Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - August 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELL HELLO YOU Aug04 Jul21       (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
HALF LEGEND Aug04 Jul21 Jul04 Jun16   (vecchio cary)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
WHAT'S SO FUNNY Aug01 May19 Apr26 Apr09 Mar14 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 2.50    
AWESOME WONDER Aug10 Jul20 Apr26 Apr15 Apr02 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
VOODOOISM Aug04 Jun20 May04 Apr26 Mar26 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
TICKLISH Jun13 May17 Apr29 Mar27   (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
TDN-2   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANES HOPE Apr09 Mar26       (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
ROMA MONA Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May24 Feb23 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 12% 7.50    
IMA SURE BET Aug01 Jul13 Jun16 May24 Apr27 (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00 8% 11.40    
POOLSIDE COCKTAILS Aug01 Jul19 Jul04 Jun16 Jun02 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
HUSH GORGEOUS Aug01 Jul19 Jul04 Jun16   (rettele r)CORREA L 119 3.50    
SCR  YAQUESITA Aug01 Jul19 Jun30     (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00    
 
TDN-3   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY BOUNCE Aug01 Jun28 Apr16 Feb16 Jan24 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 123 1.80    
SWEET CHELSEA Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 Jun27 Jun01 (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 18.10    
HIGH CUPPER Aug04 Jul20 Jul05 Jun01 May18 (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50    
WELLOILEDCAT Aug10 Jul26 Jun29 Jun16 Jun08 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00    
SAMMY'S SISTER Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 May17   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
OPULENT Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 May16 Mar10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
TDN-4   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOSEY POWER Aug10 Jul21 Jul11 May31 May21 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50    
PLAYING BALL Aug10 Jul28       (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50    
JOHNS BIG RED Aug10 Jul28 Jul11 Jun29 Jun14 (radcliff donal)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 3.00    
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Jul21 Jun30 May04     (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 13% 6.80    
STORMIN SELLY Jul21         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 23% 3.30    
AFLEET O ME Jul21 Jul14 May21     (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
TDN-5   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY STORMY Aug15 Aug03 Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 (murillo rodrig)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 3.00    
SCR  STARSHIP TAXI Jul13 May15 May02 Apr24 Apr05 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
JOHNNY U Aug03 Jun11 May26 Apr27 Apr05 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 18% 4.40    
CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY Aug03 Jul05 Jun07 May19 May06 (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
POWERFUL MOON Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Mar24 Feb22 (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 10% 9.50    
WIZARD WILLIE Jul19 Jun27 May26 Apr25 Mar16 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00    
 
TDN-6   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER TRAIL Jun14 Mar24 Mar09 Feb19   (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  WEEKEND BUZZ Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 Mar28 Feb26 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
SCR  JUDGE HEAD Jul25 Jun27 May31 May02 Mar16 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
SHOW SLIDING HOME Aug09 Jul06 Jun14 May03 Apr16 (johnson g)CORREA L 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
JACK BE FAST Aug09 Aug02 Jul14 Jul07 Jun22 (hernandez ric)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 13% 6.80    
FUNNEL CAKE         (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
DR. ZARNETT Jun30 May19       (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.50 15% 5.90    
 
TDN-7   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 Jun07 May16 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 8.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  ICONIC Aug04 Jul07 May31 May11   (johnson g)CORREA L 119 8.00    
LAZARUS PROJECT Aug04 Jul19 Jul04 Jun25 Jun13 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50    
MONTAUK COVE Jul14 Jun27 Jun13 May25   (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
LADY'S BOY Aug02 Jun13 May25 Apr25 Apr11 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00    
MAKING ME CRAZY Aug01 Jun25 Jun16 Jun02   (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
CENTRIST Aug02 Jun30 May31 May16 Apr28 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 6% 15.80    
 
TDN-8   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL PACKIN BOS Jul05 Jun01       (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 119 15.00    
SEEKING THE MONEY Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 Jun27 Jun07 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
DOUBLE EDGED Aug03 Jul18 May09 Apr02   (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Aug03 Jun29 Jun07     (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 115 5.00    
SURE FIRE READY Aug03 Jul18 Jun30 Apr11 Mar18 (richards rusty)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
WAFFLESORPANCAKES Aug13 Jul06 Jun27 Jun11   (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
CHILLVILLE Aug03 Jul18 Jun29 Jun11 May11 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 8% 11.70    
KISSTHECROSS Jul26 Jun11       (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.