Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAVANGER Aug28 Aug12 Jul29 Jun24 Apr24 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 121 5.00 8% 11.00    
2  BOUBOLINO Sep24 Sep02 Aug28 Jul29 Jul09 (o'neill ton)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 10.00 ★    
3  DAKOTA BOY Sep05 Aug19 Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 121 1.40 17% 4.80    
4  CRYPTIC CODE Aug17 Jul23 May03 Mar23 Feb03 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 121 15.00 ★    
5  GORUN Sep26 Sep05 Aug23 Aug17 Jul18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.20 50% 1.00    
6  MORNING ARTIE Feb25 Feb10       (straughn wil)ROCHA WLADIMIR 121 20.00    
 
CT-2   10/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTHA'S BANNER Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul28 Jul08 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
2  LUNAR PRAYER Sep29 Jul08 Jun03 May11 Apr06 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00 ★    
3  LIME AFTER LIME Sep28 Aug19 Jul28 Jun23 May11 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
4  LUCKY US Sep24 Aug13 Jun25 Jun11 May26 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.50 ★    
5  CALIFORNIA SUZY Sep28 Sep01 Aug13 Jun03 Mar05 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOT FOR GOLD Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul28 Jun25 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 12.00    
7  MOJO MATTERS Sep24 Aug13 Jul28 Jun24 Jun03 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
 
CT-3   10/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPYDYLEGS         (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 12% 7.10    
2  COLT ROCK Sep24         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.80    
3  SPARKED A NOTION         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13   (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 ★    
5  TOBI WAN KENOBI         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
6  MISSIONARY         (casey w)LARROSA G 122 10.00 12% 7.60    
7  DE'S CASTLE Sep03         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODIE'S STORM Sep30 Sep14 Mar03 Feb04   (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 3.50    
2  SAKARI Oct02 Aug17 Jul15 Jun23   (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 121 1.40 50% 1.00    
3  JASIRA         (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 124 20.00    
4  MANGORITA Aug13 Jul23 Jun11 May14   (walters dav)RAMGEET R 119 6.00 ★    
5  BENEDICTINESISTERS Sep14         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 4.00 19% 4.10    
6  BUNNY PRINCESS Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 Jul11 (adorno l)CECIL Y 122 15.00 ★    
7  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Oct07 Sep03 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 4.50 ★    
 
CT-5   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORTAL STORM Sep24 Jul29 Jun30 Jun17 Jun04 (king yolonda)CECIL Y 124 6.00    
2  CENTERFOLD ANGEL Sep03 Jul29 Apr30 Apr09 Feb22 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.80 31% 2.30    
3  PERKEO Sep24 Jul13 Jun23 May31 May06 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 15.00 8% 12.20    
4  STYLISH PAINT Sep24 Aug04 Jun10 May27 Apr30 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 15% 5.60    
5  DUSTWHIRL WONDER Sep24 Sep03 Aug11 Jul30 Jul15 (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 124 4.50 ★    
6  HAD THE NOTION Sep23 Sep09 Jun17 Apr30 Apr10 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
7  CHIT CHAT GIRL Oct07 Oct01 Sep10 Aug20 Aug11 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
CT-6   10/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALL PAW Sep24 Aug20 Apr13 Mar18 Feb25 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  ORANGEBURG Sep29 Sep08 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 (meehan eliz)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
3  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Sep09 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 (racanelli m)MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 50.00    
4  BERTRAM FLIGHT Sep24 Jul23 Jun30 Jun04   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 121 1.40 20% 4.10    
5  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Aug20 Jun04 May11 Apr13 Mar17 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 5.00 5% 18.90    
6  IT'S ONLY MONEY Sep03         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 15.00    
7  BOBBYS CASE LOAD Oct01         (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 6.00 ★    
 
CT-7   10/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFFERSON NATIVE Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 Jul14 Jun09 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 122 1.20 31% 2.20    
2  SUPER JORDAN Sep24 Sep07 Jul29 Jul02 Jun03 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 118 10.00 ★    
3  MATH MAN MARCO Sep24 Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 May14 (patterson)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 38% 1.70    
4  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Sep15 Jun11 May13 Apr20 Mar24 (greaves)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIFTY FIFTY Sep24 Sep07 Jul02     (mcdonald timothy)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
6  FIBER STRONG Sep24 Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 May19 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.50 ★    
 
CT-8   10/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUZZETTE STAR Oct01 Jul30 May08 Mar04 Feb21 (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
2  SALTY SAUL Aug31 Aug13 Jul29 Jul14 Jul01 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
3  KARATS AND GOLD Sep30 Jul30 Jul14 Jun29 Jun16 (deiter kell)RAMGEET R 122 6.00    
4  LEAH'S LEGACY Sep24 Sep11 Aug05 Jul13 Jun04 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  MISS MIDNIGHT Sep14 Aug04 Jul14 Jun18 Jun02 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 5.00 21% 3.80    
6  LOST ANCHOR Sep18 Aug26 Aug04 May26 Apr22 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00    
7  NOBODY'S SECRET Oct05 Sep02 Jun25 May01 Mar31 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
8  TOUGH ONE Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 Jun05 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  MISSING MY POINT Sep03 Feb17 Jan27     (pickett g)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
SCR  JESS FOR KICKS Sep30 Sep14 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.