Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA ROSE Aug14 Aug02 Jul17 Jul03   (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
OUTLAW QUEEN Aug14 Jul30 Jun22 May27 May06 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 2.50    
PLAYAS GEMELAS Aug14 Jul26 Jul17     (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 120 20.00    
LOTTA PRADA         (parsons riley)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 8% 11.30    
CHASING DIVINITY Aug01 Jul17       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
ARP-4   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONESTAR CHROME Jul18 Jul11 Jun06 May14 Apr18 (williams steve )FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00 13% 6.40    
ARCH'S WILD Aug09 Jul31 Jun12 May28 May13 (mcdonald william)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 6% 15.10    
UNCLE TAP Aug02 Jul19 Jun12 May21 May14 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
CLAIMJUMPER Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul03 May30 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
ALL RISE UP Aug15 Jul31 Jul25 Jul05   (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 120 12.00    
TAPPIN' THE BLING Aug09 Jul03 May19 May01 Apr08 (mitchell stetson)WALES T 120 3.50    
 
ARP-5   09/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUT A BLING ON IT Aug21 Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 May15 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 8.00 30% 2.30    
KISS OF CRAN Jul26 May21 Apr02 Mar11   (long vaughn)WALES T 120 2.50    
MYSTIC WIND Aug07 Jul24 Jul03     (jenkins l)FACKLER CHRIS 121 30.00    
AIR WALKER Aug21 Jul03 May28 Apr10   (shephard john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
GOVENESS SHEILA Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 May30 Apr29 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
ABUELA CORI Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 Feb19   (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 12.00    
WILD SAINT Aug23 Jul31 Jul17     (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 4.50 23% 3.30    
HANNAH'S STORM Aug07 Jul17 Apr15 Apr03 Feb20 (ness john)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00 9% 9.90    
 
ARP-6   09/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST LEAVE Aug30 Aug09       (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST ALTERNATE Aug22 Jul31 Jul11 May07 Apr16 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
ALWAYS A TIZ Jul11 Jun11 May29 Apr22 Mar27 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50    
TRACK SMART Jul31 Jul11 May07 May01 Apr02 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
BIND ME UP Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 Jul02 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
 
ARP-7   09/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($39.802K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEHOLD THAT WORD Aug21 Jul04 May21 May01 Apr22 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE MOUNTAIN BELL Aug22 Aug01 Jul03     (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH Aug22 Aug01 Jul03 Apr26   (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
A J'S RIDE Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18   (gleason tyrone)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50    
TYLERS ANGEL WINGS Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jul03   (pokorny foster)MARTIN A 124 30.00    
CELEE'S LAST TE Aug22 Jul31 Jul03     (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 124 12.00    
 
ARP-8   09/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JU JU GUY Aug23 Aug02 Jul17 Jun05 Apr25 (childs g)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
THREE FOR THREE Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03   (parsons riley)WALES T 117 8.00    
QUICKTRIP VAN Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Jul03   (vicchrilli russe)HERRERA HUGO 117 2.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  DIVINE TASK Aug29 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19   (hall monk)BETHKE A 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
HOLDING PATTERN Aug02 Jul04 May29 Apr22 Mar24 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
DALLAS GOLD Aug23 Jul31 Jul21 May08 Mar16 (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 120 3.50    
 
ARP-9   09/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($41.12K) 3UP C/G PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST Aug21 Jul24 Jul04     (martinez a)WALES T 124 1.00 58% 0.70    
MY PAL Aug23 Jul31 Apr28 Apr04 Jan28 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
RED WES Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04   (gerke cimmaron)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 13% 7.00    
TUFF WILLY TE Aug23 Jul19 Jul04     (parsons riley)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
BE ALL EARS Aug22 Aug15 Jul26 Jul12   (long vaughn)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.