Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/2/5/8)-(4/5/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/8)-(4/5/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/8)-(4/5/3/8)-(7/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/8)-(7/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/8)-(7/10/5)-(5/7/6/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/5)-(7/9/10/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/10/5)-(7/9/10/5)-(7/9/10/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/10/5)-(5/7/6/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/10/5)-(5/7/6/8/4)-(6/1/3/8/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-5   WIN (5/7/6/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/8/4)-(5/7/6/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/8/4)-(5/7/6/8/4)-(5/7/6/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/6/8/4)-(6/1/3/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/8/4)-(6/1/3/8/2)-(6/2/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-6   WIN (6/1/3/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/8/2)-(6/1/3/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/8/2)-(6/1/3/8/2)-(6/1/3/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/3/8/2)-(6/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/8/2)-(6/2/8)-(1/7/2/8/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-7   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/8)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/8)-(1/7/2/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8)-(1/7/2/8/6)-(7/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/7/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/8/6)-(1/7/2/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/8/6)-(1/7/2/8/6)-(1/7/2/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/2/8/6)-(7/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
MVR-9   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/5/9/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/5/9/6/4)-(7/5/9/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   12/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAROFTHEGAME Nov10 Oct23 Dec11 Oct30 Sep30 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 10.00 12% 7.40    
VALID CONNECTION Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Sep23 Aug16 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 125 2.50 49% 1.00    
CHARLIESLITLDEVIL Nov24 Nov04 Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 (ccamaque marco)PARKER L 124 4.00    
INTERVAL Nov10 Oct30 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
DAYTONA GOLD Nov10 Oct29 Oct07 Sep26 Sep09 (rivera )RADOSEVICH J 118 3.00    
WITH FULL HONORS Nov07 Oct18 Jun28 Jun14 Sep17 (trevino s)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
SCR  WILDING LANE Nov24 Nov10 Oct20 Sep23 Sep10 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 123 15.00    
 
MVR-2   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT TODAY Nov17 Oct29 Sep12 Aug25 Aug13 (ray kevin)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 15.00    
KHALI J Oct03 Aug05       (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 30% 2.40    
LITTLE MISS MUNNY Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50    
SHE'S SO SEXY Oct30 Oct03 Aug25 Jul10 Jun21 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
AURORA'S MUSIC Oct29 Sep30 Aug04 Jun29 May20 (fletcher jeff)STOKES J 123 8.00 5% 17.30    
VESPERA Sep26 Sep04 Aug19 Jul16 Jun09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.60 38% 1.70    
VOTARY Nov18 Nov03 Oct01 Aug15 Jul04 (quezada in)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 12.00    
SACOS STOGIE Nov05 Sep24 Aug19 Jul13 Jun16 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE PINK Z Nov07 Oct21 Jul05 Jun21 May29 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
WETZEL Oct27 Sep30 Sep04 Aug19 Aug04 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
GAPPER Nov05 Oct21 Oct09 Sep18 Aug29 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 8.00 11% 8.50    
DARK VADER Nov13 Oct29 Sep23 Aug12 Mar31 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
ELLIOT THE DRAGON Nov07 Oct10 Apr12 Mar30 Mar11 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  MAY MAYHEM Nov13 Sep30 Sep09 Jul17 Jun21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
OLLIE'S FOLLY Nov13 Sep30 Jun21 May28 May07 (rone mike)PARKER L 124 10.00    
HITE Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Sep11 Jul10 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONIRICO         (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 125 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
SUPER SMOOTH Oct31 Sep25       (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 125 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SUPER PHILLY by SMOOTH JAZZ)
BITOFJUSTICE Oct30 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 May20 (juarez-me)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 15.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of DESERT RECON by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  GHOSTAGAIN Aug25 Jun30 Jun10 May20   (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 125 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of STREET NONSENSE by STREET SENSE)
LOOKIN LIKE LUCKY Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 Sep16 Aug16 (langley josh)TAPARA BRANDON 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DANCE WITH DOVES by A.P. INDY)
SUZIE Q'S SISTER         (dacosta jaso)KEISER CHELSEY 122 5.00    
  (by MOSLER out of ROTATE by ORB)
DOCS LEGEND Mar13 Feb27 Feb03 Jan16   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 69% 0.40    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CREATE A LEGEND by MEADOWLAKE)
CAESAREA Nov03 Apr23 Mar27 Mar01   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 6.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of TWINKLE TOES by MANILA)
FRACTURE May04 Apr13       (leitch daniel)PARKER L 126 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ENHANCING by FORESTRY)
10  SANTORINO May31         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SALSALIDA by TWO STEP SALSA)
 
