Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (5/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/9)-(5/9/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/9)-(5/9/6)-(5/9/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/9)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9)-(1/2/6)-(2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/5/4)-(1/2/6/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5/6/1)-(2/3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
SA-4   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4/5)-(2/3/1/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(6/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/4)-(6/3)-(7/3/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4/2/1)-(6/3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(7/3/11) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(7/3/11)-(2/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-7   WIN (7/3/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/11)-(7/3/11/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/11)-(7/3/11/1)-(7/3/11/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/11)-(2/4/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/3/11)-(2/4/8)-(3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
SA-8   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/8)-(2/4/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8)-(2/4/8/5/7)-(2/4/8/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/8)-(3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
SA-9   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/7) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CIRCLEOFCHAMPIONS Jan27 Nov27 Nov06 Oct10 Aug28 (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 8.00    
2  GOLDENEYE Feb18 Nov26 Apr02 Mar05 Feb10 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 124 6.00    
SCR  DERECHO DANDY Jan27 Dec11 Nov05 Jan02   (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
4  FIREMAN DAN Feb10 Jan13 Dec10 Nov20 Oct30 (wallace jerr)DESORMEAUX J 124 15.00    
5  AMERICAN REFUGEE Feb18 Dec31 Dec10 Sep02 Aug05 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 41% 1.50    
6  PAPA TIGER Feb11 Jan14 Dec11 Oct30 Oct08 (kitchingman ad)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  BIG FLINT Feb19 Jan21       (eurton peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 8.00 ★    
SCR  MITAD DEL MUNDO Jan21 Nov25 Jul30 Jun05 Apr02 (gallagher)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
9  EL POTENTE Jan29 Jan13 Apr07 Feb11   (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
SA-2   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDYSRUBY Jan07         (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  FUN MONEY Feb11 Jan29 Jan08 Nov27 Oct29 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 2.00 13% 6.80    
3  LOV U MEAN IT Jun04 May14       (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 120 8.00    
4  HOT THOUGHTS Dec11 Nov20 Sep22 Aug25   (koriner brian)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 ★    
5  NIGHT PARTY Feb24 Nov20 Oct29 Sep22 Sep09 (dollase cr)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 ★    
6  CHOLLY Jan29 Jan07 Dec02 Oct29 Oct10 (hanson ry)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
 
SA-3   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDENSPA Feb11 Jan21 Nov19 Oct16 Aug11 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 ★    
2  CROWNING GOLD Feb11 Jan21 Dec03 Nov05 Sep05 (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 57% 0.80    
3  CHICK'S DIG IT Nov05 Oct15       (wallace jerry)BRAVO J 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  SPIRITIST Dec10 Nov24 Nov05 Aug26 Jun22 (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00    
5  CRYPTO RIDE Feb11 Jan07 Dec18 Dec09 Oct22 (lewis craig)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 ★    
6  MENDEZ MILE Mar04 Jun25 Jun10 May22   (m)ROJAS EDUARD 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  HIALEAH HOTTIE Jan29 Dec09 Nov05 Oct15 Sep09 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 119 10.00    
 
SA-4   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRISH ROSE Feb12         (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by IRISH SURF out of LILIES AND ROSES by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  JENNIFER'S D'LIGHT Dec30 Nov13 Oct02 Aug14   (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00 ★    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of MODESTY BLAISE by A.P. INDY)
3  SABURO'S GIRL         (garcia anto)HERRERA A 122 20.00    
  (by SABURO out of SHATOOSH by LANGFUHR)
SCR  NOT NOW Jan22         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of INTERRUPTED by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  HEART OF THE NIGHT Aug04         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TO MY VALENTINE by DYHIM DIAMOND)
SCR  ANNIE'S JOY         (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BOOTLEG ANNIE by GO FOR GIN)
7  VENGANZA         (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of AVENGE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  TIFF WITH JIMMY         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 122 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUITE A RUCKUS by RICHTER SCALE)
SCR  LUNAR IMPACT (GB) Jan22         (blacker daniel)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
  (by ZOUSTAR out of BUTTON MOON by COMPTON PLACE (GB))
 
SA-5   03/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 GOOD San Carlos Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLDEN THE LUTE Feb19 Jan15 Nov25 Oct08 Sep11 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00 6% 15.60    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of CASINO GOLD by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  FORBIDDEN KINGDOM Dec26 Nov20 Oct01 Apr09 Mar05 (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JUST LOUISE by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  SPIRIT OF MAKENA Feb11 Sep11 Aug05     (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of WIN FOR M'LOU by GILDED TIME)
4  CLEM LABINE Feb19 Jan15 Oct08 Sep24 Aug21 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TRIBAL DRESS by TRIBAL RULE)
5  GET HER NUMBER Jan28 Dec03 Nov20 Aug27 Jul30 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of FANCIER by BERNSTEIN)
6  HOWBEIT Feb05 Nov20 Oct01 Aug27 Jul30 (glatt mark)SMITH E 124 5.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
 
