Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arizona Downs
Saturday - June 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AZD-3   06/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EBB AND FLOW May14 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Feb11 (lavanway dayson)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 8% 10.80    
2  RED BOTTOM REBEL Apr28 Apr19 Apr06 Mar11   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 ★    
3  SEVEN POINTS Apr28 Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Feb02 (gleason m)GARCIA F 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
4  EARLYNTHEMORN May06 Apr08 Mar31 Mar07 Feb11 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  LEXOPHILIA May06 Apr18 Mar17 Feb22 Jan15 (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 4.50 ★    
6  QUEENS RANSOM Apr28 Apr13 Mar28 Mar08 Feb09 (zimmerman j)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00    
 
AZD-4   06/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EZ GUESS May27 May15 May01 Apr14 Mar22 (dennison da)SCRIVER L 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
2  GLORIOUS CITY May15 Mar13       (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00    
3  K P KRYPTON Apr24 Mar26 Mar19 Mar05 Feb14 (figueroa juan)BELLOC AARON 115 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  SHADYFIED May07 Apr26 Apr06 Mar02 Jan24 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 4.50 ★    
5  BAD BOY BILL May07 Apr26       (gleason tim )YBARRA MICHAEL 120 10.00    
6  CHICKEN N BISCUIT May02 Apr08 Mar07     (esquibel mark)GARCIA F 120 5.00 12% 7.60    
7  ZEE RED MILES         (wheeler trav)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 18.30    
 
AZD-5   06/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO FORGIVE Apr27 Mar19 Feb09 Jan13   (espinoza leo)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 ★    
2  ALBANY FRONT May06 Apr06 Mar07 Feb16 Feb08 (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
3  PARLEY STREET May02 Apr11 Mar22 Jan26   (evans jus)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  CAUSE AND EFFECT May28 May14 Apr30 Apr04 Mar22 (villamar can)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.50 ★    
5  CURRENTLY KRAZY May02 Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 (crotts jim)BARBER R 124 15.00    
SCR  BLOW MY MIND Apr27 Apr05 Mar14 Mar01 Feb08 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.80 14% 6.20    
7  SMOOTHING IRON May27 Apr30 Apr03 Mar15 Feb22 (lavanway dayson)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
 
AZD-6   06/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUIN MAGIC May29 Apr23       (nelson amy)GARCIA F 120 20.00    
2  AG MINISTER Apr12 Mar12 Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 27% 2.80    
3  DUBRONSKY May06         (lucas rob)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  PIRATE MISCHIEF Apr24 Mar26 Mar12 Mar06   (kern david)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 ★    
5  POPS AWESOME Apr26         (williams dewe)LOPEZ E 120 20.00    
6  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Apr24 Mar26 Feb26     (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 1.80 22% 3.50    
7  ROWDY GUY         (alvarez sergio)BARBER R 120 8.00 ★    
8  BEL RAGAZZO May27 Mar25 Mar02 Feb07 Jan20 (villamar can)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 10.00    
 
AZD-7   06/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULLIGAN May27 May15 Apr20 Apr04 Mar15 (villamar can)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 8% 11.50    
2  THUNDER WOMAN May15 May03 Apr14 Apr05 Mar16 (blea tony)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 ★    
3  MADISON'S QUARTERS May03 Apr20 Apr08     (esquibel mark)GARCIA F 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
4  TOTHEMOONANDBACK May13 Apr02 Mar27 Mar18 Mar01 (lavanway dayson)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 ★    
5  RIVER JUMPER May13 Feb21 Jan19     (matt wendell)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
6  WRIGHT WINGED Jan17         (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00    
7  PALACE STAR Apr25 Mar18 Mar10 Feb25 Jan27 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
 
AZD-8   06/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCAT ATTACK May07 Mar08 Feb09     (rollins scot)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 15.00    
2  STORM THE PALACE May13 Apr29 Mar24 Mar08   (lewis kevin)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
3  WAY TO FIRE May07         (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 7% 12.70    
4  SO ELUSIVE Apr24 Apr12       (evans justin)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 ★    
5  AVA K'S GIRL May02 Apr19       (evans jus)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  HINDU MISS CHEF Apr21 Mar11 Feb04     (barraza s)GARCIA F 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  MISS REBEKAH Apr18 Mar28 Mar17 Jan26 Jan06 (barraza s)BARBER R 122 6.00    
8  DATQUICKCAT May14 Apr08 Mar12 Mar04   (lavanway day)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00    
 
AZD-9   06/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUMEROLOGIST May14 Mar23 Mar02 Jan25   (dennison da)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 7% 13.60    
2  TW SKIPPING STONES May07 Apr11 Mar07     (story chad)BARBER R 124 12.00    
3  TAPPED TO THE MAX Mar11 Jan25       (evans jus)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.50    
4  CLASSY CLASS May14 Mar09       (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DILLON ROCKS Mar21 Feb21 Jan19     (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 20.00    
6  HEY PILGRIM Apr21 Mar04 Jan19     (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 11% 8.50    
7  SENSEMAKER Apr27         (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
SCR  IMA SAINT TOO May28 May13 Apr30 Mar15 Feb19 (lucas j)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00    
9  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO May14 Apr22 Mar27 Feb14 Jan29 (evans justin)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
10  RAMBLIN' MAN Apr21 Mar04 Feb14 Jan10   (kenney dan)GARCIA F 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.