Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Sunday - March 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-2   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/1)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1)-(4/6/2)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(2/1)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/9/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/9/6/3)-(2/1/9/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/5/2)-(5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-5   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(5/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(5/10)-(7/2/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-6   WIN (5/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/10)-(5/10/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/10)-(5/10/3/4)-(5/10/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/10)-(7/2/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/10)-(7/2/6/8)-(11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-7   WIN (7/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/8)-(7/2/6/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/8)-(7/2/6/1/8)-(7/2/6/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/6/8)-(11) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
HOU-8   WIN (11) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (11)-(11/9/5/10) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (11)-(11/9/5/10)-(11/9/5/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-2   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR PASTOR Mar03         (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 19% 4.10    
  (by HALF OURS out of PASTOR PAIGE by FAYREGAMMO)
THEREFORE I AM Feb15         (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEA OF SHOWERS by SEATTLE SLEW)
CHARMING LEAH Mar10 Feb17 Jan27     (jacks e)DIAZ RENE 122 20.00    
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
BELLE ELENA Feb09 Dec30 Nov10 Oct12   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLE OF PERINTOWN by DEHERE)
VISUAL MOON Oct29         (deleon a)JUDE JOHN 122 30.00    
  (by THE VISUALISER out of MOUNT STEPNEY by STRONG HOPE)
CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Mar03 Feb10       (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of CLAY'S DIALING IN by GIANT OAK)
SPARKLING ROSE Jul31 Jul01       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MY LIMIT by WAGON LIMIT)
WIKI LIO Mar03         (calhoun b)DIEGO V 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by KLIMT out of TALK SOFTLY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  ACCELERATE JUDY         (willis mindy)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of MERRYLAND MONROE by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
 
HOU-3   03/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZUNIA Mar04 Feb11 Jan15     (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 6.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of DEELOCA by NAJRAN)
OLIVIA'S RACE DAY Mar04 Feb11 Jan27 Jul21 Jul10 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
  (by RACE DAY out of EVERYTHING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
PIEL MORENA Mar12 Feb25       (c)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of RUFF CAUSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
PHILOGYNY STREET Mar04 Aug30       (love alan)DIEGO V 122 1.60 26% 2.80    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of PHILOGYNY by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  DIVAESQUE         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of LIFE BY R R by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
LIBBIES BABY         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LIBBIES MISSION by GLOBAL MISSION)
GRANTASTIC MARIA         (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of GRANTASTICA by AMERICAN LION)
SCR  THETEASERGOTLOOSE Mar15 Feb09       (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 11% 7.70    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CANNONBALLCUPCAKE by LEMON DROP KID)
SHACK IT TO ME         (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of WISE DEAL by MONARCHOS)
 
HOU-4   03/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAEME'S DEAL Mar11 Feb28 Dec19 Jun25   (j)DE CRUZ 115 4.00 5% 18.20    
GANGSTER RAP Mar05 Feb20 Feb05 Jan27   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.50 70% 0.40    
SHEZONEZESTREET Feb20 Sep07 Aug20 Jul07 Jun26 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 8.00    
AUNT JANA Mar05 Feb17 Feb04 Nov09 Oct26 (mallery vonn)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00    
SHE'S TAKIN OVER Mar11 Feb02 Jan06 Dec08 Nov18 (johnson b)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00    
POETIC UNION Mar10 Jan22 Jan07 Dec09 Nov25 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 115 3.50    
EUROROSE Feb17 Feb05 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00    
QUEEN OF MAGNOLIA Feb17 Jan13 Dec07 Nov22 Oct26 (hurley tina)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
BLUEGRASS DIXIE Feb17 Jan21 Nov12 Sep27 Jul03 (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 6.00    
10  BLONDES HAVEMO FUN Feb12 Jan22 Jan07 Nov25 Oct13 (gustafson)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 115 8.00    
 