SA-6   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCEL CALCULATOR Feb04 Jan02 Dec10     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 10.00 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SIERRA ELECTRICA by TAPIT)
2  BIG HAT WILLIE Feb04 Jan06 Nov24 Oct30   (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 123 8.00 ★    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of CLEO'S KREWE by FLATTER)
3  YELLOW BRICK Feb12 Jan22 Dec26     (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
4  CASTLE ISLAND Feb20         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 ★    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LISZY'S UNION by DIXIE UNION)
5  RIVERBOAT RICHIE         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 123 12.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SOUTHERN GIRL by WORLD APPEAL)
6  I DON'T GET IT Feb12 Jan15       (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of FLAT OUT GITTIN IT by FLAT OUT)
7  DAZZLEMESILVER Feb20         (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 123 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of INDIAN GODDESS by WAQUOIT)
 
SA-7   03/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEGRASS RYDER Feb17 Jan21 Dec04 Oct23 Oct10 (oviedo phil)HERRERA A 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  REIGN OVER ME Feb17 Jan15 Nov12 Sep11   (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 120 15.00    
3  ICE STORM Feb17 Jan06 Dec10 Nov12 Oct23 (marquez alfredo)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SHADOW CREEK (IRE) Feb04 Dec30 Dec04     (gallagher)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00 6% 16.90    
5  GLENDALE Feb17 Jan15 Dec26 Dec04 Oct29 (kruljac ian)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 10.00    
6  VORTEX (GB) Feb10         (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 122 20.00    
7  RUSSELLS HUSTLE Feb17 Jan15 Dec04 Oct09 Sep30 (papaprodromou )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  FAST CHAD Feb04 Jan02       (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
9  TELOS Jan21 Nov25 Aug26 Jul31   (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 122 15.00    
10  TAPIT DOWN Feb17 Jan29 Dec31     (gomez ruben)CEDILLO ABEL 122 30.00    
11  KEEN TO GO Feb04 Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 Oct23 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  DEEP RIVER Jan15 Jan08 Aug26 Jul24   (harty eoin)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00    
 
SA-8   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC14 GOOD Beholder Mile Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIRSTENBOSCH Jan15 Dec26 Nov22 Oct15 Sep05 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LLANDUDNO by BELONG TO ME)
2  PAULINE'S PEARL Jan28 Jul02 Jun04 May06 Mar12 (asmussen stev)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by TAPIT out of HOT DIXIE CHICK by DIXIE UNION)
3  AWAKE AT MIDNYTE Feb04 Dec26 Nov05 Oct02 Sep04 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of MIDNIGHT UNION by UNION RAGS)
4  MIDNIGHT MEMORIES Dec26 Oct02 Sep04 Jul28 Jun05 (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by MASTERY out of TIZ MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  A MO REAY Feb04 Dec31 Sep18 Aug25 Jul14 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MARGARET REAY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  GANADORA Jan15 Dec26 Sep18 Jun12 Apr10 (baffert bob)MALDONADO E 120 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BELOVEDA by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  DESERT DAWN Sep04 Aug06 Jun12 May06 Apr09 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by CUPID out of ASHLEY'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
8  FUN TO DREAM Feb04 Dec26 Nov13 Oct01 Sep04 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LUTESS by MARIA'S MON)
 
SA-9   03/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCARABEA Dec31 Nov24 Oct08 Aug19 Jul28 (harty eoin)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00 ★    
3  VERY SCARY Feb04 Dec19 Nov29 Nov06 Oct08 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  POP POP'S DREAM Jan28 Apr30 Mar11 Feb12 Jan09 (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00    
SCR  RIVENDELL Feb04 Feb25       (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  CHLOE'S CROWN Jan29 Jun19 May06     (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00    
7  BARRISTER'S RIDE Jan21 Dec26 Nov27 Oct28 Oct02 (gaines carla)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 5.00 ★    
9  IMPLOSION Jan28 Nov25 Oct27 Sep18 Aug06 (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
SCR  ANNAGHLASA (IRE) Jan28 Oct28 Mar11 Feb12 Jan09 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER Jan28 Dec26 Nov18 Oct30 Oct15 ( )TBA null      
SCR  QUEEN OFTHE TEMPLE Jan21 Nov24 Oct08 Jul28 Jun19 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.