Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - January 17, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/4/3)-(3/5/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/5/7/2)-(6/3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/2)-(6/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/2)-(6/3/5/4)-(3/7/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/4)-(3/7/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/4)-(3/7/8/4)-(4/3/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/4)-(4/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/4)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/1/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(4/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/5)-(4/1/7/5)-(1/7/3/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/5)-(1/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/5)-(1/7/3/6)-(5/6/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/6)-(5/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (5/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/17/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BECAUSE THE NIGHT Jan03 Dec27 Dec10 Nov14 Jun12 (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
2  UNION EXPRESS Dec13 Nov29 Oct22 Sep13 Jul24 (charlerie gre)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00    
3  FLAT ON Dec13 Nov20 Oct22 Sep12 Aug20 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 30% 2.30    
4  SIN NOMBRE Dec31 Dec05 Nov14 Oct18 Sep20 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
5  KISMEHOLDMETHRLME Dec13 Nov19 Oct15 Sep15 Sep02 (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
6  CONFABULATION Dec13 Nov07 Oct22 Oct09 Aug14 (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 1.00 23% 3.40    
 
AQU-2   01/17/2026 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($77K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE B'S Dec07 Nov15 Nov01 Oct10 Sep13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 56% 0.80    
2  GIVEMEMYTHEMEMUSIC Apr25 Mar08 Jan25     (clement miguel)CIVACI SAHIN 121 4.00    
3  CORVUS Dec28 Nov15 Oct28 Jun21 May24 (jimenez jos)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNBROKEN CHAIN Jan03 Nov29 Nov07 Oct17 Sep20 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  A LISTER Nov29 Nov07 Sep12 Aug09 Jun29 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 20.00    
6  HEY TOBY Dec28 Oct05 Sep19 Jul30 Jul02 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
 
AQU-3   01/17/2026 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($77K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL GAL Dec13 Nov21 Oct23 Sep26 Aug06 (abreu r)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
2  BROOKLYN DANTZ Jan01 Dec12 Nov21 Oct23 Sep25 (arenas marc)RIVERA A 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHE'S GRAND Dec13 Nov19 Nov03 Oct20 Sep22 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  HELLO BEAUTY Dec26 Nov29 Nov09 Oct19 Sep25 (quick j)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
5  OFF SCRIPT Dec26 Nov20 Oct24 Sep25 Aug24 (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 26% 2.90    
6  LONCHURA Mar28 Feb28 Nov22 Oct20 Jul05 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00    
7  LAST GLORY Dec13 Nov19 Nov03 Oct20 Sep20 (d'alessandr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 10% 9.30    
 
AQU-4   01/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($79K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MASTER FREUD Dec10 Nov07 Oct10 Sep14 Jun27 (arriaga ant)RIVERA A 116 12.00    
2  BEARY FUNNY Dec27 Dec07 Feb22 Jan19 Dec13 (morey william)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
3  TRUST FUND Dec13 Oct17 Aug30 Jun28 May26 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 19% 4.30    
4  CLANCY FANCY Dec27 Dec10 Oct14 Aug27 Jun22 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  YO BANANA BOY Dec10 Nov07 Sep26 Aug09 Jul05 (heath dest)RIVERA R 121 4.50 14% 6.00    
6  WHAT'S UP BRO Dec10 Nov07 Aug30 Aug09 Apr23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  TEN CENT TOWN Dec13 Oct11 Aug30 Aug03 Jul24 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
 
AQU-5   01/17/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Jan02 Nov15 Apr26 Apr14 Mar02 (shivmangal )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
SCR  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Jan02 Dec10 Nov13 Jul06 Jun14 (barrera oscar)PANAIJO JORGE 121 20.00    
3  MR. RIPPLE Jan10 Nov08 Aug26 Jul15 Apr25 (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 37% 1.70    
4  ERIC FROM MIAMI Dec28 Dec05 Nov18 Nov04 Oct20 (potts)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  STOP THE SPREAD Dec13 Nov04 Oct07 Aug29 Aug09 (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 121 15.00    
6  RUN HAPPY PAPPY Dec31 Nov29 Nov01 Sep14 Sep01 (sanchez jose )SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
7  MISTER HOLDEN Nov28 Nov07 Oct05 Sep01 Aug01 (gittens)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
8  MAJESTIC TIGER Jan05 Sep28 Aug14 Jul24 Jul09 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 12% 7.50    
 