HOU-5   03/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLD NIGHT AIR Feb20 Jan27 Aug07 Jul25 Jul09 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
KAUSE I'M DEVINE Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Jul09 Jun19 (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00 5% 17.50    
L L COOL GREY Mar17 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 12.00    
TRANQUILITY Feb25 Feb10 Jan21 Jan08   (hurley tina)HAMILTON WESTON 121 8.00    
WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Feb26 Feb18 Jan27 Jul09 Mar02 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 2.00 16% 5.50    
XTRA SPICY Mar10 Feb26 Jan27 Jan08 Oct14 (jacks e)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00    
REAL TAP Jan28 Sep08 Jul08 Jun05   (padilla car)MELANCON JANSEN 115 30.00    
JAGO Feb26 Jul22 Jul02 Jun05 May14 (hunt jame)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00    
SCR  DIXIE CARROUSEL Mar19 Jul04 Jun11 May07 Apr08 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
HOU-6   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF THUNDER Feb11         (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 122 8.00    
TRICKY CARLA Mar12 Feb25 Jan27 Jun05   (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
PHUNK Mar04 Feb11 Jan06 Jul17 Jun26 (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 4.00    
CANDY DAY Feb17 Feb05 Jan27     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 10.00    
ANNA B Mar12 Feb25 Feb05 Jan06 Oct12 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 62% 0.60    
SHEBOO Mar12 Feb17       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
GOVERNOR ANN Mar12 Feb25 Sep09 Sep03 Jul21 (gustafson a)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00    
WITT'S GRIS Mar10 Feb25 Feb11     (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 122 15.00    
SCR  BLINGONMERCURY Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 Jan07 Jul21 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 6.00    
10  MORE THAN SHAKIN Mar04 Feb14 Jan28 Jan06 Dec19 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
11  CRANKY SHEILA Mar04 Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Dec14 (whitelaw michael )DIEGO V 122 12.00    
 
HOU-7   03/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANO DURA Mar04 Feb18 Jan13 Dec16 Nov09 (a)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
TODDCHERO Feb25 Dec26 Dec03 Nov12 Oct28 (gelner j)LUZZI J 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
BAREFOOT SAMURAI Mar04 Feb18 Jan21 Dec09 Nov03 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
TATER Dec16 Dec09 Nov14 Oct20 Sep17 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 30.00    
HULLINAHURRY Feb18 Nov12 Oct15 Sep15   (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 122 6.00    
PHANTOM RIDE Mar04 Feb11 Jan01 Nov14 Oct18 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
GUNFLASH Feb04 Jan14 Dec17 Nov22   (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
NOISE COMPLAINT Feb26 Jan07 Nov25 Jul17   (calhoun b)DIEGO V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
COSMIC SOUL Mar04 Feb03 Dec26 Nov04 Sep11 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
 
HOU-8   03/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAIRE JUNE Feb26 Feb11 Jan21 Oct01 Sep14 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 10.00    
CAPETOWN CANDY Mar03 Feb11 Nov09 Oct11 Sep27 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00    
SCR  SUPER EMPIRE Mar03 Feb03 Dec14 Nov18 Oct14 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 5.00    
VICENZA GOLD Mar03 Feb03 Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 20.00    
HAL'S DREAM Mar05 Feb05 Jan21 Dec30 Nov25 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 15.00    
GHOST BAYOU Feb20 Jan21 Nov14 Sep03 Aug06 (c)DE CRUZ 123 4.00    
SCR  ATTA MOY GIRL Feb25 Jan08 Jul03     (dupuy all)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 115 50.00    
DANZIG UP A STORM Mar03 Feb11 Nov14 Nov02 Sep17 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
STAR FASHION Mar03 Dec29 Nov26 Nov18   (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 12.00    
10  TRUE BLUE SKY Feb20 Feb25 Jan29     (bravo franc)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
11  GALILEAS PROMISE Feb11 Mar27 Feb03     (taylor larry)LUZZI J 123 3.50 73% 0.40    
SCR  ROSES ARE GRAY Mar18 Feb12 Jan13 Dec09 Nov07 (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 115 20.00    
SCR  CALI Feb20 Feb11 Jan14 Dec01 Nov22 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.