Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Wednesday - November 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE SPEAKS WELL Nov09 Oct17       (maver eduardo)CRUZ JOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
1A  PARTY NEWS Sep02         (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 121 10.00    
HONEY DOESN'T KNOW Oct31 Sep05       (garza hector)ROHENA JR 124 1.60    
2B  HE IS BONAFIDE Nov09 Oct12 Aug17 Aug02 Jul07 (garza hector)ALVARADO R 121 1.60 52% 0.90    
ITSYOUNOTME Nov09 Oct12       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 12% 7.10    
MOONS THE LIMIT Oct31 Oct12 Sep28 Jul20 Jun27 (breed ronald )FLORES JEREMIAS 121 4.00    
MONTANA'SBIGSUNSET Nov09 Oct12 Sep26 Aug30 Aug02 (d'alessand)DAVIS A 124 5.00    
WILLIE MAYS HAYS Nov09 Aug16 Jun14 May31 May09 (progno chris)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 8% 11.60    
 
FL-2   11/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 2 ALL PT-12:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE MILTIE Nov07 Oct19       (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 5.00    
BLUE SOLDIER Oct17 Sep23 Aug10 Jul26   (rohena jose)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  WORTHYCONVERSATION Nov15 Nov07 Oct17 Sep05 Aug23 (sells rachel)ROHENA JR 120 15.00    
FLAT OUT PHYLLY Nov08         (tebbutt jo)DAVIS A 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
OUTTA THE CLOUD Nov08         (tebbutt john)FLORES JEREMIAS 117 3.50    
CHARLIES MEDAL Nov07 Oct19 Oct04     (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 10.00    
HUTCH Nov07 Oct17 Sep21 Sep05   (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 1.80 49% 1.10    
 
FL-3   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASAP RESTORATION Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug30   (ronen assa)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
BIG BROWN SHOES Jun07 May11 Apr24 Mar13 Feb13 (gutte)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
WARALO Nov12 Aug08 Jul14     (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
I FOUND IT Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 Jun13 May24 (rohena jose)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00 9% 10.70    
PERSISTENT DANGER Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 Jun29 May24 (sells rachel)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 5.00    
FULL COMPLEMENT Nov08 Oct26 Sep27 Aug24 Jul28 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
RED FORTRESS Nov14 Oct17 Sep27     (ferraro michael)BAEZ JOSE 121 3.50 9% 9.70    
 
FL-4   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROZ Nov01 Oct11 Sep24 Sep04 Aug05 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
LEMONADE LADY Nov08 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep05 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 4.50 35% 1.90    
RENNINAS ROSE Nov09 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
FLOWER MOON Nov09 Oct25 Oct11 Jul13 May30 (gutte)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 6% 16.20    
CENTRAL CAPITAL Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 (rivera m)SONE Y 124 20.00    
AVID SUCINORI Oct10 Sep14 Aug15 Aug03 Jul04 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMONDS FOR LILY Nov09 Oct05 Sep06 Aug23 Jul11 (shaffer rich)DE EMANUEL 121 5.00    
BETTY RUBBLE Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 Oct03 Sep14 (bond brent)GOMEZ O 119 20.00    
JOKERS RUN Nov07 Oct10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul13 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
10  MAGNIFICENT MAGS Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 (sparling wayn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 20.00    
11  IOVA Nov01 Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug23 (rohena jos)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
12  PRAIRIE TALES Oct26 Sep20 Aug15 Jul19 Jun06 (englehart jeremiah )CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
 
