Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Tuesday - September 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/4)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(4/1/2)-(6/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(6/5/2)-(5/2/7/4/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/2/7/4/1)-(1/7/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-5   WIN (5/2/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/4/1)-(5/2/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/4/1)-(5/2/7/4/1)-(5/2/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(7/1/5)-(7/11/9/3/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-7   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(7/11/9/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/11/9/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/9/3/10)-(7/11/9/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/9/3/10)-(7/11/9/3/10)-(7/11/9/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLFUL ROSE Sep17 Sep02 Aug16 Aug02 Jul25 (kutt donna )FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 4.00    
LEMON YEA Sep18         (norris mik)ANDERSON MCKENNA 121 15.00    
PROUD WORDS Aug27 Aug08 Jun05     (west m)LEBRON VICTOR 121 1.40 19% 4.30    
LA MEDUSA Aug28 Jul12 Jun18 Nov05 Oct13 (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
CRACKLE (GB) Sep06 Aug28 Aug18 Jun25 Jun07 (holsapple )HERNANDEZ N 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MELLY'S BIRKIN Sep08 Aug18 Jul28 Jun12 May26 (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 121 2.00 56% 0.80    
RAVENSHIRE Nov18 Apr25       (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 116 6.00    
 
BTP-2   09/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET OF STOCKS Sep18 Sep03 Aug22 Aug13 Jul23 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.00    
TICKET TO FLY Sep05 Aug09 Jul24 Sep26 Jun19 (greenhill jeff)PAULY SUMMER 120 4.50    
CANA GRIS Sep18 Aug30 Aug13 Jul27 Dec01 (rodak gera)HERNANDEZ N 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
WILDCAT DREAM Sep03 Aug22 Aug13 Jul24 Jun20 (salcedo ra)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00    
LONIE MO Sep18 Aug30 Aug15 Jun27 Jun12 (danner dou)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
YAREE D TAT Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 Aug06 Jul24 (adams l)HESS SARA 123 6.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  LEISUREWEAR (IRE) Sep03 Jun26 May17 Nov15 Aug03 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 3.00    
 
BTP-3   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC TIRAMISU Sep17 Sep02 Aug08 Jul19 Jul01 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
LOULOU B May07 Oct27       (green troy)MCKEE J 121 8.00 15% 5.80    
IDES OF DEMARCH Sep10 Aug15 Jul09     (cruz jesus)SOSA LAUREANO 121 1.80    
A BETTER WORLD Sep06 Aug16       (stephen ant)FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  NAN O'HARA Aug05         (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 5.00    
WILLOWY Jul09 Feb09 Jan21 Dec27 Nov25 (manning j)PAULY SUMMER 120 10.00    
 
BTP-4   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRING THUNDER Sep05 Aug02 Aug22 Jul11 Jun28 (alessi james)PAULY SUMMER 120 3.50    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of ESTHER RISING by CONCORD POINT)
SILVER PUNCH Sep13 Aug13 Jul11 Jun12 May25 (ramos ben)MONCADA IRVING 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of I'VE GOT GRACE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
FOX CREEK Sep18 Aug06 Jul26 Jun12 Nov27 (carv)FRANCA ERIELTUN 125 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MISS ANN PERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
SOUTHERN BULLET Sep17 Aug28 Jul14 Jun15 May08 (begley greg)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 3.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of CAROLINA SOUTH by DIXIE UNION)
J DAVID Nov22 Oct05       (hill f)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00 35% 1.90    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SUMMER WHITES by MIDSHIPMAN)
SHURE         (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by KATOWICE out of SHUSH by ARCH)
AQUARIAN PRINCE Jun22         (axmaker w)MOJICA JR 121 10.00    
  (by DEPUTY MINISTER out of PURPLE BUBBLES by BERT'S BUBBLEATOR)
 
