Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - August 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE DATE Jul26 Jul07 Apr25 Apr13 Mar15 (gorham )PILARES P 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
AUGMENTING ASSETS Jul26 Jun28 May30 May16 May04 (pattah)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
HITCH CITY Jul05 Jun13 May12     (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
SIREN CALL Jul19         (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 6.00    
ZVOLUME Jul26 Mar05 Feb16 Jan15   (faulkner joshua )RIVERA R 123 10.00 19% 4.40    
HAUGHTY PRAISE Jul26 Jul07 Jun28 Jun07 May30 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEOMBRUNO Jul19 Jun30 Jun07 May18   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
IMTHEPRINCE Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 May24 (jones e)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
CLYDE PARK Jul27 Jul12 Jun29     (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 8% 11.40    
BREVARD PLACE Jul22 Jul01 Jun17     (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 15% 5.70    
GALTERO Jul19 Jul04 Jun21 Jun07 May26 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 10.00    
ADANO Jul19 Jul04 Jun02 May24 May09 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   08/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESIGNATE Jul18 May31 Mar10 Feb16 Feb01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
MOTHERWELL Jul06 Jun22 Jun13 May12 Apr10 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
VELVET SAMI Jul06 Jun21 Jun01 May21 May04 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 40% 1.50    
SUNDRENCHED Jul06 Jun20 Jun01 May04 Apr20 (poole jeffr)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00    
DARING (IRE) Jun28 May21 May09 Apr08 Apr01 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80    
IT'S ALL CASH Jul12 Jun20       (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 19% 4.40    
 
TDN-4   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA CHUY Jun11 Apr13       (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
TEST YOUR FAITH Jul11 May31 May11 Apr13   (campbell ant)KEISER CHELSEY 119 15.00    
SCR  KJOS KID Jun05 Feb06       (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.00    
PURDY PUMKIN Jul11         (dacosta j)CORREA L 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
BOLD AND BOSSY Jul05         (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
PURCHASE POINT Jul28 Jul18 May27     (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
TDN-5   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLATE IT UP Jul21 Jul14 Jul06 Jun20 May31 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 10% 9.40    
MOBIL AT LAST Jun20 Jun06 May07 Apr12 Apr04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
KOLE MAN CAN Jul06 Jun21 May23 May07   (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00    
DENNY M Jul13 Jul06 Jun03 May10 May02 (rivera ne)CORREA L 123 2.50 43% 1.40    
NEVANS Jul21         (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.50    
BUCKITITLEWAVE Jul21 Jul06 Jun21 Jun06 May25 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
TDN-6   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Jul28         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 38% 1.60    
MUCH TIMES TWO Jul21 Jun29       (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
COLOR CODED         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
BILLY BEACOUP Jul20 Jul04 Jun14 May31 May16 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 110 8.00    
SCR  VOLUME OF TRUST Jul20 Jul12 Jun28 Jun11 May26 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
ZAKARIA Jul04 May26 Apr04 Mar19   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIST Jul14 Jun28 Jun16 May24 Mar22 (miller ari)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 15% 5.60    
EASTER PRIDE Jul21 Jul06 Jun16     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
GRAZIA WHO Jul21 Jul06 Jun01     (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 15.00    
SWINDLE Jul21 Jul05 Jun01 May18   (feliciano benn)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 16% 5.30    
BEST OF YOU Jul15 Jun21 Jun06 May03 Apr05 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
SCR  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE Jul21 Jul06 Jun01 May18   (brown t)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 13% 6.60    
BISCAYNE BAY Jul21 Jul06 Jun16 Mar26 Mar09 (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-8   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN HOPE Jul12 Feb14 Jan31 Jan15   (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
COWTOWN BOSS Jul04 Jun14 May26 May11 Apr04 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
WHO CAN WIN Jul06 May23 May11     (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 15.00    
BABA LOOEY Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 May16   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
THANKSDAD Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 Apr04 Mar19 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 6.00    
KETTLE KING Jul21 Feb28 Feb01 Jan11   (jackson ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
GOING PRIMETIME Jul28 Jun29 May31 May16 Apr27 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.50 15% 5.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.