Jan22 Jan13 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 10.00    
BLOWTHRUYELOWLITES Mar12 Jan20 Dec18 Nov07 Oct21 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
ICESTORMING Mar03 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 (smith d)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
SHE'LL MAKE WAVES Mar11 Feb25       (robb john )RIVERA R 117 3.00 36% 1.70    
 
LRL-6   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Mar11 Feb12 Jan29 Dec31 Dec10 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
NOTION TO TAPIT Mar25 Jan13 Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 15.00 5% 17.30    
NEVER CHANGE Mar11 Feb19 Feb07 Jan18 Dec17 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 40% 1.50    
BRANCO MARIA Mar11 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Jan08 (sepulveda carlo)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 4.00    
TOTAL EFFORT Mar17 Feb25 Jan20 Jun11 Apr02 (de horac)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50 6% 14.80    
CAPTAIN CARDO Feb10 Dec20 Nov29 Nov05 Oct21 (volpe john)LEWIS M 115 30.00    
SHADY MUNNI Feb19 Jan29 Dec31 Nov25 Aug04 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
ONLY CHILD Mar11 Feb17 Jan27 Jan16 Dec29 (shankle joanne)ROSADO JOHAN 126 5.00 17% 4.80    
DIVINE PROPORTION Feb15 Feb02 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (parram )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
 
LRL-7   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE MARK Mar04 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 (shankle joanne)MONTERREY R 124 6.00    
SCR  DREW'S GOLD Feb11 Jan28 May12     (chapman k)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 1.00 54% 0.90    
TIZ NO CLOWN Jan21 Dec31 Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 15.00    
OROCOVIX Mar24 Mar16 Mar03 Feb19 Feb11 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 110 30.00    
NOAH CHANCE Feb12 Jan28 Dec17 Oct27 Sep24 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
PROVE RIGHT Mar06 Feb11 Jan07 Dec11 Dec03 (chapman jame)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 3.50    
 
LRL-8   03/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIP MASTER Nov09 Oct07 Sep08     (mancilla )CARRASCO R 120 15.00    
BUBBA CHROME Feb20 Feb03 Jan14 Jan01 Dec11 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 6.00    
STRONG FINISH Jul03         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.00 43% 1.30    
STEP AHEAD         (salzman e)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
ANNIESALLINCLUSIVE Feb20 Feb03 Jan13 Dec30 Dec10 (delgado p)DELGADO A 124 20.00    
DUKE OF DOOLY Mar10 Feb20 Feb11 Jan14 Dec30 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 124 15.00    
SPUNKY IRISHMAN Feb20 Jan27 Jan01     (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 30.00    
GREAT GOOGLYMOOGLY         (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50 28% 2.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.