Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (1/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/7)-(3/7/1)-(5/9/3/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(5/9/3/2/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(5/9/3/2/11)-(1/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/9/3/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/2/11)-(5/9/3/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/2/11)-(1/3)-(2/6/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/6/4)-(1/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(1/8/9)-(6/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-6   WIN (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/9)-(1/8/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9)-(6/3/7)-(7/4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(7/4/3/6)-(6/2/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (7/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/8)-(6/2/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIA FROM MIAMI Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov25 Oct16 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.40 38% 1.60    
2  MAMA'S EYES Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Sep02   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  LIL' LATE LUCK         (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00    
4  NOTION STREET         (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00    
5  FIVECOMMATWO Feb24 Nov19 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 4.00 9% 9.90    
6  QUIT QUAY Feb26 Jan15       (ambro)LABARRE GRACE 124 6.00 ★    
7  ELLIE VICTORINA Feb05 Jan22 Jan13 Dec31 Dec02 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 20.00 8% 11.40    
 
LRL-2   03/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRASS CUTTER Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Dec11 Nov21 (robb j)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50 8% 11.50    
2  ANATH Feb25 Feb12 Jan22 Jan15 Nov24 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 117 5.00 ★    
3  DUNDER BOSS Jan20 Dec29 Nov21 Nov12 Oct23 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  JIMMYDABOOK Feb20 Feb04 Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 (smith jason)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 30.00    
5  DROPKICK QUEEN Feb25 Feb05 Jan20 Jan06 Dec10 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 121 8.00    
6  GALACTIC TIDE Feb20 Jan29 Jan06 Dec04 Nov12 (young courtn)LEWIS M 114 30.00    
7  ONE LAS OLAS Feb05 Jan20 Nov19 Oct23 Oct13 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 1.60 8% 11.10    
8  THENCOMEMORNING Feb11 Jan22 Dec11 Nov21 Aug11 (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00 ★    
 
LRL-3   03/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 45 ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIG Jan28         (lockard b)MONTERREY R 126 15.00    
2  SUPE Feb19 Feb01 Jan16 Nov19 Oct28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 10% 9.10    
3  WIRED IN Feb04 Jan14 Dec16 Oct20 Oct08 (eppler mary)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 12% 7.20    
4  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Mar11 Feb19 Jan28     (deiter k)BUTTERFLY L 122 30.00    
5  WICKOSITY Mar01 Feb15 Nov22 Oct17 Sep27 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 126 8.00 22% 3.70    
6  RIXEY ROCKET Feb19 Aug15 Jul20 Jun25 May26 (morgan carla)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
7  DOC ROCK Feb19 Jan20 Jul29 Jun25 May28 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 15.00    
8  NOT AS LUCKY AS US Jan08         (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 15.00    
9  NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 Dec09 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00 18% 4.60    
10  ESPRESSO LUNGO Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 Nov11 Oct15 (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
11  SECRET SANCTUARY Mar09 Feb04 Jan28 Jan14 Dec31 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 122 5.00 8% 11.00    
 
LRL-4   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABUELO PAPS Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May21 Mar27 (salaza)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SPONSORED Jan22 Nov12 Oct02 Aug26 Jul10 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  CRYO Nov09 Oct25 Sep29 Aug28 Jul30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00 10% 9.40    
4  BOSS MAN J J Nov05 Oct22 Jul27 Jul15 Jun19 (salzman ti)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
5  HIGHLAND DREAM Feb12 Jan13 Dec11 Nov21 Nov04 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00 ★    
6  CLASSIER Jan02 Jan14       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80 ★    
7  DOWN COLD Jan14 Nov25 Nov07 Aug02 Jun08 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
 
