Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Thursday - August 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETOUTOFTHEHAREM Aug13 Jul29 Jul12 May26 Apr26 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
SHOW ME SOME SASS Aug10         (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
HITCH CITY Aug08 Jul05 Jun13 May12   (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00    
BUSYBEING FABULOUS Jul26 Jun25 May25 May10 Apr25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 110 3.50 48% 1.10    
LADY FORTUNE Jul26 Jun28 May12 Apr05 Mar16 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 4.50    
MINE ALONE Aug04 Jul20 Apr25 Apr13 Mar15 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-2   08/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THIRTYSILVERPIECES         (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
KING ANDRES Aug15 Jul14 Jun21 Jun07 Apr22 (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 6.00    
WILLY'S CASTLE Jan14         (sweazey)PILARES P 123 10.00 17% 4.80    
GUCCISSIMO Aug10 Jul18 Jul11 Jun22 May26 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.00    
TENTWELVEFOURTEEN Jul18 Jun28 May26 May09   (genovese richa)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
OPEN OUT Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 May26 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-3   08/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jul26 Jun22 Mar21 Jan31 Jan01 (skerrett j)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
SCR  ITSALLABOUTMEMEME May25         (reed r)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
TRUMPET LILLY Aug09 Jul05 Jun22 May21 May07 (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
RESURRECTION ROAD Jul21 Jun21 Mar18     (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 5.00    
WEST SIDE GIRL Jun22 Jun06 Apr08 Mar26 Mar04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 12% 7.30    
JLO CAN DANCE Aug16 Jul13 Jun25 May02 Apr11 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-4   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAFTY CHIEF Aug13 Jul26 Jul07 Jun21 Jun06 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Aug02 Jun16 May18     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
BUCKEYE RUCKUS Aug13 Jul26 Jun30 May31 May18 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
TRUST AND OBEY Aug16 Jul22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun02 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 116 4.50    
JOES A ROCKIN Jul26 Jul14 Jun14 May25   (inirio carlos)STANLEY O 119 20.00    
JIMTOWN Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 Jun03 May25 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 4.00 12% 7.60    
BOOT LEGGER Aug13 Jul25 Jul07 Jun06   (londono)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  QUALITY MAN Aug13 Jul18 Jun30 May31 May18 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
TWO EAGLES Aug13 Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 May02 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
SCR  KONTAR Aug13 Jul27 Jul06 Jun08 Jan24 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
10  C K'S LUCKY DUCK Jul26 Jun08 May24 May02 Mar22 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 20.00    
 
TDN-5   08/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Aug09 Jul25 Jun22 May30 Feb16 (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50    
BOSSY LADY Aug12 Jul19 Jul01 Apr28   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.00 30% 2.30    
MOBIL MEISTER Aug09 Jul25 Jul13 Jun27 Jun11 (faulkner )CORREA L 119 8.00    
CLIFTONS BALLERINA Aug10 Jul07 Jun20     (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 8% 11.60    
LUCKY PENNY ROSE Aug03 Jul18 Jun29 Jun13 May24 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 4.50    
QUEEN HIGH (NZ) Jun20 May26 May12 Apr13 Mar26 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
TDN-6   08/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIV'EM THE BIZ Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 May12 Apr26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 110 3.00    
1A  DYNAMITE CLOUD Jul26 Jun28 Jun21 Jun02 May24 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
GENERAL WINSTON Jul28 Jun22 May18     (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Jul21 Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 May06 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 115 3.50    
BLUE MONARCH Jul28 Jun21 May23 May07 Mar24 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00    
SCORZA Aug09 Jul01 Jun21 May12   (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
OHIO STRONG Aug09 Jul05 Mar09 Feb18   (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 115 15.00    
WILDCAT EXPRESS Jul21 Jul05 May30 May17   (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 20.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  KEEPING SCORE Jul27 Jun30 Jun21 May17 Apr28 (castro raquel )HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
CRYPTO COPY Aug12 Jul21 Jul14 May30 May12 (gorham )PILARES P 115 4.50    
 
TDN-7   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNNY BEAST Jul25 Jun29       (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.50    
SCR  DRINKSONTHEBEACH Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 Jun22 May12 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50    
HE'S A BELIEVER Jul25 Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 May24 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
FLYING GUILLOTINE Jul28 Jun27 Jun07 May31 May12 (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 6.00    
AMES MISTER Jul28 Jul05 Jun22 May17 Apr28 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
STAYIN OR STRAYIN Jul28 Jul11 May23 May06 Apr23 (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00    
HEY SACH Aug09 Jul03 Jun20 May16 Apr28 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 15% 5.50    
 
TDN-8   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSES FOR ASHLEY Aug04 Jul19 Jun09 May26 May04 (quartarolo )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
BLACK BUTTE Aug03 Jun28 May25 May09 Apr26 (bird dann)CORREA L 123 10.00    
SCR  SPEAK LIGHTLY Aug01 Jun28 Jun01 Apr27   (ruberto lo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 7% 13.60    
TALKBACK Aug03 Jul11 Jun27 Jun11 Mar31 (castillo jabdi)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 6.00 40% 1.50    
AUNT BEE Aug09 Jul20 Jun25 Jun13 Jun03 (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50 14% 6.00    
PACIFIC COAST Jul28 Jun29 Jun03 May04 Mar26 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 11% 7.90    
GOLDEN NOLE Aug02 Jul19 Jun29 Jun08 May17 (londono j)GONZALEZ A 123 15.00    
WINE ME UP BABY Aug09 Jul25 Jun30 Jun24 Jun01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.