Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - January 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/10/1/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/1/3/9)-(5/10/1/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/10/1/3/9)-(6/1/3/4)-(5/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (6/1/3/4)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/4)-(5/3)-(6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/2/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(6/7/8)-(6/8/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(6/8/10)-(6/8/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/10)-(6/8/10/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/10)-(6/8/5/3)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/3)-(5/4/6)-(8/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/1/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA BETTINA Dec31 Dec09 Nov19 Oct21 Oct07 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 6.00 9% 9.80    
2  NOTION INTERRUPTUS Jan06 Dec29 Dec02 Oct21 Oct12 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00    
3  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Nov21 Nov11 Oct29 Sep25 Sep17 (hohlbein ke)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 4.50 8% 11.10    
4  MEBS WEB Dec01 Nov17 May19 Apr22 Mar27 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00    
5  FORTUNATA ITALIA Dec29 Nov12 Oct02 Aug25 Jul19 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
6  CAPTIVATING GAL Nov30 Jan01       (rodriguez jesus)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
SCR  ABIDALE Dec02 Oct31 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50    
8  SALAMINA Dec29 Dec03 Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
9  RAISE YOUR GAME Dec10 Nov19 Nov07 Oct14 Sep23 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MISS CASEY Dec29 Dec03 Nov12 Sep21 Aug26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.50 27% 2.70    
11  SOME IS NINE Dec31 Nov30 Nov11 Oct27 Oct20 (serey jr)DELGADO A 122 30.00    
 
LRL-2   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 45 M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE HAUNTED ROOM Dec11 Oct29 Oct08 Aug20 Jul31 (nixon justin)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  THE HARPSTER Dec11 Oct29       (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
3  HUSHEMUP Dec09 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Sep29 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 126 1.60 12% 7.10    
4  DOOMSCROLLER Dec11 Oct23 Oct02 Sep16 Aug26 (mcmullen marily)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 8% 11.50    
5  DESPITE THE GIN Sep10         (plummer bob)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 20.00    
6  JUST ONCE MORE Jan01 Nov21 Oct23     (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 126 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Dec29 Dec04 Nov21 Nov05 Oct20 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 ★    
 
LRL-3   01/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOT THEMESSENGER Jan06 Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 Nov25 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 20.00 ★    
2  TREASURE TROVE Dec31 Dec08 Nov24 Nov12 Nov04 (cash l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50 ★    
3  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Jan07 Dec31 Nov25 Nov05 Nov05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  IRISH BOOLUM Nov26 Oct27 Sep17 Sep02 Aug22 (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
5  GUILLAUME Dec31 Nov30 Nov09 Oct27 Oct01 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 2.50 36% 1.70    
6  BIG LAKE Jul29 Jun04 May13 Mar09 Feb10 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 3.50 ★    
 
LRL-4   01/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIDE OF PAYTON Dec30 Nov27 Oct22 Jul15   (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 12.00    
2  BUMP N RUN         (shaw j)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 20.00    
SCR  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Dec10         (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 ★    
4  WE CALL HIM CLYDE         (lockard b)MONTERREY R 124 20.00    
5  TRUE ACCOUNT         (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
6  OMO DADA Dec10         (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
7  MINE RUN         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
8  HILL OF TARA Nov27 Oct28 Aug06 Jul02 Jun19 (ennis john)ROSADO JOHAN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BILLYKUS Dec10 Nov13 Oct28     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.50 ★    
 
LRL-5   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER ODDS Oct22 Sep25 Sep07 Aug08 Jul10 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 126 10.00    
2  SPARKLE SPRINKLE Dec09 Nov02 Sep30 Jan29   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 5.00 ★    
SCR  UTTERLY ENCHANTING Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Oct07 May07 (hall d)MONTERREY R 123 30.00    
4  WHO KNOWS WHAT Dec16 Nov18 Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 (trombetta micha)GARCIA LUIS 126 10.00    
5  SMART EULEE Dec09 Oct30 Oct06 Sep16 Aug21 (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
6  SAINT EROS GIRL Dec17 Nov25 Nov03 Sep03 Aug06 (morley thomas)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ITALIAN DRESSING Jan01 Dec02 Oct27 Oct09 Sep17 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
8  LA CASA D'ORO Dec16 Oct30 Jul15 Jun12 May20 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
9  I'M GITTIN THERE Jan01 Dec09 Nov20 Oct22 Oct01 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 ★    
10  MY FLICKER Dec16 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Oct07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
LRL-6   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACE FIRE Jul01         (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 ★    
2  SISTER SPIRIT Dec29 Dec04 Nov25 Nov03 Oct05 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 8.00    
3  QUIT QUAY         (ambro)LABARRE GRACE 124 20.00 5% 17.90    
4  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Dec29 Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 Sep11 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
5  CAMI RACHELLE Dec29 Dec04 Oct23 Oct01 Sep02 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50 8% 11.40    
6  LOVELY LIZA Jun01         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  LET'S MAKE A ZEEN Dec29 Nov04       (gorham michael)LOPEZ DERECK 110 15.00    
8  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Dec29 Dec02 Oct21     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
9  BREEZY LEIGH Jan07 Dec02       (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00    
10  JIMMYDABOOK Dec29 Dec04 Nov04 Oct20 Oct05 (smith d)ALVELO C 120 15.00    
 
LRL-7   01/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKIN ON A DREAM Dec30 Jun04 May20 Apr23 Mar19 (graham )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 8.00    
2  AMERICAN D'ORO Dec30 Nov26 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 123 6.00 ★    
3  AMATTEROFTIME Jan04 Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 Oct01 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 123 2.50 ★    
4  KING OF DREAMS Oct07 Sep10 Aug08 Jul23 Jun23 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  ZABRACADABRA Dec17 Nov24 Nov02 Oct01 Sep05 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.60 44% 1.20    
6  SHAKE EM LOOSE May21 Apr16 Mar19 Feb27 Jan29 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-8   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVEALARM FREAKOUT         (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
2  WAVERLEY Dec29 Nov21 Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
3  FIVE STAR FRAN Dec29 Dec04 Nov18 Jun01   (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00 ★    
4  CONCERT HALL (IRE) Dec03 Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 Sep11 (davis samuel)BATISTA A 124 12.00    
5  SUPER MONEY         (schoenthal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 10.00 19% 4.20    
6  ANATH Nov24 Oct26 Oct01 Aug28 Aug12 (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 15.00    
7  SWEET FACTOR Jan07 Dec03 Nov12 Sep01 Aug12 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00    
8  CONTESTATION         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
9  BALI HAI Dec29 Nov12 Oct21     (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.