Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/2)-(1/3)-(5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(3/6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/4/2)-(1/3/6/4/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/3/6/4/7)-(7) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
LRL-4   WIN (1/3/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4/7)-(1/3/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4/7)-(7)-(4/1/5/3/6) 25 $0.50 $12.50 
LRL-5   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (7)-(4/1/5/3/6)-(7/6/1/4) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4/1/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/3/6)-(4/1/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/3/6)-(7/6/1/4)-(4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/4)-(4/6/3)-(3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSPICIOUS LAD Dec29 Nov24 Oct13 Sep11 Jul09 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00 ★    
2  DOWN COLD Nov25 Nov07 Aug02 Jun08 May17 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50 5% 19.00    
3  GHOSTLIGHTER Dec17 Nov24 Oct30 Oct08 Sep09 (campbell willi)PEREZ XAVIER 122 6.00    
4  LATE NIGHT LARRY Nov24 Sep24 Jun25 May26   (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 24% 3.10    
5  HACHURE Dec16 Nov26 Oct14 Sep25 Aug17 (cole c)DELGADO A 126 15.00    
6  DREAM BIG DREAMS Dec17 Nov14 Oct06 Sep09 Aug05 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 5.00 40% 1.50    
7  TRASH TALKIN LARRY Dec17 Dec04 Oct23 Oct06 Sep25 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 126 3.50 9% 10.60    
 
LRL-2   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RUN ROCKY RUN         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  IRISH WARLOCK         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.00 ★    
2  LOVE TALK Dec10 Nov04 Oct14     (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50    
3  IMAGINE A CURE Dec11 Nov20 Nov13     (capuano phill)ALVELO C 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
4  DUKE OF DOOLY Dec30 Dec03 Nov20 Oct28 Oct01 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 ★    
5  POINT US HOME Dec30 Dec09       (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 30.00    
6  BUBBA CHROME Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Nov04 Aug29 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00 ★    
7  HOPPERNESS Nov27 Nov11 Oct27     (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  DA BEERS ON ICE Nov04 Aug21       (cox m)LOPEZ DERECK 114 8.00    
SCR  VASY SAYS NYET Dec30 Nov11 Oct02     (howard c)CEDENO CAROL 120 15.00    
 
LRL-3   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUPER GARNER Nov18 Oct20       (dunham g)HO WESLEY 126 5.00    
2  REDEEM EDDIE Dec13 Oct22 Sep10 Feb11   (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 123 10.00 9% 10.70    
3  SPEAK UNITY Dec31 Dec16 Nov25 Nov03 Oct19 (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 12.00 ★    
4  FREE DANCER Dec17 Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 Aug28 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 10% 9.10    
5  SEVIER Dec17 Nov27 Oct01 Sep01 Aug13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 58% 0.70    
6  CHARGE TO VICTORY Dec17 Oct15 Sep18 Aug26 Jul06 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 ★    
 
LRL-4   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Dec31 Dec17 Dec02 Oct28 Oct13 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 121 1.80 51% 1.00    
2  COMPLETED STORM Dec17 Oct27 Aug15 Jul31 Jul02 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 121 10.00    
3  BLOWN SAVE Dec17 Nov06 Oct23 Sep11   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.50 10% 9.20    
4  NOBLE PRENDERGAST Nov18         (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BONDED (IRE) Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 Oct13 Oct01 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00    
6  STARDUST ZIGGY Dec30 Nov18 Nov04     (wilson gregory)BOYCE FOREST 121 5.00 6% 14.40    
7  DART Jan08 Nov18 Oct26 Oct20 Sep15 (howard david)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-5   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 45 ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DYNAMITE DUKE Nov27 Oct01 Sep03 May28   (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 5.00    
SCR  AWESOME DYNAMO Dec16 Nov20 Oct20 Sep10 Aug06 (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 5.00 ★    
2  MR. FIBONACCI Dec10 Nov27 Oct29 Oct20 Aug20 (ambrogi j)LOPEZ DERECK 112 20.00    
3  MAYBE IT'S TIME Dec10 Nov27 Oct13 Oct06 Aug31 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 ★    
4  COATANDTIEREQUIRED Jan07 Nov04 Oct08 Aug27   (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 126 4.00    
5  SECRET SANCTUARY Dec31 Dec10 Nov20 Oct29 Oct14 (klesaris rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50    
6  WIRED IN Dec16 Oct20 Oct08 Feb27   (eppler e)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 ★    
7  SEE OUT Dec31 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Oct06 (meister s)DELGADO A 126 6.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  JUST ONCE MORE Jan01 Nov21 Oct23     (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 121 12.00 7% 12.70    
9  TEGO Dec16 Nov27 Nov07     (casey m)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 50.00    
 
