Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - September 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THANK YOU Aug10 Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 May23 (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 36% 1.70    
2  KINGFISH Sep07 Aug23 Aug03     (grabowski john)COA J 122 2.00 14% 6.20    
3  SMOOTH OPERATION Sep07 Aug10 Jul14 Jun21   (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 118 5.00 ★    
4  TRUE PALACE Aug08 Jul20 Jul06     (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00    
5  SMOOTH TALES Sep06 Aug02 Jul11 Jun14 May31 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
6  JUMPSTER Sep07 Aug29 Jul17 Jun16 May13 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
FL-2   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CODYS EXPRESS Sep13 Aug24 Jun29 May29 Apr15 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 120 5.00 ★    
2  JUGGLER Aug31 Aug15 Jun27 May19 Apr09 (rohena r)DAVIS A 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  WARALO Aug08 Jul14       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 2.00    
4  CLINGMAN Aug30 Aug15 Jul22 Jul14 Jun18 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CIVIL SERVICE Aug25 May13 Mar31     (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
6  C J'S GRAND SLAM Sep13 Aug23 Jul25 Jul12   (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
7  PERSISTENT DANGER Jun29 May24 May10 Apr25   (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
 
FL-3   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($97.854K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC STORM         (dixon li)DAVIS A 121 10.00 ★    
2  TIZ LUCKY Sep05         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 ★    
3  MO TRUMP Sep05 Aug23       (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.00 31% 2.30    
4  ACOUSTIC AVE Aug26 Jul29       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.20 44% 1.30    
5  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Aug23         (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 ★    
 
FL-4   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINCO LINKO Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 (acquilano jame)COA J 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
1A  DR. CERFOLIO Sep13 Feb10 Jan07     (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.00    
2  GONNA BE DANCING Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 May16   (breed jr)GOMEZ O 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
3  MONTANA'SBIGSUNSET Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun08 (d'alessa)DAVIS A 120 12.00    
4  GOD BLESS AMERICA Aug22 Aug08 Jul27     (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
5  KOBE'S LEGACY Sep12 Aug10 Jul20 May19 Apr21 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 2.50 ★    
6  DRAGON BALLET Apr25 Feb16 Feb01     (sells rachel)FRET STEVEN 120 12.00    
7  DEVIL OR ANGEL Sep12 Aug24 Aug05 Jul10 Jun23 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
FL-5   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($97.725K) 2 F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULER OF THE NIGHT Aug17         (kle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 ★    
2  WARSAICHI Sep05 Aug22       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  SUPER SLIDE Sep02         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 ★    
4  ISABEL LUVS GOLD Aug08 Jul18       (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  STRIKING MELODY Sep05         (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 6.00    
6  WOMANONTHEWARPATH Aug15 Jul17       (torelli stacy)PEREZ E 120 4.00 ★    
 
FL-6   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KAUFY FUTURES Aug31 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr26 (gutierrez luis )FRET STEVEN 122 10.00    
SCR  VITANZA Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 Jun21 Jun07 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
2  MISS GOLD MEDALIST Sep06 Aug01 Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  PASSION POLICE Sep14 Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 Jun22 (dominguez carlos )CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00    
4  SAICHIMANA Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 Jun20 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00 ★    
5  CLIFDEN PUNCH Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 Jul11 Jun22 (sha)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  FIRST FOREVER Sep06 Aug16 Jul14 Jun11 May13 (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
7  CALL ME CARMELITA Sep14 Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jul12 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 122 20.00    
8  TRIVIA Aug31 Aug15 Aug01 Jul20 Jul04 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 4.00    
9  NO STONE UNTURNED Aug17 Jul27 Jun07     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
 
FL-7   09/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICIA'S WAY Sep07 Jul26 Jun29 Jun17 Apr24 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 4.00 13% 6.90    
2  SWEET MAEVE Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 Jul18 Jun26 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 8.00    
3  TEMPERMENTAL Aug24 Aug12 Jul08 Jun12 May27 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ O 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  JACKIEGIRL Aug24 Aug15 Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 (saul dana)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00 ★    
5  FLURRY OF ROSES Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 (buckley jonathan )BAEZ JOSE 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  WABAUNSEE Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 120 8.00    
7  TIVOLI GARDENS Aug09         (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
8  INSUFFICIENTNOTICE Sep12 Aug22       (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 10.00    
 
FL-8   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Sep12         (sells rachel)COA J 120 15.00    
2  BOXED IN AND BORED         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  AFILADA Sep22 Aug06 Jun23 May13 Apr06 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
4  TINTAGEL Sep12         (smith julie)ROHENA JR 120 20.00    
5  DARN THAT SONG Sep04 Aug03 Jun25 May07 Apr14 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 3.50 6% 15.50    
6  T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE Sep12         (falk jacquelin)PIERMARINI T 120 20.00    
7  RACING QUEEN Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (huertas )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 6.00    
8  SUBTLE GIANT Aug24 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jul06 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00    
9  BEAUTIFUL BANKS Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 (mastin k)DAVIS A 120 12.00    
10  LOLLYGAG Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jun26 Jun04 (lauer michael)GOMEZ O 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  COUNT ON FRIENDS Aug08         (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
12  WABBIT SEASON         (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.