BTP-5   09/30/2025 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY FROSTY Sep02 Aug15 Jul23 Jul04 Feb22 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAJOR WAGER Aug30 Jul02 Jun21 Apr11 Mar21 (grubbs l)MOJICA JR 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
INTOLERABLE Sep04 Aug07 Mar19 Feb02 Jan17 (ramos ben)MONCADA IRVING 123 8.00    
EL GAVILAN Sep14 Aug30 Aug08 Jun21 May31 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
CANE CREEK ROAD Sep10 Aug23 Jul06 Jun13 Apr27 (williams matt)CASTILLO AMIN 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
ILLINI Sep17 Aug27 Aug14 Apr30 Mar22 (heath dest)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 4.50    
ENGLISH TIDE Aug30 Jul14 Jun21 Jun04 Mar19 (hester haley)BOCACHICA O 123 5.00 7% 12.50    
ZADDY Sep20 Sep10 Aug14 Jul31 Jul12 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 114 12.00    
SURE CAN Mar12 Jan16 Feb15 Aug31 Aug03 (armstrong s)FIGUEROA SERGIO 120 20.00    
 
BTP-6   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHRINER Sep03 Aug13 Jul10 May22 Apr22 (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 119 2.00 55% 0.80    
TUSCALOOSA Sep17 Sep03 Jul02 Jun11 Jan29 (nocero car)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 10.00    
FIRE WIRE Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jul04 (ware debra)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 6% 14.60    
JACKSON'S ROAR Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul12 Jul01 (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 5.00    
SCR  MISTER ROSSO Sep17 Aug28 Aug16 Jul29 Jul05 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.00    
SCR  NERVANA Sep20 Sep03 Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 (rivera xavi)JIMENEZ J 119 10.00    
ONE FAST MIDDIE Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 Jun19 May30 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
BTP-7   09/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTHESPOTLIGHT Sep17 Aug11 Jul05 Jun20 May30 (williams matt)CASTILLO AMIN 123 5.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  VINO VELOCE Sep24 Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 Jul24 (rivera xavi)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00    
SALLY BALI Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 May28 May07 (chavez man)HERNANDEZ N 123 4.50    
C F V TU BRUTUS Aug06 Jun27 Jun07 May10 Apr23 (hill f)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 15.00    
MS KS DYNASTY Sep05 Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHAR Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May21 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 118 8.00    
SONHO DE VERAO Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul24 Jul12 (quezada in)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  EVERY LOVING WISH Sep05 Jul24 Jul02 Jun07 May21 (wittek karyn)OUZTS W 123 3.00    
 
BTP-8   09/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK BETY Sep11 Sep02 Aug20 Aug02 Jul12 (donjuan se)HERNANDEZ A 121 30.00    
SCR  DYNAMO'S CODE Sep17 Sep02 Aug16 Aug02 Jul25 (conto kevin)MURGIA A 125 20.00    
GAMBI Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jul05 (alessi james)PAULY SUMMER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BETO'S BIRDIE Sep17 Aug29 Aug02 Jul05 Jun12 (heath desti)POSTON K 116 5.00    
RUN IN GOLD Sep02 Aug20 Jul23 Jul09 Jun26 (helmbrecht )LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00    
SUPER SCAMP Sep05 Aug06 Jul05 Feb06 Jan08 (cline robe)HERNANDEZ N 125 20.00    
ZELIHA Sep12 Aug18 Jun07 Mar28 Feb21 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 5.00 39% 1.50    
BERRY Sep11 Aug28 Sep16     (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 120 30.00    
LORIS STILL CURLIN Sep17 Aug23 Aug09     (wittek kary)JIMENEZ J 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
10  KARA GIN K Sep17 Sep28       (norris mik)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  I STAND COLLECTED Sep17 Aug02 Jul23 Jun25 Jun05 (johnston rebecca)OUZTS W 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
12  LADY SPUN SUGAR Jan23 Dec20 Oct09 Sep01 Aug10 (danner kelsey)MOJICA JR 121 6.00    
SCR  RAISON D'AMOUR Sep17 Sep02 Aug01 Jun25 Jun05 (conto kevin)HESS SARA 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.