LRL-6   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Dec17 Nov24 Nov14 Nov05 Oct06 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
2  MR JEFFERSON Dec18 Jul08 Jun18 May21 Apr16 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 126 12.00    
3  MOSE PERFECT Dec16 Nov24 Oct29 Sep25 Aug14 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50 8% 11.30    
4  RHUMJAR Dec10 Oct22 Sep22 Aug12 Jul17 (cruz jesus)ACOSTA D 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
5  BRETT'S WORLD Dec14 Nov15 Oct19 Oct04 Sep24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
6  ARTISTIC REASON Dec18 Nov23 Oct27 Oct05 Sep13 (lynch cathal)KARAMANOS A 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  BATON Dec13 Nov24 Nov04 Sep24 Aug19 (pino michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50    
8  UNDER THE RADAR Dec18 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Oct01 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00    
 
LRL-7   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORCH OF TRUTH Dec17 Oct22 Oct01 Mar19 Feb19 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00 9% 10.60    
2  MAXIMUM IMPACT Jan05 Dec20 Nov25 Oct27 Oct20 (cash l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00    
SCR  BENANDJOE Nov24 Nov04 Sep24 Jun26 Jun04 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50 11% 8.20    
4  ONE TWO KID Dec09 Nov14 Nov07 Oct28 Oct16 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00 9% 10.60    
5  VASARIANO Jan05 Dec02 Nov23 Nov10 Oct27 (cash l)ACOSTA D 126 4.00    
6  WALK AWAY JOE Dec16 Nov24 Nov05 Sep30 Sep09 (capuano phill)ALVELO C 123 5.00 10% 9.10    
7  BOSS LOGIC Dec16 Dec03 Sep30 Sep15 Jul21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
LRL-8   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANCE SCHOLARS Dec17 Nov24 Oct22 Oct01 Sep08 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50 ★    
2  IRISH CORK Nov07 Sep24 Aug22 Jun20 Jun03 (servis c)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 ★    
3  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Dec17 Nov13 Oct08 Aug10 Jun10 (cash norman)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 8% 12.10    
4  GALERIO Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 Jan29   (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  PRACTICAL COACH Dec13 Oct27 Sep24 Aug23 Jul18 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.00    
6  IYWAAN Dec17 Nov12 Oct14 Sep01 Aug19 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
LRL-9   01/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPALACHIANHEIGHTS Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 Oct06 Sep02 (frock l)CULLUM W 123 10.00 9% 9.80    
2  EVER SO D'WILD Dec10 Dec01 Nov19 Nov03 Oct22 (nixon justin)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
3  SHACKLEFORD COUNTY Dec31 Dec06 Nov12 Aug21 Aug01 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  UNREQUITED LOVE Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 (howard davi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 10% 8.60    
5  TORCH CARRIER Dec17 Nov25 Nov18 Oct27 Sep23 (frock charl)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 15.00 ★    
6  DOMINEER Dec31 Nov12 Oct09 Sep18 Jul21 (howard c)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.50 18% 4.40    
7  FORTES Jan06 Nov24 Nov12 Oct27 Oct07 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.