FL-5   11/23/2022 6600ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  THE GRAND CANAL Nov07 Oct19 Oct04 Sep19 Jul05 (ferraro michael)COA J 117 1.20 70% 0.40    
SCR  OUR CARAVAN Nov14 Oct19 Sep07     (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 1.20    
BLOOD MOON Nov07 Oct19 Sep17 Aug21 Jul08 (gutierrez a)ROHENA JR 117 6.00    
SCR  COACH BAHE Nov14 Oct31 Oct19 Oct04 Sep19 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 119 6.00    
THANK YOU Oct26 Sep26 Aug10 Jul19 Jul04 (ferraro antho)NAVARRO KEVIN 117 8.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  TEXAS TOWER Nov07 Oct19 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 (englehart jeremiah )CRUZ JOEL 121 5.00    
SCR  PARADE FIELD Nov07 Oct24 Oct12 Sep27 Aug22 (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 124 4.50    
THIS CAT CAN FLY Nov15 Oct24 Sep27 Aug29 Aug03 (gutterson katlynn)PEREZ E 117 8.00    
BELLAGIO Nov07 Oct19 Sep06 Aug08 Jul04 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 117 8.00    
 
FL-6   11/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERING MARCH Nov09 Oct25 Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 (buckley b)PEREZ E 121 20.00    
LEGENDARY BID Oct25 Sep27 Sep02 Jul29 Jul06 (tebbutt john)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
SMART STORM Nov08 Oct25 Oct05 Sep27 Sep13 (gutterson katlyn)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
UP FOR ADVENTURE Nov08 Oct18 Oct04 Sep07 Jul25 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
MARC'S HUMOR Oct25 Sep28 Aug08     (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
DAY AT THE BEACH Oct31 Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 Aug08 (loaiza ilmar)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
BUSTIN PIETRE Nov08 Oct17 May02 Apr10 Feb21 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 4.00 13% 6.80    
KADEN Nov08 Oct12 Sep13 Aug31 Aug01 (englehart jeremiah )CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 11% 7.70    
BLACK IRISH Nov08 Jun28 May18 May10 Apr26 (sells rach)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
10  KOBE'S LEGACY Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 Aug10 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50    
11  UNCLE VIC Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 (breed a)COA J 121 10.00    
 
FL-7   11/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIVIL SERVICE Nov01 Oct18 Sep26 Aug25 May13 (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50    
1A  THE INSTITUTE Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 Aug31 Aug17 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
DR. LLOYD Nov14 Oct31 Sep27 Sep05 Aug17 (dominguez )DAVIS A 122 15.00    
2B  BLUES CITY Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 (dominguez car)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
SMOKIN' ALONE Nov08 Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 Sep21 (sabine micha)DE EMANUEL 122 20.00    
SCR  TRAPPE THE DREAM Nov01 Sep28 Sep12 Aug15 Jul19 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00    
TENENCY Sep23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27   (gutierrez a)ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
SCR  BOWING SNOWMAN Nov09 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 (muller j)SONE Y 122 10.00    
THE LAST ACE Nov01 Aug24 Jul25 Jul06   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 10.00    
INVALUABLE WILL Nov09 Nov01 Sep19 Sep05 Aug24 (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
ALPHA CHI RHO Feb21 Jan08       (magee kieron)CRUZ JOEL 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
10  FATHER WALSH Oct11 Sep14 Aug29 Aug02 Jun20 (barrow paul)BAEZ JOSE 119 6.00    
 
FL-8   11/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAYS REMEMBERED Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Sep12 (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
WINE TRAIL Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 (progno s)BAEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
BETTYBOOM Nov08 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
FLATTERY'S MUSIC Nov01 Oct11 Sep14 Jul18 Mar25 (rice linda)GOMEZ O 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
GRACIE O'MALLEY Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Sep06 Jul26 (buckley jo)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
CERTIFIED FREAK Nov08 Oct18 Oct05 Sep27 Sep06 (shaffer rich)DE EMANUEL 121 15.00    
STRONG ALPHA Oct25 Jun20 Jun01 May16 Mar19 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 6.00    
LILLIA PRANCES Nov01 Jul27 Jul06     (ferraro anthony)FRET STEVEN 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
PURPLE MALINDA Nov08 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 (gutierrez luis )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00    
10  MISS CIRCULAR GAL Nov16 Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 Aug15 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.