Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - November 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   11/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET OFF MY CLOUD Oct20 Sep29 Jun25 May15 Apr01 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 124 0.20 44% 1.30    
ROCKET BALLAD Oct19 Sep08 Aug19 Jun17 May04 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
HARDIN Sep28 Jul08 Jun17     (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 (boggs joanna)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Oct19 Sep29 Sep07 Aug27 Aug11 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 122 8.00 7% 12.50    
COMEONTURNMELOOSE Oct19 Sep28 Aug27 Jul21 Jul01 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
SCR  ACASHA'S INTUITION Oct26 Sep29 Aug19 Aug12 Jul29 (smith kenneth)ADAMS L 114 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
CT-2   11/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE ME HOME Oct07 Sep21 Aug11 Jul15 Jun25 (pickett crys)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 49% 1.00    
MORTAL STORM Oct15 Sep24 Jul29 Jun30 Jun17 (king yolonda)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
DUSTWHIRL WONDER Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 Aug11 Jul30 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
THEA'S THEME Oct21 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 (ramirez a)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50    
LADY KAZA Oct22 Sep10 Jun30 Jun17 May21 (joy j)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
SAX Oct22 Sep10 Aug18 Jul16 Jul01 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00    
SCR  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Oct29 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jun30 (obed-letts ke)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00 13% 6.60    
 
CT-3   11/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANGORITA Oct15 Aug13 Jul23 Jun11 May14 (walters dav)RAMGEET R 120 3.00    
SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Oct07 Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 2.50 9% 10.00    
MAYSVILLE MISS Oct14 Sep23 Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 52% 0.90    
BRINGTHEWINE Oct13 Sep05 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
WHY LEA Oct14 Sep23 Apr23 Mar17 Feb20 (gazzier krist)ADAMS L 112 8.00    
CHOSEN MISS Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jun11 May21 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
BUNNY PRINCESS Oct15 Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00 9% 10.10    
 
CT-4   11/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN G Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 Aug06 Jul15 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
KUKULKAN (MEX) Oct21 Sep22 Sep08 Sep01 Aug11 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
NITRO TIME Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 Jun21 (santillana )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 12% 7.50    
PRINCE JERSEY TOWN Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 Aug18 Jul29 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 1.40 17% 4.90    
SHACKLEFORDS STORM Oct21 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 (ginter raymon)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00    
COMPANY CLOWN Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Jun24 May20 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
HEY CONGRATS Oct21 Sep29 Sep22 Aug11 Jul28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL LUCERITO         (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
COLT ROCK Oct15 Sep24       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 26% 2.90    
WINDSOR'S STAR Oct12 Sep24 Sep03     (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
TWO ROOM SCHOOL Sep24 Sep14 Aug13 Jul23   (viands grego)MORALES KELVIN 122 2.50 7% 12.40    
MISSIONARY Oct15         (casey w)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
DE'S CASTLE Oct15 Sep03       (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00    
SUMMONING DENIS Oct12 Sep24       (casey john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   11/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNLOCK Oct11 Sep12 Jul27 Jul08 Jun02 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.40 21% 3.80    
QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Sep24 Aug13 Jul21 Jul04 Jun18 (cipriano robe)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
LUCKY US Oct15 Sep24 Aug13 Jun25 Jun11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Sep03 Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Jan28 (atkins g)CECIL Y 124 8.00    
I B NASTY Oct29 Oct07 Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
LUNAR PRAYER Oct15 Sep29 Jul08 Jun03 May11 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
LIME AFTER LIME Oct15 Sep28 Aug19 Jul28 Jun23 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
MOJO MATTERS Oct15 Sep24 Aug13 Jul28 Jun24 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 7% 12.50    
 
CT-7   11/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVY SWORD Oct08 Sep07 Jun10 May20 Jan28 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 8.00    
YOLO CHARLOTTE Oct13 Aug26 Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 (lyster stephen)MONTANO JOSE 123 3.00    
SENECA ROCKS Oct08 Sep10 Aug09 Jul23 Jun24 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 121 5.00    
THE SKY IS FALLING Oct08 Aug26 Jul23 Jun23 May19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.20 60% 0.70    
AZZURRA Oct08 Aug26 Aug04 Jul01 Apr23 (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00 12% 7.60    
TIZBIT Oct08 Sep10 Aug27 Aug04 Jul16 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 123 15.00    
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Oct22 Oct07 Aug25 Apr22 Mar25 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
 
CT-8   11/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITH SECRET ENERGY Oct26 Sep29 Sep16 May07 Apr23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 31% 2.20    
SPECTACULO Oct19 Sep29 Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 12.00    
SCR  AIR MEDAL Oct27 Oct12 Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 (pickett g)CULLUM W 118 30.00    
ANGELA'S ROMEO Oct27 Sep29 Sep08 Jul29 Jun30 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
JAXJAXXORJACKS Oct26 Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug19 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
STRONG LIL KOKORO Oct05 Sep22 Aug05 Jul23 May27 (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
MY BOY CLYDE Oct26 Sep10 Aug19 Jul23 Jun04 (contreras ja)MARRERO CARLOS 118 3.50 11% 7.70    
WELL EQUIPPED Oct26 Oct08 Sep10 Aug27 Aug19 (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 6.00 13% 6.90    
BLUE N GOLD Oct05 Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 Jun25 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.