MVR-5   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIAMONDS N DEW Nov13 Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
LADY FORTUNE Nov04 Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
CITY SIGNS Nov13 Jul01 Jun16 May08 Apr22 (castillo )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
DANZA MAGIC Nov13 Oct14 Sep29 Aug20 Aug07 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LADY LOTTIE Oct28 Aug19 Jun16 Apr23 Mar17 (radosev)RADOSEVICH J 119 3.50 57% 0.70    
BOX STEP Nov13 Aug20 Aug07 Jun27 May18 (yoder susa)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 6.00 6% 16.50    
BIG FACTS Aug29 Aug19 Jul08 May27 Apr03 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
TWERK Nov13 Oct28 Oct02 Sep18 Aug12 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
KAT TRAX Nov04 Sep29 Jun26 Jun07 Aug28 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 5.00    
10  SWEET EMPIRE Nov13 Oct14 May21 Apr09 Mar10 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 124 20.00    
11  TRULY INCLUSIVE Nov13 Oct28 Sep22 Aug29 Aug12 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 124 15.00    
12  POWER BANKER Nov13 Oct28 Oct15 Sep29 Sep08 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE KITTY KITTY Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun07 May22 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
MY FINE AQUILINE Nov07 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Aug11 (winters mich)TAPARA BRANDON 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
AMAZINGNESS Oct30 Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 Jul12 (granitz antho)BRACHO A 124 2.50 13% 6.60    
PEARLINTHEROUGH Nov10 Oct29 Sep29 Sep17 Sep01 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 124 20.00    
SONHO DE VERAO Nov16 Nov03 Sep30 Sep05 Aug23 (quezada in)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
MAGICALLY VANISHED Oct28 Oct05 Aug14 Jul18 Jun13 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
SHIELDMEWITHPRAYER Nov07 Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep01 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.50    
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Nov07 Oct20 Oct08 Sep01 Aug21 (urieta jo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 8.00 11% 7.70    
DAME MAUDE CHARDIN Nov07 Oct06 Sep02 Aug11 Jul27 (ccamaque marco)PARKER L 124 12.00    
10  GREY MARKET Nov12 Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
 
MVR-7   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUFFIN Nov03 Sep12 Aug14 Jun30 Jun06 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
BOLD BUCKEYE Nov17 Sep25 Sep03 Aug18 Jul16 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  DR SCHUSTER Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 124 12.00    
GUNNER GABRIEL Nov13 Oct29 Oct13 Sep22 Aug28 (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
DON'T STOP Nov13 Oct29 Oct10 Sep22 Sep01 (galloway k)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 121 4.50    
COLONEL VARGO Nov12 Nov03 Oct12 Aug29 Jun29 (bailey ri)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
THUNDERIAN Nov03 Oct13 Sep19 Sep01 Aug18 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
JIMMY THE HAT Nov16 Oct21 Oct08 Sep19 Sep01 (gilmartin br)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 21% 3.70    
HIP HIP HOORAY Oct03 Aug14 Jun06 May14 Apr05 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE AN EDDIE Apr30 Apr10 Mar04 Feb08 Jan15 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
LAST MINUTE MIKEY Oct25 Sep03 Aug11 Jun25 May14 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 12% 7.50    
TRUTH N SOUL Nov07 Oct23 Oct06 Sep17 Aug12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 125 2.50    
BUCKEYE MIKE Nov18 Oct21 Oct01 Sep18 Sep05 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00    
HE IS DYNAMIC Nov04 Oct25 Oct02 Sep03 Jun18 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 123 20.00    
HEIDI N SEEK Nov11 Oct25 Sep27 Sep17 Aug22 (donjuan serg)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
DUO Nov13 Oct25 Oct08 Sep18 Sep03 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
JACOBI Oct25 Sep18 Jun04 May20 Apr29 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOONSHINE JOE Jun17 May19 Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 (szczepa)RADOSEVICH J 119 20.00    
 
MVR-9   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRITS N GRAVY Oct25 Oct06 Sep17 Aug07 Jun21 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
SILVER IS A GIFT Nov11 Oct25 Sep18 Sep03 Aug08 (andrade hugo)YARANGA Y 123 20.00    
MOBIL MISSION Nov11 Oct25 Oct08 Sep03 Aug11 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
BUMPKIN Sep25 Sep26 Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
PROFESSOR NICK Oct25 Sep25 Sep03 Aug11 Jun25 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50    
COUPLE BEERS DEEP Oct23 Oct06 Sep17 Aug29 Jun03 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.00    
DRILL EM Oct15 Aug12 Mar04 Feb08 Jan15 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 75% 0.30    
MOMENT IN THE DARK Nov11 Oct25 Sep16 Dec10 Nov11 (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 30.00    
P J'S BOY Jun03 May14 Jan28     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00    
10  PLUM TUFF Nov25 Oct06 Sep17 Aug21 Aug12 (gonzalez )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.