AQU-6   01/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELTIC PRINCE Dec21 Apr04 Feb14 Jan17   (brion keri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
2  COOL HAND RICH Dec10 Nov13 May23 May02 Jan26 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 6% 15.20    
3  PANDEMIC HERO Dec04 Oct28 Oct17 Sep14 Aug13 (jimenez l)CIVACI SAHIN 123 5.00 12% 7.70    
4  LEAN MUSIC MACHINE Dec28 Nov29 Oct03 Aug29 Aug21 (morey william)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.80 46% 1.20    
5  DIALBOLICO Dec27 Oct22 Sep20 Aug22 Jul26 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 15.00 5% 17.40    
6  HARD TO SAY Nov28 Oct16 Sep21 Aug24 Jun17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
7  MAJESTIC ARC Dec10 Nov13 Nov01 Aug22 Jul26 (shivmangal l)HARKIE K 123 10.00    
8  COME FULL CIRCLE Dec10 Oct22 Oct05 Aug01 Jul19 (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
 
AQU-7   01/17/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELT WITH YOU Dec26 Nov28 Nov13 Oct22 Aug13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jan02 Dec05 Jul25 Jul05 Jun06 (barrera oscar)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
3  HE'S GOT THIS Jan02 Dec05 Oct11 Aug20 Aug08 (gittens devon)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.50    
4  SKYLANDER Dec27 Nov13 Oct11 Jul17 Jul03 (charlerie g)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 1.60 48% 1.10    
5  ALEAH ALEAH Dec08 Nov20 Oct04 Sep12 Feb21 (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  O P FIRECRACKER Dec06 Nov13 Oct18 Sep18 Aug22 (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
7  WHISKEY FRENS Jan02 Dec10 Nov19 Nov10 Oct28 (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  POT OF GOLD Dec31 Nov25 Oct14 Sep22 Sep03 (grusmark)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
 
AQU-8   01/17/2026 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ladies Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEIGH THE RISKS Dec13 Nov08 Jul23 Feb22 Jan19 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.60 38% 1.70    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL LIAR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  LOW COUNTRY MAGIC Oct25 Sep06 Jul31 Jun27 May05 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 20.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MARSH HARBOUR by MALIBU MOON)
3  OURDAYDREAMINGGIRL Dec07 Nov08 Sep20 Aug19 Jul02 (linder lo)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00 9% 10.40    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of ITSINTHESTARS by ASTROLOGY)
4  SCALABLE Dec13 Nov08 Sep27 Jan25 Nov30 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PASSION FLOWER by TAPIT)
SCR  SULTRY LASS Dec20 Oct05 Jul23 Jul06 Jun13 (russell b)HERNANDEZ A 121 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of COMPOSING by TOUCH GOLD)
6  JUST KATHERINE Dec13 Sep20 Aug23 Jul21 Jun15 (jimenez l)CIVACI SAHIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of REVE ENCHANTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  QUIETSIDE Dec07 Oct18 May02 Mar29 Feb23 (ortiz ale)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BENNER ISLAND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  CURLIN'S GIRL Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Sep16 Sep03 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of QUALITY ROCKS by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
AQU-9   01/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO INSPIRATION Nov23 Oct19 Aug31 Aug09 Jul28 (jimenez jos)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
2  DR. MERCILESS Dec31 Dec10 Nov10 Nov02 Sep28 (richa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
3  SPORTS HERO Dec26 Nov09 Oct19 Aug17 Jul13 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALIAS Jan10 Jan02 Dec12 Oct09 Feb02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60    
5  NO FILTER Oct19         (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  ARMY PROUD Dec31 Dec10 Nov02 Oct10 Aug31 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
7  MONTE AVI Dec10 Mar22 Feb23 Jan18 Dec07 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
8  INONIT Nov16 Jul27 Apr19 Mar16 Apr13 (lugovich li)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 15.00 16% 5.50    
9  SEEKER'S HOPE Jan10 Dec26 Nov29 Nov06 Oct11 (samsunda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.