Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - July 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/22/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LAUREN Jun10 May20 May03 Apr15 Mar26 (newton tr)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  SASSY CAT Jun01 Apr29 Apr22 Apr10 Mar02 (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00    
3  LEJEUNE Jul12 Jun23 Jun10 May25   (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  YELLEN Jun28 May31       (toye l)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 6.00 6% 15.60    
5  BEAUTY DAY Jun11 Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Feb12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  VICTORIA'S DANCE Jul08 Jun28       (ramos franci)HALDAR J 123 4.50 ★    
7  TOP HAT BOSS Jul07 Jun28 May31 May24 May13 (adams l)BRACHO A 121 10.00    
 
BTP-2   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O CIGANO Jul08 Jun25 May28 May13 Apr28 (roberson denn)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
2  LOVE TWENTY SIX Jun26 Jun08 May22 Mar25 Mar10 (godsey ma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  DANZEL Jul12 Jun23 May26 May10 Apr23 (gali)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  UNWANTED INPUT Jul07 Jun28 May31 May25 May12 (manning j)BUSH V 116 12.00    
5  SHARINGTHEJOURNEY Jul08 Mar18 Mar01 Jan15 Jan01 (cline robert)HALDAR J 121 6.00 ★    
6  TRATO Jun29 May12 May04 Mar09 Feb25 (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
BTP-3   07/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-12:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGE TU RICHES Jul12         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 116 8.00    
2  JOHN GREY Jun26 Jun08       (engler jeff)MOJICA JR 116 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  I STRONG Jul14 Jun14 May31     (rice ke)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 4.50 ★    
4  FAIR AND SQUARE Jun29 Jun01       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  GRAND ISLE Jul12 Jun29       (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  EXCITEMENT Jun28         (hamm timothy)FELIX E 118 5.00 ★    
 
BTP-4   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINNIE BUT MIGHTY         (hamm timothy)REYES R 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  DELIGHTFUL CAT         (thomas mark)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 ★    
3  ALWAYS ON THE ROX May30 Mar23 Mar05 Jan19   (adams l)BRACHO A 125 10.00 19% 4.40    
4  LACY QUEEN Jun22         (antonuik jerry)FELIX E 120 5.00    
5  SPUN PRETTY Jun22 May24 May12 Apr28 Feb14 (evans michae)HALDAR J 120 1.60 ★    
6  ROCKY CHANNEL Jul12 Jun22 Jun03 May24 Apr28 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
BTP-5   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JROCK         (hernandez d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 8.00 15% 5.70    
2  MASON A. P. Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May22   (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50    
3  NOT AGAIN JACKIE Jun30 Jun08 May24 May11 Apr29 (coyle ver)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  ILLBOOTENGOTTY May25 May12 Apr28 Jan01   (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 1.80 ★    
5  TWOBIRDSONESTONE Jun25 May26       (lauer michael)MCKEE J 125 6.00 17% 4.70    
6  FEELING IT Jun30 Jun10 May24 Apr29 Apr18 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-6   07/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL SOLUTION Jun25 May07       (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  RELISH THE RIDE Jun25 Jun03 May11     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 5.00 7% 12.60    
3  FIRST SONG Jun25 May24 May07     (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
4  PECKS NOT BAD Jun30 Jun03 May06 Apr13 Mar16 (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
5  BIG TRUCK Jun25 Jun03 May12     (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
6  TRUST AND OBEY Jul12 Jun28 Jun02 Apr05 Mar22 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 118 20.00    
7  OHIO EAGLE Jun30 Jun25 May31 May07 Mar10 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00    
8  MANGA MAN Jun25 Jun02 May02 Mar16 Feb15 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 12.00 ★    
9  WHAT A RUSH Jun03 Apr13 Mar14 Feb28 Jan26 (cline robert)HALDAR J 118 6.00    
 
BTP-7   07/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Jun17 May10 Mar26 Mar04 Feb17 (brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
2  CLASSY COWBOY Jul07 May29       (matejka pavel)REYES R 120 4.00 ★    
3  SUBDUED Jul08 Jun21 Jun10 May16 May04 (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 2.50 19% 4.10    
4  BRODYTHEOXMAN Jul13 Jun24 Jun08 May21 Feb26 (lopez carlos)HALDAR J 120 10.00    
5  GAMBLER Jul07 Jun24 Jun10 May27 Mar26 (murphy scott)WHITACRE B 122 12.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  LEMONADE STAND (GB) Jul13 Jun30 Jun17 May23 May07 (livers charl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 8.00    
7  AYCAPOTE Jul08 Jun21 May31 Apr27 Apr08 (grubbs l)FELIX E 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
8  PAYNTED Jul13 May19       (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
 
BTP-8   07/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAY HOPE Jul14 Jun21 May24 May03 Mar25 (rhoden carlton)BRYAN KERRY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOMENT Jul13 Jun21 May30 May01 Apr03 (lopez elias)PEREZ E 121 10.00 ★    
3  COME SEE ABOUT IT Jul05 Jun21 May31 May20 Apr27 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  RAISON KARTER Jul05 Jun24 May24 May13 May03 (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 3.50    
5  CACAHUETE Jul05 Jun21 May24 May03 Mar17 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 5.00 ★    
6  ROCK ON KITTEN Jun24 Jun10 May27     (reed r)BRACHO A 121 10.00    
7  COOL RUNNINGS Jul05 Jun17 Jun01 May10 Apr29 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 8.00    
SCR  J W RUCKUS Jun29 May27 May12     (green troy)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  IMPROBABLE STORY Jun21 May27 May10 Apr15 Mar15 (rider m)MCKEE J 121 4.50    
 
BTP-9   07/22/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUJU NINETEEN Jun23 Mar05 Feb15 Jan31   (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 8.00 ★    
2  HOLY CROSS Jul12 Jun09 Apr21 Apr11 Mar23 (gali)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  CONTRACTOR BILL Jul12 May19 May06     (kelley james )LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.50    
4  TOASTTORODNEY Jul07 Jun17 May19     (grubbs l)FELIX E 118 8.00    
5  HINK'S PALADIN Jul09 Jun23 May10 Apr16 Mar17 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 118 15.00    
6  AUDACIOUS ANTOINE Jun28 Jun17 May31 May10 Mar10 (brownfield cl)BRACHO A 123 10.00    
7  LITTLE ALEX May23 Apr08 Mar07     (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 123 20.00 8% 11.10    
8  WEST WARPATH Jul03         (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 3.50 35% 1.80    
9  THING Jul05 Jun23 May21 Apr14 Mar09 (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.