Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(2/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(2/3/1/7)-(5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/7)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/7)-(5/7)-(3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/7)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(3/1/4)-(5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/2/1)-(6/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/2/3)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(4/1/3)-(1/4/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANAMANIAC Sep29 Sep08 Aug20 Aug07 Jul01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 15% 5.50    
2  DOLCE MARIE Sep29 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 (genovese ric)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 8.00    
3  SWEET EMPIRE May21 Apr09 Mar10 Feb10 Sep30 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
4  DIAMONDS N DEW Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Jul25 Jun15 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
5  DANZA MAGIC Sep29 Aug20 Aug07 Jun23 Jun02 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 123 4.50    
6  RAINBOW SHIP Sep29 Sep08 Aug29 Sep09 Jul30 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Sep29 Sep15 Aug29 Aug05 Jul08 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.00 ★    
SCR  DANCE DRAMA Sep29 Jul08 Jun18 May28 Apr23 (flores christi)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
 
TDN-2   10/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE QUEEN         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
  (by SAM LORD'S CASTLE out of KAYLYN AND JAYLYNN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  TRUEST AIR         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 21% 3.90    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of TRUE CINDER by ALCINDOR)
3  RIVERS ANGEL Sep27 Sep02 Aug16 Jul17   (corriveau john)HOUGHTON D 118 2.00 16% 5.20    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGELSMADISONGRACE by GRAEME HALL)
4  DAKOTA SKY         (orantes y)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 5.00    
  (by WAR CHANT out of TOTAL TEMPER by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  JAC'S COCOABELLA Sep30 Sep02 Aug25     (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of SPIT'S IMAGE by MOBIL)
6  FOREVER FLOWING Sep30 Aug25       (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 118 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  LIL SHARPIE         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 10.00 14% 6.20    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
 
TDN-3   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTASSET Aug21 Jul14 Apr23 Apr11 Mar24 (cline c)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
2  IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT Sep24 Sep04 Jun25 Jun07 Jan23 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  RIVER HUSTLER Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jun09 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
4  KINGDOM TRAILS Sep24 Aug29 Aug06 Jul07 Oct09 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.50    
5  SIOFRA Dec11 Nov11 Oct09 Aug28 Aug07 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.00 69% 0.50    
6  OH EYE SEE Sep24 Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
7  S'MOR CRAFTY Sep09 Aug21 Jul15 Jun21 Oct26 (guciardo robert)FELICIANO R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEWED Sep22 Sep03 Aug14 Jul15 Jun21 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 1.80 24% 3.20    
2  JUSTWORTHASHOT Sep22 May12 Mar24 Feb28 Feb06 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00    
3  DEVOUTLY Sep22 Sep03 Aug14 Jul07   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  PLEASURE PEARL Aug12 Jul03 Jun21     (calderon iva)HALDAR J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY LOVES MONEY Sep03 Jul15 Jul19 Jul03 Jun05 (juarez lorenz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
6  DOLLAR DANCE Sep03 Jun06 May12 Apr11 Mar24 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMAND STRIKE Sep08 Aug13 Jun11 Apr30 Aug13 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DANCE MY WAY Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul01 Jun09 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  GRAY LIGHTNING Sep13 Aug07 Jul27 Jun21 May18 (he)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80    
4  OVERLY DRAMATIC Sep30 Sep08 Aug12 Aug03 Jun24 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 3.00    
5  KEY TO SUCCESS Aug25 Aug04 Jul08 Apr06 Mar14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  SHEISTHEHERO Jul01 Jun09 May28 May13 Apr28 (loudin-s)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEXITEXAFORNIA Sep23 Sep02 Mar17 Jan07 Nov25 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
2  PRACTICAL MAN Sep17 Aug29 Aug13 Jun30 Jun10 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 11% 7.90    
3  GILLIGAN Sep23 Sep08 Aug13 Jun10 May26 (mahan p)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  T MONEY Sep23 Aug29 Jun18 May03 Mar10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00    
5  K P SILVER BULLET Aug29 Aug13 Jun30 Jan27 Dec12 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
6  PANTHERA'S FATE Aug26 Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 May20 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 1.40 64% 0.60    
 
TDN-7   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFUL Aug20 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May27 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
2  DEVIL'S TOWER Sep22 Aug24 May25 May09 Apr12 (he)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.00    
3  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Sep17 Sep04 Aug18 Jun23 May27 (puhl kim)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET AS SIN Sep17 Sep04 Aug04 Jul02 Jun07 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
5  CHARLESTON Sep30 Sep04 Aug18 Jun21 May27 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 2.50    
SCR  NOTARY Sep24 Aug25 Feb24 Jan26 Jan06 (hernandez )FERNANDEZ VICTOR 121 8.00    
 
TDN-8   10/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWTOWN BOSS Sep16 Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 Dec30 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
2  SERENDIPITOUS Oct01 Sep11 Aug29 Aug11 Apr10 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00    
3  INTO GOLD Sep18 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul10 (mahan )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  POWERFUL PHIL Sep30 Aug29 May07 Apr21 Mar22 (johnson l)PARKER L 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  BISCUITS AND GRITS Oct01 Sep18 Jun12 May07 Apr21 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
6  EL MARRO Oct01 Sep18 Aug29 Aug13 Jun25 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 119 8.00    
7  SHOW SLIDING HOME Oct01 Sep18 Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.