Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Thursday - December 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/5/4)-(1/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/7/5)-(5/4/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(5/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(5/4/7/1)-(3/1/5/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/1)-(3/1/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/1)-(3/1/5/2/8)-(2/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/1/5/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2/8)-(3/1/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/2/8)-(3/1/5/2/8)-(3/1/5/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/5/2/8)-(2/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/2/8)-(2/3/6)-(6/1/9/4/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(6/1/9/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/1/9/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/4/7)-(6/1/9/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/4/7)-(6/1/9/4/7)-(6/1/9/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   12/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINTS IS POINTS Sep28 Sep01 Jul05 Feb06 Jan11 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 11% 8.10    
CUPID'S HEART Nov28 Oct25 Aug21 Jul30 Jun26 (levine b)SANTANA JR 121 4.00    
MAGGIE GO (ARG) Aug08 Jun14       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.40 52% 0.90    
MALU Apr03 Mar15 Feb23 Jan17 Jan02 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
CURLIN'S GIRL Nov22 Oct23 Sep16 Sep03 Aug18 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 8% 11.60    
 
AQU-2   12/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD FOOT Nov28 Nov12 Jul10 Jun07 May17 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20    
PROBLEMATICA Aug17 Jul23 Jul10 Jun27 May10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
JACKIE THE JOKER Nov28 Nov12 Oct18 Sep27 Aug06 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
FLORIDA FLOWER Oct23 Sep30 Aug29 Jul27 Jun28 (sells rache)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
DEFENDED Nov12 Sep20 Aug24 Jul18 May30 (giangiul)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 30% 2.40    
LOOKS FIRST Nov29 Nov21 Nov07 Oct16 Sep11 (samsundar ros)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
MAJESTIC RETURN Nov12 Sep11 Jul10 Jun07 May09 (synnefi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
 
AQU-3   12/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOXIC GRAY Apr05 Feb21 Jan18 Dec28 Nov16 (miceli m)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Nov22 Oct24 Aug13 Jul31 Jun13 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
LOCKE AND KEY Oct25 Sep27 Aug30 Jun28 Jun04 (ryerson james )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
THE GOLDEN GORILLA Nov02 Sep27 Aug24 Jul20 Jun21 (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
VICTORY WAY Sep27 Aug30 Jun07 Apr05 Feb21 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
VETTRIANO (IRE) Oct25 Sep20 Aug03 Dec28 Oct18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 14% 6.00    
 
AQU-4   12/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CURLS Nov21 Oct09       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.80 63% 0.60    
RED FERN Nov14 Oct17       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  REIGN IT IN Nov12 Oct16 Sep26     (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
DROP ME A DIME Nov14         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00    
MONEYBAGS MILTON Nov14 Aug01       (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAWAY ROSCOE Nov14         (englehart c)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00    
CHARLIE HUSTLE Sep28 Aug29       (abreu r)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN MIRACLE Nov23 Nov07 Oct17 Sep12   (jimenez l)CIVACI SAHIN 116 10.00    
 
AQU-5   12/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROUBLED LUCK Nov26 Oct27 Oct01 Aug17 Jul08 (delauro edw)RIVERA A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
GHOSTLY GIRL Nov14 Sep21 Jul13 Mar28 Mar07 (charleri)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
BOOK OF WISDOM Nov20 Nov14 Oct20 Sep21 Aug29 (rodriguez )HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 117 8.00    
OPEN SOUL AUTISM Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 Jul23 May02 (englehart c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
SPIRITUAL LADY Oct20 Sep30 Aug17 Jul10 Jun21 (charlerie gre)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  THE SHOE LADY Nov19 Nov04 Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 (albright amy)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD Nov18 Oct20 Sep30 Sep08 May01 (englehart c)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50 11% 7.90    
MAGGIE T Nov14 Sep21 Jul13 Jun21 May25 (shivman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
DREAM ON CARA Nov21 Sep26 Aug10 Jul10 Jun21 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00    
 
AQU-6   12/11/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE UNITED Nov29 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug16 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
WHO'S THE KING Nov07 Oct09 Sep13 Jul25 Jun05 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHISKEY N SODA Nov20 Jan18 Dec12 Aug16 Jul25 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
COMPLEX AGENDA Oct24 Aug27 Jul19 Aug31   (morley t)SANTANA JR 120 10.00    
NEON BORDEAUX Nov07 Oct10 Apr26 Apr04 Mar07 (dutrow ric)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 118 6.00 19% 4.10    
BLOWN COVER Nov14 Oct09 Sep19 Aug28 Jul18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00    
ADVENTURIST Nov28 Nov12 Jul13 May18 Feb23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
FEVER NIGHT Jul12 May26 May17 Apr19 Mar29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
HAMILTON'S WAY Nov09 Oct10 Aug03 Jul24 Jun22 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
 
AQU-7   12/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAWYER MASON Nov14 Sep20 Aug31 Aug08 Jul04 (morley thomas)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00    
PANTHERIAN Oct24         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 39% 1.50    
WAMO Nov22 Oct24 Aug29 Jul16   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  CRISTOBAL Nov14 Sep20 Aug22 Jul16   (falcone ro)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
GAMING WIZARD Oct25 Sep26 Aug30     (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50    
TOP PLAYER Oct11 Sep13 Aug29     (weaver g)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
TIME TO ROLL Oct25 Sep26 Aug30     (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00    
 
AQU-8   12/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERCEPTOR (GB) Nov13 Aug10 Jun28 Apr08 Feb23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
MIDDLE MARKET Nov23 Nov07 Oct18 Oct04 Sep01 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
KAVANAUGH Nov16 Oct22 Sep01 Aug07 Jul13 (kantarmaci)RIVERA R 120 8.00    
AMY'S MUSIC Nov16 Jun06 May11 Apr23 Mar23 (trombetta mich)CIVACI SAHIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
FULLY BOOKED Nov07 Sep14 Aug15 Jun28 May11 (green ameli)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
REYNOLDS CHANNEL Nov14 Nov07 Oct09 Aug22 May26 (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
TURN AND COUNT Oct23 Oct11 Aug10 May25 Apr19 (morley t)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
FISCAL DRAG Nov29 Oct24 Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
ICAN Nov15 Oct17 Mar15 Feb14 Jan04 (dutrow ric)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 115 3.50 7% 13.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.