LRL-5   03/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOTAGALLY Feb07 Jan26 Jan05 Dec20 Dec10 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00 9% 9.80    
2  OUR LUCKY MAN Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 Nov26 Oct27 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  ACE NINE NINE Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Dec27 Dec06 (dove j)LEWIS M 119 20.00    
4  OXIDE Feb26 Feb04 Jan22 Jan06 Dec04 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 126 3.00 9% 9.70    
5  ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Feb26 Jan29 Jan08 Nov27 Nov02 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00    
6  MYSTIC LINK Mar04 Feb14 Jan18 Dec21 Nov07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 11% 7.80    
7  KRUG Jul23 Jun24 Jun03 May15 Apr30 (capuano ph)RIVERA R 116 12.00    
8  MR THRIFTY Feb22 Jan10 Dec06 Oct25 Oct04 (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 123 4.50 ★    
 
LRL-6   03/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSTREET Feb26         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 ★    
1A  MINE RUN Feb05 Jan15       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  WE CALL HIM CLYDE Jan15         (lockard b)MONTERREY R 124 30.00    
3  MASTERWORK Feb19         (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 4.50    
4  SHERIFF RONNIE Mar04 Feb10 Jan27     (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 ★    
5  LIBRARYOFCONGRESS         (motion h )CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
6  PORCH SWING Aug17         (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
7  MISSION MAN Dec10 Oct29 Sep17     (hendriks mclan)CEDENO CAROL 124 20.00 ★    
8  DIALER Feb26 Feb10       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
9  RAGTIME RICHES Feb26         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 7% 13.80    
SCR  NORTHERN RYE         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 12.00    
 
LRL-7   03/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLOT THE DOTS Mar03 Feb18 Feb05 Jan21 Jan07 (cash l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  YODEL E. A. WHO Feb18 Jan21 Jan04 Dec18 Nov23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 32% 2.20    
3  MR. HUSTLE Feb24 Feb11 Jan10 Dec13 Dec03 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.00 9% 9.70    
4  EXCULPATORY Feb25 Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 Oct08 (merryman edwin)CEDENO CAROL 123 12.00    
5  WHISKEY AND YOU Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 Jan21 Oct22 (peacock m)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
6  THREES OVER DEUCES Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 Dec10 Nov21 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  KADRI Mar07 Feb26 Feb08 Jan31 Jan22 (cash norman )LEWIS M 116 10.00 8% 12.30    
 
LRL-8   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR TOCSIN Feb26 Feb04 Sep24 Aug23 Jul16 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 15.00 ★    
2  ALWAYSINAHURRY Feb12 Jan21 Dec18 Nov25 Oct22 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00    
3  LIKEABLE Feb08 Dec13 Nov29 Oct04 Sep13 (albaroudy )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 8.00 10% 8.70    
4  SIR ALFRED JAMES Mar07 Feb18 Feb08 Jan29 Oct07 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
5  HOPEFUL TREASURE Feb26 Jul02 Apr26 Feb05   (catalano l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
6  BACKNTHEWOODS Feb26 Dec03 Nov06 Oct01 Sep11 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 4.50 6% 14.40    
7  FACTOR IT IN Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 Nov26 Oct29 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.40 34% 1.90    
 
LRL-9   03/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED WINE TIME Feb24 Jan20 Jan01 Nov25 Oct22 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 6.00    
2  MISS CHAMITA Feb25 Feb04 Jan30 Jan18 Jan06 (cash norman )LEWIS M 119 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  THE HAUNTED ROOM Feb24 Feb11 Jan15 Dec11 Oct29 (sepulveda carlos)ACOSTA D 126 5.00 8% 11.90    
4  VOICE OF SPRING Feb26 Jan22 Dec02 Nov13 Oct13 (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
5  MO FIRE Feb26 Feb04 Jan16 Dec31 Dec03 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
6  OFFALY FAST Feb20 Jan16 Dec14 Nov19 Oct15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
7  SWEET TALIA Feb20 Feb03 Jan16 Dec02 Oct09 (mcfarlane br)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
8  IF THEN Feb26 Feb04 Jan16 Dec31 Nov05 (nazario pedro)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00 7% 12.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.