Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/5/8/6)-(3/1/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/6)-(3/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/8/6)-(3/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8/6)-(3/1/5/2)-(6/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/2)-(6/8/4)-(7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/4)-(6/8/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4)-(7/5)-(5/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-5   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/1/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(5/4/8/3)-(5/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/3)-(5/4/8/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/3)-(5/6)-(3/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/7/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(3/6)-(5/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LRL-9   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   02/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECTION DAY Jan22 Nov27 Nov13 Sep29 Sep09 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.40 23% 3.40    
2  NOBLE PRENDERGAST Jan14 Nov18       (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 121 12.00 15% 5.80    
3  TIME TO CRUISE Jan22 Dec06 Oct27     (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 121 4.00 ★    
4  HE'S ON FIRE Jan13 Dec10 Nov13     (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 121 12.00    
5  CHELONIAN Jan22 Jan11 Dec10 Oct23 Sep25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.80 36% 1.80    
6  BLOWN SAVE Jan14 Dec17 Nov06 Oct23 Sep11 (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 117 8.00 ★    
 
LRL-2   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THTWASTHENTHISISNW Jan22 Dec17 Oct30 Oct08 Sep08 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 121 5.00    
2  SOUTHERN LAD Jan22 Dec17 Nov14 Oct15 Oct02 (leaf )LABARRE GRACE 121 20.00    
3  FREDDYNESS Jan30 Jan11 Dec02 Nov14 Oct07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  UNCAPTURED STORM Jan08 Nov20 Nov03 Oct21 Sep29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 6.00    
5  FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Jan22 Nov04 Oct27 Oct01 Sep04 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
6  THENCOMEMORNING Jan22 Dec11 Nov21 Aug11   (howard david)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 20.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  BONDED (IRE) Feb03 Jan14 Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 (magee kieron)ARAUJO DENIS 117 4.50 8% 11.30    
8  STARDUST ZIGGY Jan14 Dec30 Nov18 Nov04   (wilson gregory)BOYCE FOREST 124 3.50 14% 5.90    
 
LRL-3   02/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAX A NATION Jan21 Dec09 Nov27     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 1.80 18% 4.70    
2  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Feb02 Jan13 Jan03 Dec09 Nov20 (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  OMO DADA Jan15 Dec10       (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
4  REAL RAMBO Jan13         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
5  SNACK Jan21 Dec30 Nov26     (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
6  IMAGINE IT Jan21 Nov13 Oct14     (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 124 20.00 ★    
 
LRL-4   02/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAMING EAST Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 Nov27 Oct30 (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
2  MONTAUK DADDY Jan16 Dec31 Dec03 Nov23 Oct27 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 ★    
SCR  LADNEEDSAHANDLER Jan28 Jan01 Dec11 Nov04 Oct14 (salzman timot)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
4  ROMINSKI Dec10 Oct08 Sep18 Aug14 Jun10 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  OXIDE Feb04 Jan22 Jan06 Dec04 Nov11 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00 ★    
6  QUICK TEMPO Jan20 Dec31 Dec04 Oct15 Oct06 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50 45% 1.20    
7  BIGMANCAN Jan28 Jan16 Dec31 Dec09 Nov20 (magana j)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00    
8  PIT STOP MAN Jan27 Jan16 Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 (cash norman)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
LRL-5   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE OF DOOLY Jan14 Dec30 Dec03 Nov20 Oct28 (sepulveda c)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 114 10.00 ★    
2  BEST CHOICE BABY Jan27 Dec30 Dec03 Nov13   (walters j)DELGADO A 124 3.50 ★    
3  OROCOVIX Feb05 Jan21 Jan06     (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 124 4.00    
SCR  HE'S PURE TALENT Jan27         (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 124 5.00    
5  LUNAR GHOST         (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 23% 3.30    
6  STELLWAGEN BANKER Dec10         (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 10.00    
7  ELUSIVE IMAGE Jan13 Dec11 Nov13 Oct01   (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
8  DANNY'S WINKSTER Feb01 Jan11 Dec03 Nov04 Oct01 (mancilla carl)ALVELO C 124 5.00 ★    
 
LRL-6   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORRE BRANCA Jan22 Jan01 Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
2  EARLEY ROSE Feb03 Jan22 Dec09 Nov25 Nov05 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
3  NIBBLES Jan22 Jan16 Jan01 Nov19 Nov05 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BACKSTREET AFFAIR Feb03 Jan07 Dec30 Nov26 Oct19 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.80 25% 3.10    
5  HOV LANE Jan22 Dec09 Nov07 Oct23 Oct02 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  MARTHARITA Jan20 Dec10 Nov27 Nov18 Oct28 (horner elle)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 20.00 ★    
7  BAD TEMPER Jan22 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep25 (parker horac)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
8  LUCKY LORRAINE Jan22 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 (eppler e)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  HARPER'S DO Dec31 Dec10 Oct28 Oct07 Aug26 (serey mari)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 30.00    
 
LRL-7   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. HUSTLE Jan10 Dec13 Dec03 Nov07 Oct09 (ness jamie)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00 ★    
2  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Jan16 Dec18 Nov12 Oct27 Oct08 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 126 6.00    
3  IT'S SIZZLING TIME Jan28 Jan03 Nov15 Nov02 Oct22 (smith valrie)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00 ★    
4  TREASURE TRADITION Jan16 Dec03 Nov21 Oct22 Oct01 (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 123 15.00    
5  SEVIER Jan14 Dec17 Nov27 Oct01 Sep01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  GERRYS GEM Jan06 Nov12 Oct21 Oct02 Sep05 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50 16% 5.20    
7  AL LOVES JOSIE Jan21 Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep11 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 2.00 ★    
 
LRL-8   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIQUIDATOR Jan28 Jan07 Dec03 Nov25 Nov07 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 3.50 ★    
2  NAVAL EMPIRE Jan20 Sep07 Aug09 Jul12   (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 12.00 ★    
3  TAPPIN JOSIE Jan20 Dec30 Nov14 Sep30 Aug31 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
4  GAVINERA Jan26 Dec26 Nov22 Oct22 Sep30 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 121 20.00    
5  HAPPY CLOUDS Jan28 Jan08 Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.80    
6  STRYDA Jan06 Dec17       (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00 20% 4.00    
7  MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Jan20 Dec17 Nov02 Oct01 Sep02 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 8.00 ★    
 
LRL-9   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE HAUNTED ROOM Jan15 Dec11 Oct29 Oct08 Aug20 (sepulveda carlos)ACOSTA D 126 12.00    
2  LADRO DI FICHI Feb03 Jan01 Dec09 Nov14 Oct06 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 6.00 ★    
3  PATTY CAKES Jan01 Oct30 Sep17 Aug14 Jul31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00 14% 6.00    
4  BRZINA Jan22 Jan13 Dec04 Nov26 Nov05 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 126 8.00 ★    
5  PARIS KENTUCKY Dec21 Nov18 Oct20 Sep08 Aug18 (geralis emanuel )CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.80 32% 2.10    
6  TAP N GLO Jan01 Dec11 Nov13 Oct29 Oct06 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  TOSS A COIN Jan01 Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 Sep17 (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
8  THAT'S SOME KISS Jan13 Dec16 Nov24 Oct21 Sep16 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.