Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - August 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAVARIA Jul29 Jul13 Jun22 Jun10 May21 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 8.00    
SCR  JOJOMAR Jul29 Jul15 Jun22 Jun01 Apr21 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.20 61% 0.60    
3  LONG GRAY LINE Jul13 Jul02 Jun11 May21 May14 (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00    
4  MY FRIEND FRANK Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 May24   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.50 ★    
5  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Jul22 Jun15 Mar29 Mar11 Feb24 (martin r)CORA D 120 30.00 ★    
6  BEACH TRAFFIC Jul07 Jun17 May25     (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 ★    
7  BABY BULL Jul13         (bracho sherene)BRACHO A 120 8.00 9% 10.40    
8  SURFER BOY GEORGE Jul22 Jul10 Jun22 Jun12 May25 (harigeorgiou)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   08/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE TRAIN Jul22 Jul07 Jun17     (rodriguez fra)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00 ★    
2  SPINNING KITTEN Jul26 Jun25 May28 May08 Mar06 (comi w)CORA D 118 10.00 ★    
3  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Jul22 Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 May20 (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
4  SHADOW BOAT Jul07 Jun17 May25 May12 Apr22 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00    
SCR  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Aug04 Jul14 Jul04 Jun20 Jun15 (smith m)BAKER J 120 10.00    
6  DRAMATIZED Jul22 Jul12 Jun29 Jun17 May30 (bouchard le)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 111 3.00    
7  LOXODROME Jul27 Jun22 Apr29 Feb23 Feb08 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
8  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Jul20 Jul10 Jun22 Jun09 May25 (borges isr)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 12.00    
9  PRETENDANT Aug02 Jul20 Jun15 Jun02 May21 (farro patri)NUNEZ Y 118 12.00    
SCR  THE ANGRY MAN Jul19 Jul09 Jun29 Jun07 May21 (hawthorne bobbi)BOWMAN ADAM 120 6.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  BOCK Jul22 Jul07 May20 Apr22 Mar29 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 10.00 7% 14.30    
 
PEN-3   08/10/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUTICAL NATURE Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 May07 (o'hearn hea)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
2  I GOT A ROCK Jul14 Jun21 Mar13 Jan12   (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  PAPA TONY Jul21 Jun29 Jun09 May21 May07 (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 120 15.00    
4  HELLO'NDUBAI         (smith thomas )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00    
5  MILITARY DRILL Jul29 Jul14 Jun17 May28 Apr30 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
SCR  FORT FORTITUDE Jun25 May19 May06 Mar24 Feb18 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 10.00 6% 14.90    
7  KING ECLIPTICAL Jul20 Jun29       (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
8  NOT A TRICK Jul31 Jun17 May30 May11 Apr21 (dunham bernard)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 ★    
9  NO FOOLING DUDE Jul19 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 May09 (hawthorne bobbi)BOWMAN ADAM 120 8.00    
10  ROCKET BLAST Jul15 Jul06 Jun10 May19 Apr21 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  BIGMANCAN Jun29 Jun03 May19 Apr22 Mar29 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
PEN-4   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN GEORGIO Jul27 Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 May24 (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 6.00    
2  SPEED SLOT Jul15         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 ★    
3  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May21 May11 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  GRAND WISER         (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 57% 0.80    
5  BUSTER BRUNO Jul13 Jun24 May11     (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
6  GALILEE Apr22 Mar16 Feb18 Feb01 Jan07 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-5   08/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGH IT OFF Jul15 Jun23 Jun15 May25 Mar23 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 9% 10.80    
2  LOVE IS STRONG Jul26 Jul10 Jun03 Apr28 Mar22 (vera miguel)AVILES YAN 120 2.50 9% 10.40    
3  NORTHERN CROSS Jul28 Jul01 May19 Apr20 Mar22 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 ★    
4  ARCTICA Jul20 Jun22 May19 Apr07 Mar22 (flores wa)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
SCR  GINGERONMYMIND Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 Apr13 Mar26 (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 51% 0.90    
6  DASHI May27 Mar23 Mar15 Feb18   (johnston rob)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NAIL POLISH Jul18 Jun16 Jun01     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
2  FROSTED ANGEL Jul08 Jun15 May20 May05 Apr07 (synnefias)VARGAS L 120 15.00    
3  FRED'S SHEILA Jul15 Jun30 Jun15     (harigeorgiou )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
SCR  MIZ CHAPLIN Jul08 Jun17 May05     (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Jul08 May26 May05 Apr07   (beattie m)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
6  QUEEN'S DREAM Jul08 May26 Apr29 Apr08 Mar16 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  POSITIVE FORCE Jul21 Jun29 Jun15 May13 Apr21 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 5.00    
8  GOLDEN LAW Jul01 Jun17 May25 Apr27 Apr07 (dimitriou e)CORA D 120 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   08/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOSSY MADRINA Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May25 Apr27 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  HIGH FRONTIER Jul28 Jul08       (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 5.00    
3  PARABLE Jul14 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May25 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 4.50 18% 4.50    
4  PEARLBDANCING Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 May09 Apr18 (pattershal)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 20.00 ★    
SCR  CHEROKEE PARTY Jul16 Jul01 Jun16 Jun01 Apr30 (allard t)ROSE J 120 1.80 ★    
6  GRAPE THERAPY Jun06 May17 Apr26 Feb21 Feb12 (kantarmaci )IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-8   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPRICHOSA Jul21 Jan11       (cuprill maria)ALICEA JEREMY 114 6.00 ★    
2  VALENTINA'S CUPID Jul22 Jun15 May26 May11 Apr22 (albright r)CORA D 124 3.00 9% 10.50    
3  BO RUNKLE         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
SCR  ASGATA Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun16 Apr28 (sinnefia paulina)LLOYD W 122 8.00 ★    
5  AUTOMATED TELLER Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 Jun01   (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 1.60 56% 0.80    
6  TALENTED TAPPER Jul08 Jun23 Mar29 Mar18 Mar08 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 124 20.00    
SCR  CRIMSON LILLE Jul01 Jan10       (deiter kell)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 20.00    
8  PRINCESS ROCIO Jul20         (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.